Valuing Bonds Flashcards

1
Q

Bond certificate

A

states the terms of the bond

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2
Q

Maturity Date

A

final repayment date

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3
Q

Term

A

the time remaining until the repayment date

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4
Q

Coupon

A

promised interest payments

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5
Q

Face Value

A

notional amount used to compute the interest payments

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6
Q

Coupon Rate

A

determines the amount of each coupon payment, expressed as an APR

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7
Q

Coupon Payment

A

CPN = Coupon rate x Face Value

/ No. of coupon payments per year

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8
Q

Zero-coupon bond

A

doesn’t make coupon payments

always sells at a discount (below face value) so they are also called pure discount bonds

  • Treasury Bills are US gov zero-coupon bonds with a maturity of up to a year
  • compensation for zero-coupon bonds is the difference between the initial price and the face value
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9
Q

Yield to maturity

A

the discount rate that sets the present value of the promised bond payments equal to the current market price of the bond

Price of zero coupon bonds:

P = FV/(1+YTM)^n

e.g for $100,000 zero coupon bond with with 1 year

96,618.36 = 100,000/(1+YTM)^!

YTM = 3.5%

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10
Q

Yield to maturity of an n-year zero coupon bond

A

= (FV/price)^1/n - 1

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11
Q

Risk-Free Interest rates

A

a default-free zero-coupon that matures on date n provides a risk free return over the same period. Thus, the law of one price guarantees that the risk free interest rate equals the yield to maturity on such bond

risk free interest rate with maturity, n:

r = YTMn

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12
Q

Spot interest rate

A

another term for default-free, zero-coupon yield

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13
Q

zero-coupon yield curve

A

a plot of the yield of risk-free zero-coupon bonds as a function of the bonds maturity date

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14
Q

Coupon bonds

A

pay face value at maturity

pay regular coupon interest payments

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15
Q

Treasury notes

A

US treasury coupon security with original maturities of 1-10 years

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16
Q

Treasury bonds

A

US treasury coupon security with original maturities over 10 years

e.g US treasury issued a 5-year, $1000 bond with 5% coupon rate and semi annual coupons. What’re the cash flows until maturity

CPN = $1000 x 5%/2 = $25

so receive 25 dollars every 6 months and $1000 when bond matures (after 10 six-month periods)

17
Q

YTM of a coupon bond

A

the single discount rate that equates the present value of the bonds remaining cash flows to its current price

P = CPN/Y x (1-(1/(1+Y)^N))+ FV/(1+Y)^N

where FV = face value

e. g that 5-year $1000 bond has 6.3% APR compounded semi annually (CPN = 25 dollar payments every 6 months)
6. 3/3 = 3.15%

P = 25/0.0315 x (1-1/1.0315^10) + 1000/1.0315^10

18
Q

Discount

A

bond is at a discount if price is less than the face value

if a coupon bond trades at a discount, an investor will earn a return both from receiving the coupon and from receiving a face value that exceeds the price paid for the bond

its yield to maturity will exceed the coupon rate

19
Q

Par

A

bond is at par if it equals the face value

20
Q

Premium

A

bond is selling at a premium if price is greater than face value

  • if a bond trades at a premium, it will earn a return from receiving the coupons, but this return will be diminished by receiving a face value less than the price paid for the bond
  • its yield to maturity will be smaller than its coupon rate
    e. g 30 year bond with annual coupon payment with a 10% coupon rate. Yield to maturity is 5%, what is the price of each bond per $100 face value?

P = 10/0.05 x (1-1/1.05^30) +100/1.05^30 = $176.86

so bond selling at a premium

21
Q

Time and Bond Prices

A
  • holding all other things constant, a bonds yield to maturity will not change over time
  • Yield to maturity is the investors required return to hold this bond

this takes into account risk-free rate and risk premium

if they stay the same, YTM won’t change

  • holding all other things constant, the price of discount or premium bond will move to par value over time
22
Q

Par value equation

A

P = CPN/Y x (1-1/(1+Y)^N) + FV/(1+Y)^N

then the date is getting nearer to maturity rate there are:

  • less coupon payments left
  • less discount of face value
  • so will converge towards face value
23
Q

Interest rate changes and bond prices

A
  • there’s an inverse relationship between interest rates and bond prices

as interest rates and bond prices rise, bond prices fall and vice versa

everything else equal:

  • shorter-maturity zero-coupon bonds are less sensitive to interest rate changes than longer-maturity ones
  • bonds with higher coupon rates are less sensitive to interest rate changes team bonds with lower coupon rates
24
Q

The sensitivity of a bonds price changes in interest rates is measured by the bonds duration

A
  • bonds with high durations are highly sensitive to interest rate changes
  • bonds with low durations are less sensitive to interest rate changes
25
Q

Replicating a coupon bond

A

replicating a 3 year $1000 bond that pays 10% annual coupon using 3 zero-coupon bonds

will produce same payment when they have matured

26
Q

Valuing a coupon bond using zero-coupon bond yields

A

the price of a coupon bond must equal the present values of its coupon payments and its face value

PV = CPN/1+YTM1 + CPN/(1+YTM2)^2 etc + (CPN +FV)/(1+YTMn)^n

where CPN is each coupon payment
FV = face value

how to value a coupon bond using zero-coupon bond yields

27
Q

Treasury Yield Curves

A

Treasury coupon-paying yield curve

  • on the run bonds are the most recently issued bonds ]

the yield curve for these often a plot of the yield on these bonds

28
Q

Corporate bond yields

A

Investors pay less for bonds with credit risk than they would for an identical default-free bond

  • the yield of bonds with credit risk will be higher than that of otherwise identical default-free bonds
29
Q

No default

A

1-year, zero coupon $1000 treasury bill with YTM of 4%

P = 1000/1+YTM = 1000/1.04 = $961.54

30
Q

Certain default

A

suppose now bond issuer will pay 90% of the obligation

P = 900/1+YTM = 900/1.04 = $865.38

when computing YTM of certain default bonds, promised rather than actual cash flows are used

  • the YTM of a certain default bond is not equal to the expected return of investing in the bond. The YTM will always be higher than the expected return of investing in the bond
31
Q

Risk of default

A

consider a one year $1000 zero-coupon bond

  • there’s a 50% chance the bond will repay its full-value, 50% chance it’ll default and you’ll receive $900. Thus you would expect to receive $950
  • because of the uncertainty, discount rate is 5.1%

P = 950/1.051 = $903.90

YTM = FV/P -1 = 1000/903.90 -1 = 0.1063

  • a bonds expected rerun will be less than the YTM if there’s a risk of default
  • a higher YTM doesn’t necessarily imply that a bonds expected return is higher
32
Q

Bond ratings

A
AAA - best quality, small degree of risk, interest payments protected
AA
A
BBB
BB
B/B
CCC
CC
D - lowest rates, extremely poor prospects
33
Q

Default spread

A

also known as credit spread

  • difference between yield on corporate bonds and treasury yields
34
Q

Sovereign bonds

A
  • bonds issued by national governments
    e. g US treasury securities, usually default free
  • All sovereign bonds are not default free
  • important of inflation expectations (potential to inflate away the debt)