Valuation and DCF Analysis Flashcards
intrinsic valuation
valuing a company based on its cash flows, as opposed to external factors like other companies, this method is often called intrinsic valuation.
relative valuation
collect sets of “comparable” companies and M&A transactions, calculate their valuation multiples, and then apply those multiples to the company you’re valuing.
What investors does unlevered FCF represent
All investors! Thats why you remove things like interest expense.
unlevered FCF Formula
NOPAT + Non-Cash Adjustments and Change in Working
Capital from CFS – CapEx
What is nopat
Revenue, cogs, operating expenses, taxes
EBIT*(1 - Tax Rate)
Why do you take out non-cash adjustments
They aren’t reocurring
7 Steps of making projections
- Project Revenue
- Assume an Operating (EBIT) Margin or Project COGS and OpEx. ( The simplest approach is to make the company’s Operating Income, or EBIT, a percentage of revenue and to make it grow or decline or over time to reflect business trends.)
- Calculate NOPAT (Net Operating Profit After Taxes).
- Project Depreciation & Amortization and Possibly Other Non-Cash Adjustments
- Project the Change in Working Capital
- Project Capital Expenditures.
- Calculate Unlevered FCF ( Start with NOPAT, factor in the non-cash adjustments, add or subtract the Change in Working
Capital, and subtract CapEx to calculate Unlevered FCF:)
Do higher discount rates suggest a firm is more valuable or less valuable? Why?
Higher discount rates suggest more risk, and thus less value to the investor because there are better / safer options elsewhere.
How to find pretax cost of debt
Look at debts with coupon rate payments. If they have 1,000 in debt with coupon rate at 5%, cost of debt is 5%.
If they have 1,000 at 5% and another 1000 at 6%, cost of debt is 5.5%.
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Used to find cost of equity
Risk Free Rate + Beta (Market Risk Premium)
What is less - an unlevered beta or a levered beta?
Unlevered beta is always less than or equal to levered beta
What to do with unlevered beta for industry
End Key Rule 3
Use it to relever the beta for the company your analyzing
What is the gordon growth method
Used to calculate Terminal Value at the end of DCF. Take the Cash Flows from the final year of the project, multiply it by terminal FCF growth rate, to get the new FCF+1, and then divide by (WACC-G)
What two factors make the biggest impact on a DCF
Discount Rate and Terminal Value
Explain the WACC cycle, cost of debt, and cost of equity, as companies with no debt take out debt, and continue to take out debt
As companies take out more debt, both the cost of equity and the cost of debt increase because the company is becoming more risky. Despite this, the WACC lowers until about 30% at which point the WACC starts to rise again, because your shift out of equity which always has higher costs.