Unit 8: Basic Economic Concepts Flashcards

1
Q

What is the US Fiscal Policy?

A

The government’s (president and congress) use of spending and taxation to influence economic activity

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2
Q

What determines if there is a National budget surplus or deficit?

A

Tax Revenue vs. Expenditures

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3
Q

What is the US Monetary Policy?

A

The central bank’s (controlled by Feds) actions that affect quantity of money and credit in an economy to influence economic activity

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4
Q

What does it mean if the economy is expansionary vs. contractionary, in terms of the Monetary Policy?

A

Expansionary: Loosening of the economy by the Feds
Contractionary: Tightening of the economy by the Feds

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5
Q

Describe Keynesian Economics

A

The idea that government intervention is very important. During recession, govt should lower taxes and increase govt spending (run a deficit)

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6
Q

What is the Monetarist Theory?

A

The idea that money supply determines prices

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7
Q

Describe Classical/Supply-side Economics

A

Belief in less taxes and less govt regulation
Idea that supply creates demand by providing jobs and wages

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8
Q

What is the Federal Fund rate?

A

The rate banks charge each other for overnight loans over $1 mil. Barometer of short term interest rates. Highly influenced -but not set- by Feds.

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9
Q

What is the Prime Rate?

A

The Loan rate set by banks for corporate loans

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10
Q

How do the Feds (Federal Reserve Board) influence the economy?

A
  1. Reserve requirements: amount banks must leave with the Feds - raise amount, banks have less money to lend out = higher interest rates
  2. Discount rate: rate charges by fed to banks borrowing money.
  3. open market operations: buy/sell US treasury securities - most common Fed tool.
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11
Q

What is GDP?

A

The market value of all goods and services produce in a country (net exports ^ GDP)
(If the GDP growth rate declines for: 2 qtrs = recession,6 qtrs = depression)

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12
Q

What is GDP?

A

The market value of all goods and services produce in a country (net exports ^ GDP)

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13
Q

What are the 4 stages of the Business Cycle?

A

Expansion
Peak
Contraction
Trough

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14
Q

What are some characteristics of an economy in the expansion stage of the business cycle?

A

Business activity is increasing
UP: inflation, industrial production, stock mkt, property values, GDP growth rate
DOWN: unemployment, inventories

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15
Q

What are some characteristics of an economy in the Peak stage of the business cycle?

A

Productive capacity has been reached and cannot expand further
DOWN GDP growth rate, slowdown in hiring
UP: inflation

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16
Q

What are some characteristics of an economy in the Contraction stage of the business cycle?

A

business activity declines
UP: bankruptcies, bond defaults, unemployment,
DOWN: hours worked, consumer spending, home construction, stock market, inflation rate, GDP growth rate
(If the GDP growth rate declines for 2 qtrs = recession, If the GDP rate declines for 6 qtrs = depression)

17
Q

What are some characteristics of an economy in the Trough stage of the business cycle?

A

Contraction has leveled off
DOWN: moderate decrease inflation rate
UP: GDP growth rate, overtime/temp workers, unemployment, consumer spending on durable goods and housing

18
Q

What are some examples of cyclical industries?

A

Durable goods like cars, machinery, steel

19
Q

What are some examples of countercyclical industries?

20
Q

What are growth industries?

A

Industries growing faster than economy as a whole due to technology , consumer tastes, etc.
ex. social media and bioengineering

21
Q

What are defensive industries?

A

Industries not heavily influenced by cycle of the economy.
nondurable consumer goods ex. food, pharm, tobacco, energy

22
Q

What does a balance of payments mean?

A

Exports vs. Imports

23
Q

What rate of unemployment reflects full employment

A

4% Unemployment

24
Q

What is the yield curve?

A

The yield curve shows the difference between short and long term interest rates
long term interest rates usually higher - time value of money, reduced buying power b/c of inflation, increased risk of defaults, loss of liquidity in long term investments

25
When do we see an inverted yield curve?
When there is a high demand for money relative to supply and short term interest rates have gone up (feds tightened credit in an overheating economy)
26
What is deflation?
Lowering of prices, measured by CPI Most often seen during a recession, when demand is low
27
What is inflation?
increases in prices measured by index (CPI- consumer price index)
28
What effect does inflation have on interest rates?
When inflation increases, interest rates go up When inflation decreases, interest rates go down
29
What effect does inflation have on bond yields?
When inflation increases, bond yields go down When inflation decreases, bond yields go up
30
What does inflation inertia mean?
inflation generally lags behind unexpected changes in economic conditions.
31
What is intertial inflation?
A persistent rate of inflation that continues at same rate until economic shock leads to a change (often caused by excessive demand)
32
What are some examples of leading economic indicators?
money supply, housing starts, unemployment claims, manufacturing hours, new order for goods, interest rate spread between 10 yr treasury bond and fed fund rate, stock prices, consumer expectations
33
What are some examples of lagging economic indicators?
duration of unemployment, credit: income, inventories: sales, prime rate, CPI for services, outstanding loans, manufacturing labor costs
34
What are some examples coincident economic indicators ?
non-ag employment, personal income, industrial production, manufacturing and trade sales
35
What are the 3 types of economic indicators and when do they occur?
Leading (4-6 mo before recession/expansion), Lagging (4-6 mo after recession/expansion), and Coincident (simultaneous w/business cycle)
36
What is Core CPI?
CPI excluding food and energy