Week 16 - The open economy Flashcards

1
Q

What conditions no longer hold when an economy is open?

A
  • Saving doesn’t have to equal investment

- Expenditure doesn’t have to equal output

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2
Q

What is NX?

A

Net exports (EX - IM). If this is positive, the country is said to have a trade surplus. If negative, the country has a trade deficit.

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3
Q

What is the national income identity in an open economy?

A

Y = C + I + G + NX OR NX = Y - (C + I + G)

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4
Q

What is another important identity in the open economy model?

A

NX = S - I (trade balance = net capital flows)

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5
Q

What are net capital outflows?

A

Simply S - I. This is also equal to the “net outflow of loanable funds, or the net purchases of foreign assets minus foreign purchases of domestic assets.

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6
Q

How does the loanable funds model change when considering open economies?

A

Supply of LFs is vertical (national saving doesn’t depend on interest rate). Demand is downward sloping still (as r falls investment increases). However, KEY DIFFERENCE: Actual level of investment is set by world interest rate, not domestic rate. This is why investment doesn’t have to equal savings.

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7
Q

How does fiscal policy at home affect NX?

A
  • Shifts supply of loanable funds to the left (savings reduces)
  • Investment is unchanged as r* doesn’t change.
  • Net effect: NX reduces by the reduction in savings.
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8
Q

How does fiscal policy abroad affect NX?

A
  • Expansionary fiscal policy abroad raises the world interest rate.
  • Savings is unaffected (doesn’t depend on r*).
  • Investment falls
  • Net effect: NX increases by the magnitude of the fall in I
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9
Q

How does an increase in investment demand affect NX?

A
  • Shifts demand for loanable funds to the right.
  • S is left unchanged.
  • Net effect: NX reduces by the change in investment.
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10
Q

What is a nominal exchange rate?

A

The relative price of domestic currency, in terms of foreign currency.

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11
Q

What is a real exchange rate?

A

The relative price of domestic GOODS, in terms of foreign goods.
Formula: {Epsilon} = (e * P) / P*

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12
Q

How does NX respond to the real exchange rate?

A
  • Fall in real exchange rate means domestic goods are relatively cheaper than foreign goods. Therefore, NX increases (exports rise, imports fall). The converse is true
  • Thus, there is an inverse relationship between epsilon and NX.
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13
Q

How is the real exchange rate determined?

A
  • NX (E) = S - I
  • S - I is a vertical line (doesn’t depend on E)
  • NX (E) is downward sloping (explain why?)
  • Thus, the intersection of these two curves determines the real exchange rate
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14
Q

How does fiscal policy at home affect the real exchange rate?

A
  • S falls, so the (S - I) curve shifts to the left (the supply of pounds has fallen).
  • Demand for pounds remains unchanged
  • Net effect: The real exchange rate to rises, whilst NX falls.
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15
Q

How does fiscal policy abroad affect the real exchange rate?

A
  • r* rises, which reduces investment, increasing net capital outflows and hence shifting the supply of pound to the right.
  • Net effect: NX increases, and the real exchange rate falls,
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16
Q

How does an increase in investment demand affect the real exchange rate?

A
  • Increase in inv. demand reduces net capital flows and shifts supply of pounds to the left.
  • Net effect: real exchange rate rises, and NX falls.
17
Q

How does trade policy to restrict imports affect the real exchange rate?

A
  • At any given E, imports is now lower, and exports higher - demand for pounds shifts to the right.
  • Net effect: real exchange rate rises, NX remains constant.
18
Q

How is the nominal exchange rate determined?

A
  • If the real exchange rate is constant, then the change in e is equal to the difference between foreign and domestic inflation rates.
19
Q

What is purchasing power parity (PPP)?

A

Two defs:
- Doctrine that states all goods must sell at the same (currency adjusted price) in all countries.
- Nominal exchange rate adjusts to equalise the cost of a basket of goods across all countries.
WHY?! Due to arbitrage, or the “law of one price”.
FORMULA = PPP: e * P = P*

20
Q

How does PPP effect our determination of the real exchange rate?

A

Under PPP, the real exchange rate is simply 1 (this is what PPP means). Therefore, the NX curve is horizontal.
This means that changes in S or I will have no effect of the real exchange rate.

21
Q

Does PPP hold in the real world?

A

No, because arbitrage is not always possible:
- There are transportation costs
- Some goods aren’t traded
- Goods are not always perfect substitutes
HOWEVER: Still a useful tool as simple and intuitive, and empirical evidence suggests exchange rates converge on PPP values in the long run.