W2 Flashcards
Risk structure of interest rates def
When bonds with the same maturity date have different interest rates
Risk, liquidity, and income tax are factors that play a role in determining the risk structure.
Default risk premium
risk premium = i_C - I_T
Corporate bonds: risk bearing bond
Treasury bond: default-free bond
Investment grade bonds: Baa (or BBB) and above
Junk bonds: below Baa (or BBB)
US municipal bonds may have tax exemptions (which raises relative RET)
Yield curve def
A plot of the yield on bonds with different terms to maturity, but the same risk, liquidity and tax considerations
Important facts about interest rates
- Interest rates on bonds of different maturities move together over time.
- The yield curves tend to have an upward slope when short-term interest rates are low and a downward slope when short-term interest rates are high.
- A yield curve is typically upward-sloping.
The expectations theory
Key assumption: Bonds of different maturities are perfect substitutes.
Explains: Fact 1 & 2
Buy and roll strategy
expected return= ((1+i_2t )(1+i_2t )-1)/1=2i_2t+〖(i_2t)〗^2
Rolling strategy
expected return= ((1+i_t )(1+i_(t+1^e ) )-1)/1=i_t+i_(t+1^e )+i_t (i_(t+1^e ))
The segmented markets theory
Key assumption: Bonds of different maturities are not substitutes at all.
Explains: Fact 3
The liquid premium theory
Key assumption: Bonds of different maturities are substitutes, but they are not perfect substitutes.
Explains: all 3 facts
i_nt=(i_t+i_(t+1)^e+i_(t+2)^e+i_t(n-1)^e)/n+l_nt