Video 12 A, B & C: Market Cycle Flashcards
Market Cycle - Every Bull Chart is in 1 of 4 Pattern. What are they?
Breakout
Tight Bull Channel
Broad Bull Channel
Trading Range
Breakout Characteristics
Stronger part of trend
No pullbacks, or just one pullback lasting 1-2 bars
Market quickly goes your way
probability of high prices is high
do not sell
Tight Bull Channel Characteristics
most pullbacks only last 1 - 3 bars
probability of high prices is high
do not sell
Broad Bull Channel Characteristics
bullish market sentiment, yet the traders take profits regularly
Higher highs, higher lows
Best to buy pullbacks
Sell on higher high
The broader and flatter the easier to make money
Okay to sell new high for scalp
On smaller time frame chart, contains Trading Ranges TR
Trading Range Characteristics
When a pullback lasts 20+ or more bars
Market does not breakout and it will reverse.
Bull buy bottom third
Bears sell top third or breakout that may fail. 80% of breakouts fail.
Bulls and bears are confused.
True or False
All trends begin with a breakout
True
What happens as soon as Pullback?
Breakout phase of trend has ended
Whenever you can look at a chart and come up with a reasonable buyer setup and a reasonable sell setup. You have to assume the market is in a….
Trading Range
Define Inertia
The market continuing what it has been doing and resist change. What will the right do? What has the left done? 80% rule
Binary Choices: It’s easier to decide when you I have just two choices.
Some examples are…
Binary Decision: Trend or Trading Range? Breakout or Channel? Is Channel Tight r Broad? Major or Minor Reversal?