Week 1- Risk and Return Flashcards
Name 3 types of financial asset
- Fixed-income/Debt securities
- Equity
- Derivative Securities
What do Fixed-income/Debt securities promise?
Either a fixed stream of income or a stream of
income determined by a specified formula (for example, corporate bond)
What does owning equity represent?
Equity represents an ownership share in a firm (for example, common stock)
What does the payoff for derivative securities depend on?
Payoff depends on the value of other financial variables such as stock prices, interest rates, or exchange rates.
Define the Present Value:
The value today of a future cash flow discounted at the appropriate discount rate
Define the Future Value:
The amount to which an investment will grow after earning interest
Give 3 reasons why the value of money changes over time:
- Preferences
- Inflation
- Risk
How is the Future Value in n years calculated?
FVn = PV(1+r)^n
What does the compounding of interest refer to?
This refers to the frequency with wich interest is computed and added to the principle balance (ie interest earned on interest)
Which term in the PV(1+r)^n formula capture the 3 elements of why the value of money changes over time?
r
What is the objective for companies investing in real assets, and why are Present Value calculations important?
Firms want to work out present valuations of real assets (ie machinery), and therefore want to find assets that are worth more than they cost.
How is Present Value calculated?
PV = FVn/ (1+r)^n
What is the Net Present Value?
Net present value is simply the present value plus any immediate cash flows (usually an outflow) β in other words a projectβs net contribution.
How do we calculate NPV?
NPV = PV - required investment
What does ln(1.08)^t simplify to using log laws?
tln(1.08)
What does ln(80/35) simplify down to using log laws?
ln(80) - ln(35)
What can a return sometimes be referred to when the holding period is 1?
The net Holding Period Return (HPR)
Calculate the HPR
(Ending Value of Investment/ Beginning Value of Investment) -1
If an NPV is negative, should the project be undertaken?
No, the project should only be undertaken with a positive NPV (ie it is worth more than its cost)
Apart from seeing if the NPV is positive, what is another way to determine if a project is worth undertaking?
A project is worth undertaking if its rate of return exceeds the cost of capital.
Under simple returns, how do you work out the rate of return?
π= (πβFV/PV) β1
When are βaverage returnsβ often used?
For investments over a given horizon
How can Arithmetic Mean Return (AM) be calculated?
AM = (π1 + π2 + π3 β¦ . ππ)/π
What is Arithmetic Mean Return useful for?
Telling you what your return in a typical year over a particular period was.
What is Geometric Mean useful for?
This tells you what you actually earned on per year average over a particular period, compounded annually.
How is Geometric Mean (GM) calculated?
GM = [(1 + π1)(1 + π2) β¦ . . (1 + ππ)]^(1/π) β 1
What is the 3rd way of calculating returns called?
Expected Returns
Why are expected returns calculated?
As there are many possible returns/outcomes from an investment due to the uncertainty.
How do we calculate expected returns?
Total up the products of the rate of return of an event and the probability of its occurrence.
What are the 3 kinds of interest rates?
- Stated or quoted interested rate
- Effective Annual Rate (EAR)
- Annual Percentage Rate (APR)
How do we calculate the EAR, and what is it?
EAR = (1+ Quoted Rate/π)^π - 1
The EAR is the rate you will actually earn, as it takes into account the fixed effect of compounding
What is the Annual Percentage Rate (APR)?
The harmonized interest rate that expresses the total cost (interest payment and management fees) of borrowing or
investing as a percentage interest rate.
In the UK, what 3 things must all creditors state?
- The APR (including all costs)
- The total amount paid at the end of the loan
- The total charge for credit
What is discrete compounding?
Where we can count the number of compounding periods per year (π)
What is continuous compounding? How is this calculated?
This is when there is an infinite number of compounding periods.
EAR= e^quoted rate -1
Give 2 measures of how actual values differ from the expected values (ie in arithmetic mean) for a given series of values.
- Variance
- Standard Deviation
What does risk create for businesses and investors?
Problems and opportunities
What is the risk associated with investments determined by?
The spread (dispersion) which is measured
by the variance of the return.
How do we work out the risk measure for historical returns (standard deviation)? Assume equal probability
- Work out the mean average
- Then total up all the following formulae:
- ((Event Outcome- Mean)^2 ) /π
- Square root the sum