Utility Theory and Bayes Rule Flashcards
What is utility theory
mathematical representation of preferences
why do some stocks have higher expected return than others
higher return is compensation for higher risk
why do investors trade
manage risk
what is strong form efficieny
stock prices reflect all info, public and private; prices react as soon as new info is generated
what is semi strong form efficiency
stock prices incorporate al public info; prices react as soon as info is made public
what is weak form efficiency
stock prices incorporate all historical data; past stock prices cannot help you predict future changes
what is bayes rule
determines probability of event based on probability of conditions that may be related to event
what kind of risk do portfolios diversity
idiosyncratic risk
what is idiosyncratic risk
risk that effects specific stock/portfolio
what is systemic risk
risk that effects whole market