Unit 7: Ratio Analysis Flashcards
Ratio Limitations
- Ratios are constructed from accounting data, much of which is subject to estimation.
- Accounting profit is not equal to economic profit (latter includes explicit AND implicit costs).
- A firm’s mgmt. has an incentive to window dress financial statements to improve results.
- Earnings quality (affected by consistency and used of certain accounting principles)
- Earnings power is the capacity of a firm’s operation to produce cash inflows, and definitely helps to fund payment of fixed changes, long term debt and future dividends.
- Variances in ratio analysis can be attributed to inflation
- May be affected by seasonal factors
- Working capital might vary widely , and year-end balances may not reflect the averages for the period.
Liquidity Definition and Liquidity Order
(Order for Assets and Liabilities)
-
Liquidity is a firm’s ability to pay its current obligations as they come due and thus remain in business in the short run. Liquidity reflects the ease with which assets can be converted to cash.
- Current assets liquidity, descending order:
- Cash and equivalents
- Marketable securities
- Receivable (net of allowance for uncollectible)
- Inventories
- Prepaid items
- Current liabilities must be settled sooner
- Accounts payable
- Notes payable
- Current maturities of long term debt
- Unearned revenues
- Taxes payable
- Wages payable
- Other accruals
- Current assets liquidity, descending order:
Liquidity Ratios
(Current Ratio
Quick/Acid Test Ratio
Cash Ratio
Cash Flow Ratio
Networking capital ratio)
-
Current Ratio: CURRENT ASSETS / CURRENT LIABILITIES
- Low might indicate solvency problem
- Quality of accounts receivable and merchandise should be considered before evaluating the current ratio.
- A general principle is the current ratio should be proportional to the operating cycle. Thus a shorter cycle may justify a lower ratio. This means that company recoups cash fast enough to avoid WC buildup (lower ratio).
-
Quick (ACID TEST) ratio – excludes inventories and prepaid from numerator since these assets are harder to liquidate. MORE CONSERVATIVE and measures ability to pay it’s short term debt and avoids inventory valuation.
- (Cash + Marketable securities + net receivables)/current liabilities
-
Cash ratio (even more conservative)
- (Cash+ marketable securities)/current liabilities
-
Cash flow ratio (significance of cash flow)
- CASH FLOW FROM OPS / CL
-
NET WORKING CAPITAL ratio
- (current assets – current liabilities)/ current assets
Relevant Question Tips for Ratios
- TRICK: IF A QUESTION GIVES YOU MONETARY AMOUNT OF ASSETS , THEN YOU CAN CALCULATE MORE SPECIFIC LIABILITY ACCOUNTS STARTING FROM THE BASIC PRINCIPLE THAT ASSETS = LIAB + EQUITY.
- PURCHASE OF INVENTORY ON ACCOUNT IS NOT BY USING CASH, BUT RAHTER INCREASING PAYABLES
- IF THE COMPANY WRITES OFF UNCOLLECTIBLE DEBT THERE IS NO IMPACT ON ASSETS SINCE NET RECEIVABLES ARE UNCHANGED = (RECEIVABLES – ALLOWANCE)
- >> RULE OF THUMB FOR RATIO. If N>D, then decrease in numerator and denominator on the same amount increases ratio.
Liquidity of current liabilities
- How easy a company can issue new debt or raise new structured (convertible, puttable, callable, etc) funds.
Income Statement Ratios
(Gross Profit Margin)
(Operating Profit Margin)
(Net Profit Margin)
- Gross Profit Margin Ratio = PC1 / NR.
- Operating profit margin = EBIT / NR
-
Net profit margin = NI / NR
- There can be adjustments to net profit margin to account for discontinued operations, extraordinary items, accounting changes.
- Numerator can also be based on NI available to shareholders.
Profitability Ratios
(ROA, ROE, ROA vs ROE, Sustainable growth rate)
- ROA = Net income / average total assets (beg + end balance divided by 2)
- ROE = Net income / average total equity
- ROE is always greater than ROA by definition since equity < assets.
- _ROA = ROE * (1- D/E)_
- Sustainable growth rate = ROE * (1 – DIVIDEND PAYOUT = RETENTION(g))
Dupont Model
ROA (2 TERMS)
&
ROE (3 TERMS)
ROA = NI/NR (NET PROFIT MARGIN) * NR/TA (=TOTAL ASSET TURNOVER)
- This breakdown emphasizes that shareholder return may be explained in terms of profit margin and the efficiency of asset management to generate revenue.
ROE = NI/NR *NR/TA * NA/TE
- Equity multiplier measures a company’s leverage. So taking more debt can help on growth as more debt is being used to finance assets (equity shrinks compared to debt).
Revenue Recognition relies in two definitions…
-
Revenues are realized when:
- Goods or services have been exchanged for cash or claims of cash (includes inventories), or also for other assets that are readily convertible to cash.
-
Revenues are earned when:
- When the earning process has been substantially completed and entity is entitled to them and benefits..
BOTH USUALLY HAPPEN AT THE TIME OF DELIVERY.
When to use retrospective or prospective changes in accounting?
Retrospective: change in accounting principle (a bit linked to accounting error, kind of linked to new accounting principle), change in reporting entity structure (for comparability), and accounting errors.
Prospective: change in new information and reassessment of the future benefits of obligations.
Solvency (non-current)
and Key Elements
Elements of solvency
- Key ingredients are capital structure and leverage
- As long as the return on debt (NI/long term debt) exceeds the amount of interest paid the use of debt financing is advantageous to the firm.
-
Capital adequacy is usually used in connection with financial institutions.
- Can be discussed in terms of solvency, liquidity, reserves or sufficient capital.
Capital structure ratios
(Affect Risk Perception)
- Total debt to capital ratio (debt plus equity)
- Debt to equity ratio
- Long term debt / equity ratio
- Debt to total assets = liabilities=debt / assets , NUMERICALLY THE SAME AS DEBT TO CAPITAL SINCE CAPITAL = ASSETS.
-
Earnings Coverage
-
Times interest earned ratio = EBIT / interest expenses
- EBIT should be adjusted for non-recurrent events.
- Denominator should include capitalized interest.
-
Earnings to fixed charge, extends the concept to include on the denominator interest portion associated with long-term leases obligations.
- (Earnings before fixed charges and taxes) / fixed charges
- If EBIT is 200 and Lease Payments is 300, then numerator is 500.
- Fixed charges include 1) interest 2) required principal repayments AND LEASES.
- (Earnings before fixed charges and taxes) / fixed charges
-
Cashflow to fixed charges ratio
- (Cash flow from operations + fixed charges + tax payments)/fixed charges
-
Times interest earned ratio = EBIT / interest expenses
Note: cash from operations is after-tax .
Definition
(Operational vs Financial Leverage)
- Types of leverage
- Leverage is the relative amount of fixed cost in a firm’s overall cost structure. Leverage creates risk because fixed costs must be covered, regardless of the level of sales.
- Operating leverage: high level of plant and machinery in the production process, revealed through charges for depreciation, property taxes, etc..
- Financial leverage: arises from the use of a high level of debt in the firm’s financing structure, revealed through amounts paid out for interest.
- Degree of leverage = pre-fixed-cost income amount / post-fixed-cost income amount
- Leverage is the relative amount of fixed cost in a firm’s overall cost structure. Leverage creates risk because fixed costs must be covered, regardless of the level of sales.
DOL – Degree of Operating Leverage
(TWO VERSIONS)
- Contribution margin / EBIT (=operating income). Reading better: EBIT = CM - FC
- Multiperiod version of DOL:
- % Delta of EBIT / % Delta in Sales
- Every 1% change in sales generates x% change in EBIT.
- A firm with high operating leverage necessarily carries a greater degree of risk because fixed costs must be covered regardless of the level of sales. However, such a firm is also able to expand production rapidly in times of higher product demand.
- % Delta of EBIT / % Delta in Sales
DFL - Degree of financial leverage
(ALSO TWO VERSIONS)
- EBIT/ EBT – more interest the higher the ratio.
- Multiperiod version of DFL:
- % Delta Net Income / % in EBIT –
- 1% change in EBIT generates x% in NI.
- A firm with higher financial leverage has a higher risk because debt hast o serviced regardless of the level of earnings.
- % Delta Net Income / % in EBIT –