unit 4: business cycle Flashcards
Business cycle?
a period of macroeconomic expansion followed by a period of macroeconomic contraction (changes in real gdp above or below normal levels)
a typical business cycle consists of…
expansion, contraction, trough, peak
- expansion (business cycle)
a period of economic growth as measured by a rise in real GDP (spending up, employment up, production up, output up, sales up, income up, inflation up)
economic growth (business cycle)
a steady, long-term increase in real GDP
- peak (business cycle)
the height of an economic expansion, when real GDP stops rising (inflation at highest point, 6-8%)
- contraction (business cycle)
a period of economic decline marked by falling real GDP (output down, spending down, employment down, production down, income down, inflation may stop)
depression
a recession that is especially long and severe (occurs during trough)
- recession (business cycle)
a prolonged economic contraction (unemployment at 6% to 10%, lasting 6 to 18 months)
- trough (business cycle)
the lowest point of an economic contraction, when real GDP stops falling
stagnation
a decline in real GDP combined with a rise in the price level
What factors effect business cycle?
- business investment
- interest rates (cost of credit) & credit, % is up consumers and businesses spend less, OR % is down consumers and businesses spend more
- consumer expectations (still having a job vs. not having a job in the future)
- external shocks (technology ai, wars, natural factors, droughts, hurricanes)