US Democracy and Participation Flashcards
What are requirements for a presidential candidate that aren’t and are in the Constitution?
-Political experience
-Major party endorsement (chosen candidate for one of the major two parties)
-Personal characteristics
-Ability to raise large sums of money
-Effective organisation
-Oratorical skills + being telegenic
-Sound and relevant policies
Constitution:
-Fixed term elections occur every 4 years.
-President must be: natural-born American, age 35+, with a residence qualification of 14 years.
What groups of politicians are major pools of recruitment for Presidential candidates + statistic?
-State governors
-Senators
-Of the 19 people nominated 1968 to 2016, 11 had served as a state governor and 8 in the Senate.
-Trump first person to be elected without political or military experience.
What are the 7 stages of PEs?
1 - Invisible primary (announce candidates)
2 - Primaries and caucuses
3 - Choosing VP candidates
4 - National party conventions (confirm VP + P candidates)
5 - General E campaign
6 - Election day (voters go to polls)
7 - Electoral college voting
What happens during the invisible primary?
-Announcement of candidacy
-Televised party debates
-Fundraising
-Important to end the IP as the front-runner as IP is critical in determining who the winning candidate may be.
Was fundraising during the IP of 2016 an indicator of success?
-No
-Clinton raised $130M to Trump’s $25.5M
-Trump won
Define primary + what are the 3 types?
A state-wide election in which people cast a ballot for their party’s candidate for the presidency.
The majority of states hold primaries rather than caucuses.
Open = all voters in a state can participate whether they are a member of the party or not.
Closed = only registered party members can vote.
Modified = allow those registered as independents to vote in either party’s primary/caucus.
Define caucus
A public meeting in which party supporters will vote either by moving to a part of the room for a certain candidate or through a show of hands.
-States that hold caucuses are usually geographically large but thinly populated.
-E.g Iowa, North Dakota, Nevada.
What are delegates + the 3 ways they are elected?
-Delegates attend NPCs and vote for a nominee on behalf of their state.
-Proportionally
-Winner takes all
-Proportional unless one candidate receives overwhelming majority 50%-85%.
What factors affect voter turnout of primaries?
Demography - better educated, higher-income and older members of the electorate are more likely to vote in primaries (+ more ideological).
Type of primary - open primaries attract a higher turnout.
Competitiveness of the race - 2008 + 2016 when both parties had a competitive nomination race, turnout was significantly higher.
Whether the nomination has been decided - primaries scheduled earlier in the nomination calendar attract higher turnouts.
What are strengths of the McGovern-Fraser reforms to the nomination process?
-Increased participation from 11% in 1968 to 30% in 2016.
-Increased choice of candidates from 5 in 1968 to 22 in 2016.
-Opened up the process to politicians without a national reputation.
-Primaries are now seen as an appropriately demanding job for a demanding job.
What are weaknesses of the McGovern-Fraser reforms?
-Widespread voter apathy and boredom in a year.
-Voters are unrepresentative of the voting-age population meaning ideological candidates often do better.
-Process is too long.
-Process is too expensive as candidates must raise large sums of money e.g Clinton raised $275 million 2016.
-Process is too media dominated as voters are over-reliant on the media for information.
-Candidates are no longer chosen by other politicians who are more qualified and informed.
What are proposals for reform of the nomination process?
David Atkins 5-point plan (2016):
-Abolish caucuses to increase participation and make voters more representative.
-Abolish closed primaries.
-Rotate the order of primaries to increase geographic diversity.
-Allow candidates to select their own delegates to prevent them failing to support their candidates.
-Tie super-delegate votes to the primary results of their respective states.
What are influential factors in selecting the VP with examples?
-Balanced ticket (demographic) e.g 2008 Obama chose Biden who was a 65 year old white male with 36 years in the Senate to his 3.
-Potential in government e.g GW. Bush chose Dick Cheney who had extensive experience in the White House unlike Bush who had none.
-Party unity e.g former rival e.g Reagan chose H.W Bush in 1980.
What are formal functions of NPCs?
-Selecting the presidential candidate (usually just confirmation).
-Selects the party’s VP (this role has been lost).
-Decide the party platform (theoretical as most is decided by ‘platform committees’ beforehand).
what are informal functions of NPCs?
-Promote party unity after party divisions have been exposed during the candidate race e.g losing candidate endorses nominee in speech.
-Enthusing the party faithful.
-Enthusing ordinary voters with extensive TV coverage.
What are battleground states? 2024 example.
-States where both major political parties have a strong chance of winning, and where the outcome is uncertain or could swing in either direction.
-Play a crucial role in determining the outcome.
2024:
Arizona (R), Georgia (R), Michigan (R), Nevada (R), North Carolina (R), Pennsylvania (R), Wisconsin (R).
Evidence that televised debates are game-changing.
1980 P Carter and Reagan - Reagan’s closing questions shaped the way voters would make up their minds in the last vital days of campaign.
Evidence that televised debates are NOT game-changing.
2012 Obama v Romney first debates swung polls in favour of Romney, with Obama looking disengaged, flat and inept BUT he swept to a comfortable victory.
Clinton outperformed Trump in all 3 debates 2016 yet lost the election.
Examples
How can televised debates impact a candidates campaign?
-Affects how they’re percieved e.g Trump criticised for abrasive tone ‘you’re wrong’.
-Gain publicity e.g Clinton 1997 ‘I don’t think Senator Dole is too old to be P. It’s the age of his ideas that I question’.
What is ‘October surprise’ + examples?
-Event late in campaign that disadvantages a candidate.
-2016 reopening of case against Clinton 11 days before E. Nothing was found but it halted Clinton’s ability to erode Trump’s support in swing states during final week.
How has election funding been reformed?
-Federal Campaign Act 1974 (result of Watergate scandal) limited contributions from individuals, unions and corporations.
-‘Matching funds’ 1976-2008 where Federal Election Commission gave federal money to candidates who met criteria and agreed to certain limitations.
-Partly successful but too many loopholes.
-Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act 2002
What was the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act?
-2002
-Banned raising of soft-money.
-Labour unions/corporations banned from directly funding candidates within 60 days of a GE or 30 days of a primary.
-Limits on individual contributions to candidates.
-Foreign nationals banned from contributing.
How have party funding reforms been limited?
Loopholes:
-1976 Buckley v Valeo SC ruled limitations were unconstitutional.
-1979 Congress allowed parties to raise money for voter-registration and party-building activities etc. (soft-money).
-2008 Obama opted out of matching funds and signed legislation in 2014 to end public financing of the party’s national conventions (end of public funding).
-Introduction of PACs.
How did Elon Musk’s involvement in the 2024 election highlight failure to prevent the politicisation of party funding?
-Set up a super PAC and spent approximately $200 million.
-Used to boost turnout in battleground states.
-If you registered to vote you could win $75-$80,000.
What are PACs?
-Represent business, labour, ideological or single-issue groups.
-Allows them to contribute to campaign funding (unlimited independent political expenditure).
-Established by constitutional rulings (SC Citizens United v Federal Election Committee 2010).
Example of Super PAC funding in 2016.
‘Prioritises Action’ - $192 million for Clinton.
‘Rebuilding America Now’ - $22.6 million for Trump.
‘Our Principles’ - $19 million for Trump.