Week 2 Flashcards
How is net present value calculated? What will we typically need to estimate?
Net present value is the sum of the discounted future values - any initial costs. To estimate it we need to estimate the future cash flows, both how much and when, estimate the discount rate, and estimate the initial costs.
What is the minimum acceptance criteria for a project using Net Present value? How do we rank them?
The minimum acceptance criteria for an investment is to accept if the net present value is greater than 0, if there are multiple projects to choose from we should choose the one with the highest net present value.
What are the components needed to calculate Net present value in excel?
The first component of the excel NPV function is the required return(in decimal form), the second is the array of cash flows beginner with year 1 (not year 0, the investment). We then subtract the initial costs.
How will our minimum return relate to net present value?
The minimum we would want an investment to return is the amount which makes our net present value 0.
How should our discount rate relate to the riskiness of the investment?
Our discount rate should depend on the riskiness of the investment.
Does the term structure of the discount rate have to be flat? What else could it be?
The term structure of the discount rate does not necessarily have to be flat, instead we can use the yield to maturity of different risk free maturity investments for the different cash flows. Or we could use the short rate of each year leading up to the cash flow’s year, this would mean discounting a fourth year cash flow effectively four times, each one with a different interest rate.
How can we find the expected value of a cash value if the events are uncertain?
If the events are uncertain, but we know their probability, we can use the expected value (sum of probability * probability’s associated value) for our cash flow.
What is the internal rate of return?
The internal rate of return (IRR) is the discount rate that sets net present value to 0.
What is our acceptance criteria for projects using IRR? What is the ranking criteria?
We will only accept a project if the internal rate of return exceeds the required return. When ranking different projects we will prefer projects with a higher internal rate of return.
What is the reinvestment assumption for IRR? Why is it wrong?
One reinvestment assumption for IRR is that all future cash flows can be reinvested at the internal rate of return, though this assumption is wrong, as these modified cash flows produced by reinvestment cannot be associated with the project, as such we do not need to consider this assumption when considering a project.
What are the main disadvantages and advantages of the internal rate of return?
The primary disadvantages are that it does not distinguish between investing and borrowing, the IRR may not exist, there could be multiple IRRs, it has problems with mutually exclusive investments (scale disparity).
However, one advantage is that it is easy to understand and communicate.
How do we use the IRR function in excel?
To use the IRR function in excel we first enter our array of cash flows, beginning with the initial cash flow(investment, this should be negative), we can enter a guess (not required), we will normally need to increase the number of decimals shown.
If we graph the net present value versus the discount rate, where do we find the IRR?
If we graph Net Present value versus the discount rate, the internal rate of return is the x-axis intercept.
What are some of the main problems with the internal rate of return?
- Relative to NPV, IRR is difficult to calculate, and cannot be solved by hand easily.
- A higher IRR is better for investment projects, while a lower IRR is better for financing projects.
- The IRR doesn’t always exist (when there is a sign change more than once).
- When there are multiple changes in cash flow signs, the IRR is not uniquely defined (Multiple IRRs)
- The IRR implicitly assumes the term structure is flat. When term structure is not flat using IRR can lead to bad decisions.
- IRR does not help you choose between mutually exclusive projects that involve significantly different initial outlays (size disparity/scale problem).
- Timing problems with mutually exclusive projects.
What is the difference between an investment project and financing project in terms of cash flows? What will be the relationship between the net present value and the discount rate in both? When will the IRR be the same for a financing and investment project?
In an investment project we have an initial cash outflow followed by cash inflows, this will have a downward sloping relationship between net present value and the discount rate.
In a financing project we receive a cash inflow at the start and then have to pay cash outflows in the following periods, in this there will be an upward sloping relationship between net present value and the discount rate.
The internal rate of return will be the same for an investment project and financing project if we flip the signs on each cash flow.