Voter Coalitions Flashcards
what are voter coalitions
groups of voters that support a particular
candidate
social background factors
Gender
Ethnicity
Religion
how can candidates win an election
To win an election, candidates usually need to attract the support of a range of social groups to win. They need to attract a combination of different social groups.
gender
14% point gender gap 2020
24% point gender gap 2016
ethnicity/race
Both for white Americans and Black Americans political parties’ views on those issues (affirmative action, police brutality, white supremacy) influence how they vote – in the whole country, although particularly in the South
back vote
95% in 2008 for Obama
93% in 2012 for Obama
87% in 2020 for Biden Harris
Reasons why African Americans tend to vote Democrat
- 1960s support for civil rights and desegregation
- Continued support for equality and affirmative action
- African American candidates and role models
- African Americans are more likely to be poor – link with social class and Democrats support for working class
what ethnicity is increasing
Latino vote is increasingly important
65% dems in 2020
Why do most Hispanics tend to vote Democrat?
- Immigration issue. Support for immigration, amnesty (Dem.) vs. tough border control, deportations (Rep.)
- Democrat support for minority civil rights
- Hispanics are more likely to be poor – linkwith social class and Democrats support for working class
Why do some Hispanics tend to vote Republican?
Conservative (Catholic) views on social issues
Dislike of socialism (Cubans & Venezuelans in Florida)
religion
Unlike in the UK, religion has always been an important factor distinguishing groups in society – and has always been a significant factor explaining voting behaviour
when did religion start to become a major factor
since the 1980s and the rise of the religious
right.
evangelical Christian voters
Many Evangelical Christian voters’ opinions on abortion and gay marriage are the most important when deciding their vote, they tend to vote republican. Republican candidates are forced to be more and more openly passionate about those issues to please their ‘base’
76% voted for trump in 2020
why do evangelicals vote republican
Pro-life, Against abortion - Roe v. Wade 1973
Against gay marriage – Obergefell v Hodges 2015
Protect school prayers
In favour of public buildings displaying Christian symbols
For teaching of creationism, not evolution
Support for Israel
social class
since the 1980s the boundaries between the social classes have become more blurred, in the UK. In the US social class has never been the single dominant voting behavior factor