Variability and the OM triangle Flashcards
DISCRETE RV
Countable Values: The outcomes are finite or countably infinite (e.g., 0, 1, 2, β¦).
CONTINUOUS RV
Values are uncountable and can take any value within a range (e.g., height, temperature).
Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
describes the probability that a random variable π takes on a value less than or equal to a certain value
x. P(Xβ€x) is the probability that
π is less than or equal to π₯
x.
PREDICTABLE VARIABILITY
Knowable changes in input or capacity rates. Can be controlled by making changes to the system.
UNPREDICTABLE VARIABILITY
Unknowable changes in input and or capacity rates. Expressed with probabilty distribution
PREDICTABLE AND UNPREDICTABLE VARIABILITY
Both types of variability exist simultaneously
What are the effects of input variability without a buffer ?
- Input may be wasted - Resources are underutilized due to inefficiencies
- Reduced throughput - The overall output of the process decreases
- Lower throughput leads to - Lost customers and revenue, customer disatisfaction, Less utilization of resources
When the arrival rate of customers is unpredictable, what could you do to increase throughput?
Add Buffer or Increase Capacity
THE OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT (OM) TRIANGLE
- CAPACITY - The ability to handle increased production or demand
- INVENTORY - Resources held to buffer against variability or demand fluctuations
- INFORMATION - Knowledge about the system and its variability to improve decision making
STRATEGIES TO RESPOND TO VARIABILITY
- INVENTORY- Let the queue (inventory) build up to absorb variability. This approach deals with variability by holding extra resources, but it can increase costs or delay flow time.
- CAPACITY- Increase capacity to handle higher variability.
- INFORMATION - Reduce uncertainty by understanding and predicting variability. This strategy minimizes reliance on buffers and optimizes the process based on data.
Iq
Queue length
Tq
Waiting time
Ts
Service Time
Flow Time ( π )
Total time a customer spends in the system, including both waiting (ππ) and service (ππ ).
π = ππ + ππ
Throughput Rate (Ξ»)
Rate at which customers/items are processed (flow rate through the system).
Inventory (πΌ)
Total number of customers/items in the system:
πΌ= πΌπ + πΌπ
Littleβs Law
Iq =Ξ»Tq (Inventoryinqueue)
πΌπ = πππ (Inventoryinservice)
πΌ =ππ (Totalinventoryinthesystem)
ΞΌ
Service rate (processing capacity of the server)
Utilization (Ο)
Represents how much of the serverβs capacity is being utilized:
π = π /π
The system is stable when
π < 100%
β
Safety Capacity
SafetyCapacity = ΞΌ β Ξ»
The difference between the serverβs capacity and the actual arrival rate
K
Buffer Capacity
C
Number of servers in the resource pool