Valuation & Market Analysis Flashcards
Supply & Demand
The availability of certain properties interacts with the strength of the demand for those properties to establish prices. When demand for properties exceeds supply, a condition of scarcity exists, and real estate values rise. When supply exceeds demand, a condition of surplus exists, and real estate values decline. When supply and demand are generally equivalent, the market is considered to be in balance, and real estate values stabilize.
Supply
the amount of property available for sale or lease at any given time
Demand
the amount of property buyers and tenants wish to acquire by purchase, lease or trade at any given time.
Price
the amount of money or other asset that a buyer has agreed to pay and a seller has agreed to accept to complete the exchange of a good or service. It is a quantification of the value of an item traded.
Economic Principles Underlying Real Estate Value
Supply & Demand
Unity
Transferability
Anticipation
Substitution
Contribution
Change
Highest & Best Use
Conformity
Progression & Regression
Assemblage
Subdivision
Costs
To produce a good or service, a supplier incurs costs, or those expenses necessary to generate and deliver the item to the market. The essential production costs are the costs of capital, materials, and supplies; labor; management; and overhead.
Market
a place where supply and demand encounter one another: suppliers sell or trade their goods and services to demanders, who are consumers and buyers. It is a transaction arena where the price mechanism is constantly defining and quantifying the value produced by the relative elements of supply and demand.
Supply, Demand, Price Interrelationships
In a market economy, the primary interactions between supply, demand and price are:
- if supply increases relative to demand, price decreases
- if supply decreases relative to demand, price increases
- if demand increases relative to supply, price increases
- if demand decreases relative to supply, price decreases
Price Trends
- if price decreases, demand is declining in relation to supply
- if price increases, demand is increasing in relation to supply
Market Equilibrium
a market tends toward a state of equilibrium in which supply equals demand, and price, cost, and value are identical
Economic Characteristics of Real Estate
- subject to the laws of supply and demand
- governed in the market by the price mechanism
- influenced by the producer’s costs to bring the product to market
- influenced by the determinants of value: utility, scarcity, desire, and purchasing power
Factors Influencing Supply
- development costs, particularly labor
- availability of financing
- investment returns
- a community’s master plan
- government police powers and regulation
Factors Affecting Residential Demand
- quality of life
- neighborhood quality
- convenience and access to services and other facilities
- dwelling amenities in relation to household size, lifestyle, and costs
Factors Affecting Retail Demand
- sufficient trade area population and income
- the level of trade area competition
- sales volume per square foot of rented area
- consumer spending patterns
- growth patterns in the trade area
Factors Affecting Office Demand
- costs of occupancy to the business
- efficiency of the building and the suite in accommodating the business’s functions
- accessibility by employees and suppliers
- matching building quality to the image and function of the business
Factors Affecting Industrial Demand
- functionality
- the availability and proximity of the labor pool
- compliance with environmental regulations
- permissible zoning
- health and safety of the workers
- access to suppliers and distribution channels
Base Employment & Total Employment
These two types of employment are the engines that drive demand for real estate of all types in a market. employment creates the purchasing power necessary for households to acquire dwellings and retail products.
Base Employment
the number of persons employed in the businesses that represent the economic foundation of the area.
Total Employment
includes base, secondary, and support industries. creates a demand for a labor force.
Vacancy
the amount of total real estate inventory of a certain type that is unoccupied at a given time
Absorption
the amount of available property that becomes occupied over a period of time.
Local Market Influences
- cost of financing
- availability of developable land
- construction costs
- capacity of the municipality’s infrastructure to handle growth
- governmental regulation and police powers
- changes in the economic base
- in- and out-migrations of major employers
National Trends
Regional and national economic forces influence the local real estate market in the form of:
- changes in money supply
- inflation
- national economic cycles
Governmental Influences
Governments at every level exert significant influence over local real estate markets.
- Local zoning powers
- Local control and permitting new development
- Local taxing power
- Federal influence on interest rates
- Environmental legislation & regulations
Real Estate Value
the present monetary worth of benefits arising from the ownership of real estate.
Benefits that contribute to real estate value
- income
- appreciation
- use
- tax benefits
Appreciation
an increase in the market value of a parcel of land over time, usually resulting from a general rise in sale prices of real estate throughout a market area. Such an increase, whether actual or projected, is another investment benefit that contributes to real estate value.
Utility
The fact that a property has a use in a certain marketplace contributes to the demand for it. Use is not the same as function. For instance, a swampy area may have an ecological function as a wetland, but it may have no economic utility if it cannot be put to some use that people in the marketplace are willing to pay for.
Transferability
How readily or easily title or rights to real estate can be transferred affects the property’s value. Property that is encumbered has a value impairment since buyers do not want unmarketable title. Similarly, property that cannot be transferred due to disputes among owners may cause the value to decline, because the investment is wholly illiquid until the disputes are resolved.
Anticipation
The benefits a buyer expects to derive from a property over a holding period influence what the buyer is willing to pay for it. For example, if an investor anticipates an annual rental income from a leased property to be one million dollars, this expected sum has a direct bearing on what the investor will pay for the property.
Substitution
According to the principle of substitution, a buyer will pay no more for a property than the buyer would have to pay for an equally desirable and available substitute property.
Contribution
focuses on the degree to which a particular improvement affects market value of the overall property. In essence, the contribution of the improvement is equal to the change in market value that the addition of the improvement causes. what the market recognizes as the change in value, not what an item cost. If continuous improvements are added to a property, it is possible that, at some point, the cost of adding improvements to a property no longer contributes a corresponding increase in the value of the property. When this occurs, the property suffers from diminishing marginal return, where the costs to improve exceed contribution.
Change
Market conditions are in a state of flux over time, just as the condition of a property itself changes. These fluctuations and changes will affect the benefits that can arise from the property, and should be reflected in an estimate of the property’s value. For example, the construction of a neighborhood shopping center in the vicinity of a certain house may increase the desirability of the house’s location, and hence, its value.
Highest & Best Use
This principle holds that there is, theoretically, a single use for a property that produces the greatest income and return. A property achieves its maximum value when it is put to this use. If the actual use is not the highest and best, the value of the property is correspondingly less than optimal. must be legally permissible, physically possible, financially feasible, and maximally productive.
Conformity
This principle holds that a property’s maximal value is attained when its form and use are in tune with surrounding properties and uses.
Progression and regression
The value of a property influences, and is influenced by, the values of neighboring properties. If a property is surrounded by properties with higher values, its value will tend to rise (progression); if it is surrounded by properties with lower values, its value will tend to fall (regression).
Assemblage
the conjoining of adjacent properties, sometimes creates a combined value that is greater than the values of the unassembled properties. The excess value created by assemblage is called plottage value.
Subdivision
The division of a single property into smaller properties can also result in a higher total value. For instance, a one-acre suburban site appraised at $50,000 may be subdivided into four quarter-acre lots worth $30,000 each. This principle contributes significantly to the financial feasibility of subdivision development.