Valuation of real options Flashcards

1
Q

What are the four steps in DCF valuation?

A
  • Estimation of discount rate → risk premium + financing structure of project
  • Estimation of CFs = unlevered
  • Estimation of TV
  • Computation of NPV
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2
Q

What are the limitations of a DCF analysis?

A
  • Static
  • Does not capture embedded options in investment
  • Ignores flexibility in timing of investment
  • Ignores value of option arising maybe in future
  • Relies on difficult estimation of appropriate discount rate
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3
Q

What are the different kind of options a firm might encounter in the future?

A
  • Growth options
  • Contraction options
  • Flexibility options
  • Option to default
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4
Q

Why do we use the term risk-neutral probabilities to describe these weights?

A
  • Probabilities sum to 1
  • Positive and mathematical convenience (discount CFs at rf)
  • Do not need to resort on WACC
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