voting behaviour and the media Flashcards
1979 case study overview
76% turnout
Conservative win with 339 seats majority of 43
labour won 269 seats
conservative focus on reducing inflation
there was little indication as to how right the party would go
labour was extremely unrealistic
election was called after Callaghan’s government lost a vote of no confidence
conservatives hired publicity specialist to make themselves look good
Callaghan’s previous government were not popular at all particularly because of the winter of discontent with thousands going on strike and Callaghan barely acknowledging the massive problem
1997 case study overview
71.4% turnout
first labour government in 18 years
Labour won 418 seats and a majority of 179
conservative won 165 seats
conservative lacked good leadership and suffered from party infighting failing to appeal to an increasingly diverse society
labour adopted a policy of new labour
New labour abandoned old fashioned policies like nationalisation, strengthening trade unions and increasing tax and focused on reducing crime rates focusing on appealing to “middle england”
the 1997 result can only be fully explained by looking at the failings of the 1992 conservative goverment
impression of weak leadership was fatal for the tories
2010 case study overview
65.1% turnout
coallition between conservatives and liberal democrats as all parties failed to obtain a majority
conservatives won 306 seats
labour won 258 seats
conservative wanted to fix the deficit and “go green”
labour wanted an increase in public spending and cut deficit by 50%
social media was a new and important factor as it was the first election with live TV debates. Facebook set up pages with live commentary.
Nick Clegg did best in opinion polls and had a jump in opinion polls because of this
class voting
voters will vote in the common economic interest of their class
core voting
will loyally vote for one party regardless of personal issues
class deallignment
People no longer vote according to social class
partisan deallignment
People are less loyal to a particular party
floating voters
Not loyal to any party and are open to persuasion
dissillusion
disappointment when something is not as good as it is expected to be
rational choice theory
the idea that voter act like consumers and vote in accordance to their preferences and what they need at that time in life as an individual.
class is important in voting because
Issues of tax and benefits remain a key distinction between the 2 main parties
Many voters do still identify with a party based on their perceived class
Geographic voting trends still reflect the relative wealth and class make-up of a region or constituency
Class inequality and a lack of social mobility remain major concerns for many voters
class is not important in voting because
Major issues, such as immigration, cross class divisions The size and role of the working class has declined by more than half, making it less of a political presence. Increasing property ownership and improved education make it more difficult to categorise classes. Successful parties have to appeal across a wide range of issues, not just those relating to class
Factors that affect voting behaviour
Gender Age Class region Ethnicity
How does gender affect voting
Women have a larger preference for conservative due to a preference for a strong economy
Younger women however are more likely to vote labour than men are
In the 2010 election 30% of women aged 18 - 24 voted conservative for women aged over 55 this rose to 42%
Turnout does not differ between men and women
In the 2010 election 66% of men voted and 64% of women voted
how does age affect voting behaviour
Older people more likely to vote conservative compared to young people.
Age means you are less likely to vote idealistically
Political outlooks are shaped by voter experience so if they experienced poor labour governments before they are more likely to vote conservative
Turnout is greatly affected by age - 76% of over 65’s voted compared to 44% of 18 to 24 year olds