Week 10 Deck Flashcards
What is the calculation of nominal exchange rates?
- Define e as the number of units of home currency per unit of foreign currency
e = no units of home currency / one unit of foreign currency
Why is the exchange rate important to us?
○ Exchange rates allow us to denominate the cost or price of a good or service in a common currency
○ Exchange rates represent a cost to firms
○ Exchange rate changes create a risk to those firms that hold assets in currencies other than sterling
- Banks and shadow banks
○ Exchange rates affect the price of exports
Define a ‘spot rate’
exchange rates for currency exchanges ‘on the spot’ or when trading is executed in the presents
Define ‘forward rates’
exchange rates for currency exchanges that will occur at a future (forward) date
What is the equation for real exchange rate (Q)
Q = Price of foreign goods expressed in home currency / Price of home goods
Pe/P
where:
P = foreign price
P = home price
A rise in Q is a real depreciation of the home currency
Explain the real exchange in terms of costs
RULC = ULC*e / ULC
Where:
ULC is the unit labour cost
RULC is the relative labour cost
Explain the Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) condition and draw the equation
The UIP condition dictates the interaction between the nominal exchange rate and the interest rate, and it can be represented as:
DIAGRAM
Where:
t = time period I = home/domestic nominal interest rate i* = foreign nominal interest rate e = nominal exchange rate of home country eE = expected nominal exchange rate of home country
Why is the UIP condition important? (2)
- The link between monetary policy and the foreign exchange market
- Implies 2 stabilisation channels in an open economy
What does the UIP condition imply? (2)
- That deposits in all currencies are equally desirable assets
- That arbitrage in the foreign exchange market is not possible
What are the key assumptions of international financial markets? (4)
- Perfect international capital mobility
- Home country is a small open economy
- Home households can hold two assets
i) money: only home money
ii) bonds- Home bonds BH: whose return is the nominal interest rate
- Foreign Bonds BF: whose return is the foreign nominal interest rate
- Perfect asset substitutability (PAS) between BH and BF
PAS: usually an innocuous assumption when analyzing advanced economies
What are the other assumptions of international financial markets
Under PAS, BH and BF are perfect substitutes thus only two things influence the choice between them:
- i and i*
- view about change in e
Other assumptions of international financial markets:
- Forward looking central bank (monetary policy) and participants in the foreign exchange markets
- The exchange rate is a variable that jumps in response to arbitrage opportunities
Draw the UIP condition for a increase in the nominal interest rate by 2.5% such that i>i* for one period
SEE NOTES FOR WORKED EXAMPLE