Volume 3 Flashcards
E(r) can be decomposed into?
Describe on-the-run vs of the run bonds?
What is a stylised YC?
What is a constant maturity yield?
What are the primary YC risk features of Levels, slopes and Shape? What percent do each make up of YC moves?
More curvature = ….. butterfly spread?
Expected change in price from YC change formula = ?
What to PMs tend to use (related to above formula)?
Increased curvature means wings down and would want to be long barbell
For convexity: Longer maturity bonds have ….? The greater the dispersion the ……?
High convexity portfolio will outperform low convexity portfolio when ….?
When YC is expected to be static (upward sloping) you should do what?
Describe the technique buy and hold and rolling down the YC to achieve desired approach above?
For rolling down the YC should buy a bond with a maturity greater than….?
How can repos be used to as a trading strategy given the same YC forcast and the profit is equal to?
How can leverage be added through futures?
How can a received fixed swap add leverage, what is the profit? Example of change in yield effect on bullet vs barbell portfolio with same weighted duration?
How can derivatives be used instead of cash position in a bond for the same example?
Example of riding YC using bond cash position vs derivatives? 3 components of cash bond position
Dynamic yield curve: What are the strategies if rates expected to drop vs rates expected to rise? Would you favour derivates vs over/under selling bonds and why?
Dynamic yield curve: What are bullish and bearish steepener/flatteners? What is strategy for steepenening vs flattening curve
Example of a steepening (just a change in slope)? Want to be duration neutral
Bull steepner exmaple (chang in slope + drop in rates)? Want to be net positive duration
What happens in bear steepener what is the trading strategy? What are the strategies for neutral, bull and bear flatteners?
Dynamic yield curve: Shape
What is butterfly spread and what is it usually? What is a positive and negative butterfly twist and the trading strategy under each (body and wings)? What happens to convexity under a butterfly
Dynamic yield curve: Volatility
How to use options and swaptions to profit from changing volatility? explain difference in convexity between putable and callable bonds?
Dynamic yield curve: Key rate durations
What is formula for key rate duration?
Multiple yield curves, have to assess shape, level and steepness for each country curve?
Why do high-yielding currencies trade at a forward discount? UIRP implies … as CIRP?
Under UIRP and CIRP forward rates are …. of future spot rates? What is forward rate bias?
Since UIRP does not hold ….. is possible and what is …..?
What are the risks of this strategy?
Change in price due to change in spread: what are the two components of credit risk?
Spread is approximately = ?
POD is = ?
What is credit loss rate?
Formula for POD = ?
loss rate (credit rating) depends on ?
What is credit migration?
Properties of IG bonds relative to HY in terms of rating, default risk, recovery rate, YTM, impact from adverse events?
Credit curve spreads: How are they usually classified? What are curve changes driven by?
What is happening to Economic activity, profitability, leverage, defaults, spread level, spread slope over the credit cycle (early expansion, lat exp, peak, contraction)?
What happens to spread differences between categories in economic growth vs recession?
For HY bonds ModDur tends to do what?
Compare neg corr with spreads and rates for HY vs IG and magnitude of credit spread changes?
For fixed rate bonds, floating rate bonds and Porfolio level what are the important spread measures?
Fixed rate bond credit measures: what is yield spread (nearest yield spread)? What is g-spread and I-spread?
Explain difference between yield spread and G-spread?
G-spread is interpolated while yield spread is direct
What can the I-spread be used for?
What is the asset swap spread (ASW)?
What is the Z-spread and the CDS basis?
What is the OAS? What is
What is the quoted margin (QM) and the discount margin (DM)?
For FRN = Par, premium, discount what is the relationship between QM and DM?
What is the Zero discount margin (ZDM)?
Portfolio level impacts of spread
Change in portfolio value formula, therefore what is most appropriate measure of portfolio level spread?
What is spread duration?
DTS (duration spread) formula?
Excess spread return = ?
How do active credit managers deal with interest risk and spread risk?
Define the credit universe?
PM’s prefer company-level risk exposure rather than …..?
What are the key areas of company specific information?
Structural credit models are based on what?
This implies debt and equity can be expressed as ?
What do reduced form credit models do?
Example of reduced form credit model?
Bottom-up relative value analysis: Use of Ex spread (R) formula?
other considerations include?
Z altman score lower = more financial distress
What do top down credit strategies focus on?
In determining the desired credit quality of portfolio, what is this influenced by?
As higher GDP growth expectations then expectations for …. default rates and …. spreads
How do bond risks tend to change and thus what weightings methods can be used to overcome this?
What are the main factor based portfolio methods and what is each measured by?
What are the ESG considerations?
Liquidity risks - markets rely heavily on what?
What is TRACE?
When managing liquidity risks what tools might a PM use?
What is tail risk and how is it assessed?
What are the downside of VAR?
What is Conditional VAR, IVar and Relative VAR?
For parametric, historical simulation and monte carlo of estiamting tail risk, provide the description, pros and cons of each?
Tools for managing tails risks are?
CDS review: What it means to be protection buyer/seller?
IG and HY fixed spreads?
Upfront payment formula?
%change in CDS price formula?