Week 1 - Lamont, O. A., and Thaler, R. H. (2003). Can the market add and subtract? Mispricing in tech stock carve-outs. Journal of Political Economy, 111(2), 227–268. Flashcards
What is an Equity carve-out (partial public offering) ?
IPO for shares, usually minority stake, in a subsidiary company; partial divestiture of a business unit.
What is a Spinoff?
the parent firm gives remaining shares in the subsidiary to the parent’s
shareholders; the parent distributes the entire ownership interest in the subsidiary as
a stock dividend to existing shareholders and no money changes hands.
What is a Stub?
is the residual security that is left over after removing the carve-outed subsidiary from the parent security.
the pricing of the parent company in respect to the subsidary (spinoff)
If the stub is negative it indicates a groos indication of misspricing. When this stub is negative, it
means that the parent company is valued less by investors than the subsidiary is/was.
What is the investment strategy in this case according to the paper?
Short the stocks of the subsidiary and long the parent, to benefit from the slowly (sluggish) reacting market.
The returns of the parent (RTparent > RT subsidiary) by 30%-33% on average.
What is a short interest?
the total amount of shares of stock that have been sold short relative to the total amount of shares outstanding. It is an indicator of market sentiment.
what is a Synthetic short and how to achieve it?
use options to simulate the payoff of a short stock position
- Buy at-the-money puts and sell at-the-money calls.
- Borrow the present value of the strike price.
- In the paper the synthetic short price is constructed by selling a six-month at-the-money
What are the conclusions of the paper?
the negative stubs are evidence of a violation of the efficient market hypothesis prices
reflect fundamentals/law of one price); a mispricing
investors buy the subsidiary to ‘ride the bubble’, or using the ‘greater fool theory’ (if I buy
it, there will always be a greater fool that will buy the stock from me)
reasons for the violation of the ‘law of one price’ are limits to arbitrage; short-sale
constraints (availability and costs to short the stock)
limits of arbitrage can cause market segmentation
Systematic irrationality among a subset of investors can cause the prices to deviate from
fundamental value for a longer period of time; noise-trader risk