week 10 - rural Flashcards
define agribusiness
is the business of agricultural production.
includes: agrichemicales breeding crop production distribution farm mahinery processing seed supply
as well as marketing and retail sales.
types of agribusiness
Pastoral Dairy, beef, sheep
Cropping Grains, legumes, oils
Mixed Farming Combines the first two
Irrigated Horticulture, viticulture, cropping
Intensive Eggs, broilers, pigs, feedlots, protected cropping
trends over past 10 years
Number of farm businesses has decreased from 153,000 to 85,000
Businesses with turnover between $1m & $5m increased by 74%
Businesses with turnover greater $5m increased by 140%
what are common units of comparison
same as units of productivity
Dollars per hectare ($/ha)
Cleared, fenced & watered
Sometimes includes a property’s water entitlement & is referred to as a “green hectare”
Productivity measures
Traditional measure – DSE (the amount of feed required by a two year old, 45 kg Merino wether to maintain its weight)
Cropping (tonnes/ha)
Dairy (kilograms of butterfat / protein/total milk solids)
Grazing ($/DSE OR $/beast OR $/sheep or $/AE)
Pitfalls of productivity measures
explain macro factors of rural property
driven by similar macro drivers (the exchange rate, general health of the economy, taxation, commodity prices) they will be driven by very different micro drivers (climatic cycles, geological and topographical variability, distance to processing/ports/markets, urban population influences
Continued global demand for food (driving soft commodity prices)
World population expected to increase from six billion to nine billion people by 2050 – the next GFC will be the Global Food Crisis
Urbanisation of water resources
The world is becoming drier & more people are living in cities
More water needs to be removed from agriculture for urban households & industry
This paradigm is Circular
foreign investment
explain micro factors affecting rurual properties
access to water - dam on property - access to utilities (water rights)
climate soil drainage access to particular natural resources altitude and topograhy fertilizer history
common valuation methods for rurals
Direct Comparison (like for like – not always applicable)
Summation (various units of comparison)
Discounted Cash Flow (suitable for intensive agricultural uses)
explain direct comparision
Where the properties are at a similar stage of development and comparable in all respects, then they may be compared directly without analysis.
In practice this is not a common occurrence.
This value includes all improvements on the property.
explain summation and how to undertake
Summation approach is the adding together of the value of the various components being part of the subject property.
The first component to ascertain is the land value and this is on the basis of the land’s highest and best use, as if vacant.
Then the added value of the structures / improvements is added
exlain dcf
Forecasts the estimated cash flows which a property will generate over a pre-determined time frame (generally ten years) and discounts these future cash flows at a market derived Discount Rate.
Allows for fluctuations of income streams, and in most investment properties these vary from year to year due to increasing yields to maturity, rent reviews, lease terminations, market forces etc.
also can account for capital gains