Valuation of Bonds and Stocks Flashcards
Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)
all information about an investment is known to the market
Capitalization of income method of valuation
security’s value is equal to the value of its future payments and its principal discounted for present value.
Net Present Value (NPV)
Difference between intrinsic and market value/purchase price
Intrinsic value of bond
Present value of the bond discounted by the appropriate yield to maturity or required rate of return.
Intrinsic value of stock
Sum of present values of expected cash flows
IRR
Implied return, if greater than required return or market capitalization rate, then favorable.
Zero-growth model
future dividend remain at fixed amount, eg high grade preferred stock
Constant-growth model
dividends will grow at the same rate: D1=Dividend (D0 x (1+g))
How do analysts determine whether stock is under/overvalued?
-Underpriced if P/E <normal V/E
-Overpriced if P/E >normal V/E
How are Earnings per share (Et) related to dividends per share (Dt)?
Payout Ratio: Pt
Dt=(Pt)(Et)
Sustainable Growth Rate
ROE x Retention rate
g (sustainable growth rate) = Roe x b(retention ratio: 1-payout ratio)
Highest ROE and retention rate = greatest sustainable growth
What are the common developmental stages of a company with relation to earnings?
- Growth: rapidly expanding sales, high profit margins, high earnings per share
- Transitional: increased competition, reduced profit margins, slower earnings growth
- Maturity: new investment offers slightly attractive returns as earnings growth rate, payout ratio and return on equity stabilize
Estimate Intrinsic Value
PV of cash flows from growth stage + PV of cash flows of transition stage + PV of cash flows of maturity stage, where maturity stage would be constant growth model
When calculating the intrinsic value of a stock using expected earnings, which variables are used to replace dividends?
Payout ratio and expected earnings
What factor would be most consistent with a relatively high growth rate of firm earnings and dividends, with all other things being equal?
Low dividend payout ratio: Assuming that no new capital is obtained externally and no shares are repurchased, the portion of earnings not paid to stockholders as dividend will be used to pay for the firm’s new investments. The portion not paid out is the retention ratio. Growth rate depends on the proportion of earnings that are retained and the average return on equity for the earnings that are retained.