Week 1: Introduction, Macroeconomic Data Flashcards
Macroeconomic method
Output = A x N
A- a positive number
N- number of employed workers in an economy
Describing fluctuations with output gap…
- describes an economy’s position relative to its potential output, the relative deviation of output Y from potential output Yn
Y ̃ = (Y − Y n)/Yn = (Y/Yn) − 1
*positive Y ̃means being above potential output
GDP behavior
-GDP grows with (on average) a constant rate, but unevenly, with swings around the overall tendency upwards
- In the long-run growth components dominates
*you cannot ignore fluctuations
Macroeconomic method -terminology
Exogenous variables - coming from outside a model and not affected by the model
- a subclass of high is parameters (constant numbers)
Endogenous variables - unknowns, calculated within a model
Aggregates of Interest are….
-Gross domestic product
-inflation
-GDP per capita
-unemployment rate
GDP - Gross Domestic Product
Was created as part of the National Income and Product Account system (NIPA) in the US in the 1930s in the wake of the Great Depression
GDP purpose
Measures the market value of all final goods and services produced in an economy within a period of time
Market value -> they have to be sold/bought
Y=total output - intermediate expenditure = value added
It is also the total income generated in an economy
* revenues from selling goods generate benefits for those producing them
GDP - circular flow diagram
H/holds, Govt., Firms
H->private expenditure (domestic) and Factors (labour,capital, land), G-> govt. spending, exp. On exports ->Firms
Firms -> goods, services, lab. Comp. Prop. Income, -> households
H-> exp. On imports
Firms -> goods, lab. Comp + prop. Income -> Taxes -»> Govt.
GDP is the total expenditure on final goods in an economy
GDP =C+I+G+NX
C is Consumption;
I is (Non-financial) Investment;
G is Government spending;
NX = Exports − Imports is Net exports;
Consumption versus investment
- Investment is (mostly) spending on fixed assets (goods that are durable and create a long-lived stream of benefits);
Examples of fixed assets
Tangible: Factories, machinery, vehicles, computer hardware, dwellings;
Intangible: New technologies, software, artistic originals; - The rest is consumption (e.g., food, cars, household appliances, etc.
In All: GDP measures total production, income, and expenditure on final goods
Y = Total output − Intermediate expenditure
Y= Lab. Comp. + property income + taxes
Y= C+I+G+NX
*all data are presented seasonally adjusted
GDP Deflator - Price Index
Price index = P is the average price level in an economy, the ‘price’ of real GDP
nGDPt =Pt ·rGDPt =Pt ·Yt
Pt = nGDPt/rGDPt
Consumer Price index - the cost of a consumption basket today relative to that cost in the base year
CPI t = cost of basket in year ‘t’/cost os basket in base year
- only includes consumer goods
- can include imports and second hand items
Real GDP v. Nominal GDP
Real uses prices from base year
Nominal uses current prices
So GDP or Y refer to rGDP
Prices indices: Deflator v. CPI
Deflator = P2 x V2/P1 x V2
CPI = P2 x V1/P1 X V1
P1 is the earlier price, the one from the base year, same with volume