W5 - Long term Decision Making Flashcards
What is Investment Appraisal?
-Involves looking at long-term choices about specific investments in future projects
-These decisions usually look 10-20 years into future
-Capital for investment is normally scarce
-Usually biggest & riskiest expenditure decisions that a business will face to assessment helped by a disciplined approach
Investment Decision Making Process
- Origination of proposal
- Project screening
- Analysis & acceptance/rejection
- Monitoring & review
Payback period
Time is takes cash inflows to equal intital cash outflow
Rules for payback period
-Accept project if payback period < maximum permitted
-Reject project if payback period > maximum permitted
-Ranking: Best project is that with the shortest payback period
Advantages of payback
-Simplicity - quick and easy to calculate
-Focus on early payback can enhance liquidity
-Minimise risk
-Shorter term forecasts are more likely to be reliable
-Suitable when capital is rationed
Disadvantages of payback
-Ingores benefits after payback period
-Ingores objective of wealth maximisation
-Unable to distinguish between projects with same payback period
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Average Rate of Return
Measures average profit from an investment expressed as a percentage of the average investment made
Decision rules for ARR
-Accept project if ARR > required rate of return
-Reject project if ARR < required rate of return
-Ranking: best project is that with the highest ARR
ARR calculation
Average operating profit / Average capital employed X100
Average operating profit formula
Total profit / No. of years of project
Average capital employed formula
Cost + scrap value / 2
Advantages of ARR
-Comparison with company’s existing or targeted return
-Readily understood (familiarity with ROCE)
-Takes account of all the costs/benefits asociated with a project over entire project life
Disadvanages of ARR
-Method is based on accounting profit BUT cash is the ultimate measure of economic wealth generated by investment
-The ARR percentage is potentially meaningless?
-Doesnt consider timing of profits
-Ignores time value of money