Voter Turnout and Candidates Flashcards
How do electoral systems affect voters’ turnout?
- PR systems are generally linked with higher turnout according to Lijphart
- In plurality/majority systems, turnout tends to be higher when national election reults are expected to be close than when one party looks certain to win. Also higher in individual districts where results are expected to be closer
Pivotal Voter Theory
Closely contested competitive elections will increase the chance that a single voter might become “pivotal” in determining the outcome, and thus increase the incentives for voters who care about the outcome to turn out and vote
The Paradox of Voting
The probability of any one voter becoming pivotal would get closer and closer to 0 w/ the increase of electoral turnout
sooo why vote if it will be meaningless?
if the pivotal voter theory says a close race should increase turnout, shouldnt this predictable increased turnout then decrease turnout bc the probability of casting the decisive vote decreased with turnout
Why do voters turnout on Election Day?
- Now voting is an easy and cheap act of political activism
- When people think there are problems with the system (low levels of esteem for politians and the representative institutions) -> low turn out
- Too frequent elections -> low turnout
Electoral Fatigue
Too frequent elections (at different levels) reduce turnout
Which kind of electoral system is linked with higher turnout?
Proportional Representation Systems
- Voters are likely to feel more “efficacious” in electoral systems that produce more proportional outcomes
- Higher M -> less disproportionality -> votes are more likely to count
- PR systems are more permissive to the entry of a greater # of parties
- PR elections tend to be more nationally competitve across districts than SSD elections
- PR systems may feature more powerful linkages btw aprties and groups in society, thereby facilitating mobilization (elite mobilization theories)
Elite Mobilization Theory
Highlights the interplay btw power, resources, and influence in the political sphere. Contrasts theories emphasizing the roile of ordinary citizens and grassroots activism.
Turnout in Plurality/Majority systems
In Plurality (FPTP): Pivtoral voter theory apples to every single district. Higher chance of wasted votes. Reduced # of competitive candidates/parties.
In 2-Round Systems: Additional burdens and costs for voters (voter exhaustion). Reduced choice in the 2nd round
“safe seats” / “safe districts”
seats / districts that will most probably stay voting for a candidate or party that it has in the past
lower turn out
The Washing Machine Metaphor
You don’t need to know how an electoral system works, you jsut need to know that it does
Other than the overall system, what else can affect voter turnout?
- Is voting compulsory? Is this effectively enforced?
- Is there a minimum turnout level to make an election valid?
- Voting registration
- Organzation of polling stations
- Presenece of alternative ways of voting (postal, online, early voting in person)
Do electoral systems affect the kind of candidates that run for office?
SMD based systems encourage candidates that wish to be seen as the representative of their geographical area and its interests
PR encourages a party loyalty over region loyalty
SMD encourages voters to make thier choice btw candidates instead of btw different political parties and programs
Are certain categories of peoploe more likely to run for office?
Electoral rules can influence substantive representation and ideological congruence by affecting levles of descriptive representation
PR with large district magnitudes (M) produces greater descriptive representation of women than majoritarian systems (thus women are more encouraged to run bc of the higher chance of success)
Descriptive representation
Representation on Paper
What are the actual statistics of each group representated (not how their interests are actually being promoted)
Unequal Descriptive Representation
Some demographics (on paper) are over represented or under represented in legislative bodies
- CLASS!: parliaments have a huge unequal descriptive representation among class of legislators (legislators tend to come from privildged backgrounds)
- parliaments have become less descriptively representatice than in the past
- descriptive representation is skewed in the favor of affluent citizens