Week 2 Flashcards
WMD
Weapons of mass destruction
What is the nuclear weapons arms race?
A form of security dilemma
Nuclear Deterrence
Mutual destruction, possions alone is enough of a threat
Component nr 1 of effective nuclear deterrence
Credible commitment (Ex: China & India refuse to be the first one to use them)
Component nr 2 of effective nuclear deterrence
Second strike capabilities: ability to retaliate when under attack
Challenges to nuclear deterrence
- Aging arsenal has to be maintained
- Technological advances challenge cappabilly of second strike
- Credibility of extended deterrence (us promise of helping allies, in vain as trump more national minded = countries might start creating nuclear weapons on their own.
Institutions & Nuclear weapons
Exist since 1945, not only for use but also for testing + sharing information surrounding other countries use of nuclear weapons. Downfall: are other countries honest (uncertainty)
Consequences used by countries not complying to nuclear weapon rules
- Economic sanctions for non-compliance
Side effect of institutions for nuclear weapons
Creates focal point for domestic and transnational activism
Institutional explanation for democratic peace
Democratic institutions make it more difficult to go to war (leaders have to be accountable (constrains them) = fear of voter punishment
Normative explanations for democratic peace
democracies see other democracies as a liberal and so act on the presumption that they are peaceful + democracy creates incentive to work together
Criticism of the liberal democratic peace theory
- What is a democracy 2. Not always supported by evidence: democratic leaders not always punished for dumb wars + Information regarding national security is confedential, regardless of whether attackers are democratic or autocratic, they do not appear to be able to keep their attacks secret; attacks achieve surprise because defenders are poor at evaluating in- formation.
Public constraint mechanism
Public has an aversion of war (costs money, in inconvenient for daily life
Group constraint mechanism
Democratic leaders are accountable to the public and therefore won’t choose war, especially with other democracies, because the public won’t support it.
Slow mobilisation
Democracy slows processes of war down because it needs consensus, persuade the public
Surprise attack mechanism
Democracies no chance of suprise attack because of slow mobilisation
Information mechanism
Democratic leaders accountable to their citizens, war = unpopular = more incentive for solution
Rosatto article
Why democratic peace theory is bullshit
Tannenwald article
- Normative Constraints on Nuclear Use
The “nuclear taboo” is a normative belief stigmatizing nuclear use, not just deterrence + universal taboo by elites and ordinary people
It helps explain nuclear non-use even in cases where retaliation was unlikely (e.g., Korea, Vietnam, Gulf War).
Over time, norms have become institutionalized through treaties, public opinion, and elite discourse.
Daryl G article
Technological advancements (e.g., improved accuracy, remote sensing, AI) threaten the survivability of nuclear arsenals.
Counterforce capabilities (targeting enemy nuclear forces) are more feasible now, undermining mutual assured destruction (MAD).