W7 - UIP and Unbiasedness hypothesis Flashcards
What does the uncovered interest rate parity condition say?
That the expected returns on these two investments should be the same
What is the difference between CIP and UIP?
Unlike CIP, under UIP exchange rate risk is not hedged, so investors are exposed to future exchange rate movements as there is no future contract
Under UIP, what is the expected appreciation or depreciation of the currency equal to?
Interest rate differentials
What does the unbiasedness hypothesis say?
That there is no systematic difference between the forward rate and the expected future spot rate
What is market inefficiency?
Interest rate differentials contain information from which profit can be obtained
What is carry trade?
Going long with currencies with largest forward discounts against USD (F>S) and vice versa
What does carry trade hope for?
Hopes that the spot exchange rate does not move too much against you so that you can profit from the interest differential