Valuation of Bonds and Stocks Flashcards

1
Q

Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)

A

all information about an investment is known to the market

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2
Q

Capitalization of income method of valuation

A

security’s value is equal to the value of its future payments and its principal discounted for present value.

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3
Q

Net Present Value (NPV)

A

Difference between intrinsic and market value/purchase price

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4
Q

Intrinsic value of bond

A

Present value of the bond discounted by the appropriate yield to maturity or required rate of return.

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5
Q

Intrinsic value of stock

A

Sum of present values of expected cash flows

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6
Q

IRR

A

Implied return, if greater than required return or market capitalization rate, then favorable.

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7
Q

Zero-growth model

A

future dividend remain at fixed amount, eg high grade preferred stock

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8
Q

Constant-growth model

A

dividends will grow at the same rate: D1=Dividend (D0 x (1+g))

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9
Q

How do analysts determine whether stock is under/overvalued?

A

-Underpriced if P/E <normal V/E
-Overpriced if P/E >normal V/E

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10
Q

How are Earnings per share (Et) related to dividends per share (Dt)?

A

Payout Ratio: Pt
Dt=(Pt)(Et)

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11
Q

Sustainable Growth Rate

A

ROE x Retention rate
g (sustainable growth rate) = Roe x b(retention ratio: 1-payout ratio)
Highest ROE and retention rate = greatest sustainable growth

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12
Q

What are the common developmental stages of a company with relation to earnings?

A
  • Growth: rapidly expanding sales, high profit margins, high earnings per share
  • Transitional: increased competition, reduced profit margins, slower earnings growth
  • Maturity: new investment offers slightly attractive returns as earnings growth rate, payout ratio and return on equity stabilize
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13
Q

Estimate Intrinsic Value

A

PV of cash flows from growth stage + PV of cash flows of transition stage + PV of cash flows of maturity stage, where maturity stage would be constant growth model

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14
Q

When calculating the intrinsic value of a stock using expected earnings, which variables are used to replace dividends?

A

Payout ratio and expected earnings

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15
Q

What factor would be most consistent with a relatively high growth rate of firm earnings and dividends, with all other things being equal?

A

Low dividend payout ratio: Assuming that no new capital is obtained externally and no shares are repurchased, the portion of earnings not paid to stockholders as dividend will be used to pay for the firm’s new investments. The portion not paid out is the retention ratio. Growth rate depends on the proportion of earnings that are retained and the average return on equity for the earnings that are retained.

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16
Q

a stock’s “normal” price/earnings ratio will be higher if the following conditions are satisfied

A

The greater the expected payout ratios,
The greater the expected growth rates in earnings per share, and
The smaller the required rate of return.

17
Q

Liquidity ratios

A
  • Working Capital: current assets- current liabilities
  • Current Ratio: current assets/current liabilities
  • Quick Ratio (acid test): (current assets-inventory)/current liabilities
  • Cash Ratio: (cash+marketable securities)/current liabilities
18
Q

Activity ratios

A
  • Inventory Turnover: COGS/Ave Inventory
  • Days to Sell Inventory: 365/ Inventory Turnover
  • A/R Turnover: Sales/Ave A/R
  • Receivable Collection Period: 365/A/R Turnover
  • Working Capital Turnover: Sales/Ave Working Capital
  • Total Asset Turnover: Sales/Ave Total Assets
  • Fixed (Net) Asset Turnover: Sales/Ave Fixed Assets
  • Equity Turnover: Sales/Ave Equity
19
Q

Profitability Ratios

A
  • Gross Profit Margin: Gross Profit/Sales
  • Operating Profit Margin: EBIT/Sales
  • Net After Tax Profit Margin: EAT/Sales
  • Net Before Tax Profit Margin: EBT/Sales
  • Return on Assets (ROA)= EAT/Total Assets
  • Return on Total Capital (ROTC)= (EAT + I)/Total Capital I=Interest expense and Total Capital=Total Assets?
  • Return on Equity (ROE) = EAT/Equity
20
Q

Debt/Solvency Ratios

A
  • Total Debt to Equity: Total Liabilities/Equity
  • Debt to Equity: Total LT Debt/ Equity
  • Assets to Equity (leverage multiplier)= Total Assets/Equity
  • Times Interest Earned - EBIT/I (I=Int Exp)
21
Q

Decomposition of ROE (DuPont Method)

A
  • Assets to Equity: Total Assets/Equity
  • Asset Turnover: Sales/Total Assets
  • Net After Tax Profit Margin: EAT/Sales
22
Q

Three determinants of P/E ratio

A

A risk-adjusted discount rate that exceeds the stock’s average growth rate, k
A growth rate, g
A cash dividend payout ratio, D1/E1

23
Q

Free cash flow

A

Company’s cash earnings from operations (net income + depreciation + amortization, adjusted for working capital changes) - plant, property and equipment purchases and dividend payouts: Gives clear idea of how much cash is available after capital spending

24
Q

Price/Sales Ratio

A

Company’s price/sales or revenue
Good for analyzing large cap companies, less appropriate for service companies that don’t have sales

25
Q

Price/Earnings Growth (PEG)

A

P/E / Projected expected earnings growth rate as a percent- works better for smaller/growth companies; however it is dependent on earnings estimates which are less reliable than free cash and revenue

26
Q

Book value of company stock

A

(assets - liabilities)/common stock shares

27
Q

Price to Book Value Ratio

A

Price/Book value ratio=Market price per share for stock i at time t/book value per share for stock i at time t (higher ROE increases stock’s PBV ratio) good for new company that is not publicly traded

28
Q

Under the _____________________, the focus is on a time in the future (denoted by T), after which dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate (g)

A

Under the Multiple-Growth Model, the focus is on a time in the future (denoted by T), after which dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate (g).

29
Q

The ______ of a company is forecasted based on the results of the Multiple Growth Model calculation.

A

Once investment analysts calculate a required rate of return, it is easy to compute various values required for determining the Multiple Growth Model. The intrinsic value of a company is forecasted based on these figures.