Using Multi-Factor Models Flashcards
What is a single factor model formula and name?
- CAPM
- E (Rp) = Rf + B * (Rm - Rf)
E (Rp) = Expected return of portfolio/security
Rf = risk-free rate
B = beta (sensitivity of asset/portfolio to market risk)
Rm = expected return of market
equity risk premium = (Rm-Rf)
What is the formula for arbitrage pricing model or multi-factor model for a portfolio and the different components?
E (Rp) = Rf + (Bp1 * J1) + (Bp2 * J2)….
E (Rp) = expected return of portfolio
Rf = risk free rate
Bp = sensitivity of portfolio to the factor
J = number of factors and expected reward for bearing risk (aka factor risk premium)
According to CAPM what type of risk should an investor expect compensation for?
- compensation for bearing assets non-diversifiable risk/systematic risk
What does arbitrage pricing theory (APT) claim?
- claims that expected return of an asset can be expressed as a linear function to multiple systematic risk factors priced by the market
What are the 3 types of multi-factor models?
- macroeconomic factor models
- statistical factor models
- fundamental factor models
What is the formula for macroeconomic factor model?
Ri = E (Ri) + (bi1 * F1) + (bi2 * F2) + ei
Ri = return on asset
E (Ri) = expected return on asset
bi = difference in surprise sensitivities of asset
F = difference in surprise in factors
ei = firm specific surprise, which is unrelated to macro factors
What are 4 examples of macroeconomic factors?
- inflation
- economic growth
- interest rates
- exchange rates
What is the formula for fundamental factor models?
Ri = ai + (Bi1 * F1) + (Bi2 * F2) + ei
Ri = return of stock
ai = intercept
Bi = standardized sensitivities for stock to factor
F = returns for factor
ei = portion of stock return not explained by factor model
What are 4 examples of fundamental factors?
- firm size
- book to market ratio
- P/E ratio
- financial leverage
What is arbitrage?
- opportunity to earn expected positive net profit without risk and with no net investment of money
What is the Carhart Multi Factor Model formula ?
Rp - Rf = ap + (bp1 * RMRF) + (bp2 * SMB) + (bp3 * HML) + (bp4 * WML) + ep
Rp & Rf = return portfolio & risk free rate
ap = alpha or return of portfolio in excess of expected given portfolio level of systematic risk
bp = sensitivity of portfolio to given factor
RMRF = value weighted equity index return in excess of one-month T-Bill
SMB = average return on 3 small cap portfolios - average return on 3 large cap portfolios (aka small minus big cap)
HML = average return on 2 high book-to-market portfolios - average return on 2 low book-to-market portfolios (aka high minus low)
WML = return on portfolios past year winners - return on portfolios past year losers (aka momentum factor)
ep = error term, portion of return to portfolio not explained by the model
What is the Carhart Multi Factor Model formula ?
Rp - Rf = ap + (bp1 * RMRF) + (bp2 * SMB) + (bp3 * HML) + (bp4 * WML) + ep
Rp & Rf = return portfolio & risk free rate
ap = alpha or return of portfolio in excess of expected given portfolio level of systematic risk
bp = sensitivity of portfolio to given factor
RMRF = value weighted equity index return in excess of one-month T-Bill
SMB = average return on 3 small cap portfolios - average return on 3 large cap portfolios (aka small minus big cap)
HML = average return on 2 high book-to-market portfolios - average return on 2 low book-to-market portfolios (aka high minus low)
WML = return on portfolios past year winners - return on portfolios past year losers (aka momentum factor)
ep = error term, portion of return to portfolio not explained by the model
What are the 3 assumptions of arbitrage pricing theory (APT)? ANI
- asset returns can be explained using systematic factors
- no arbitrage opportunities exist in well diversified portfolios
- investors can eliminate specific risks from portfolios through diversification
What’s the difference between variance and covariance?
- variance: the spread of a data set or how far each number in a data set is from the average value or mean
- covariance: the measure of the directional relationship between two random variable speed
What is the difference between factor analysis models and principal component models?
- factor analysis models: factors that best explain historical covariances (aka direction)
- principal component models: factors that best explain historical variances (aka why it didn’t perform as well as the average value)