unit 4 Flashcards
what’s GDP
GDP measures the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the economy in a year.
What is the difference between nominal GDP and real GDP?
Nominal GDP is measured based on current market prices, while real GDP is adjusted for inflation to remove the effect of price increases.
Which economic indicator is used to reflect the cost of purchasing goods and services within a country?
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) reflects the cost of purchasing goods and services within a country.
What does an increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) typically indicate for investors?
An increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) typically indicates that the cost of goods and services is rising, which means inflation is occurring. For investors, this could be concerning for a few reasons:
- Reduced purchasing power: As prices increase, consumers have less money to spend, potentially leading to lower demand for goods and services.
- Less disposable income for investing: With rising costs for essentials, individuals may have less money available to invest.
- Impact on returns: Those relying on investment income for living expenses might find that their returns are not enough to cover increased living costs.
So, for investors, an increase in the CPI often signals that it could be harder to achieve the same level of returns or that they might need to adjust their investment strategy to account for inflation.
what’s included in the basket of goods and services used to calculate CPI?
Food
Groceries like bread, meat, dairy products, fruits, vegetables, and beverages.
Housing
Rent, mortgage interest payments, property taxes, utilities (electricity, heating, water), and household maintenance.
Transportation
Vehicle purchase prices, gasoline, public transportation fares, and vehicle maintenance costs (e.g., repairs, insurance).
Clothing and Footwear
Clothing items like shirts, pants, jackets, shoes, and seasonal clothing.
Health and Personal Care
Medical services, prescription drugs, personal care items (e.g., shampoo, toothpaste), and health insurance.
Recreation
Leisure activities like movies, sporting events, equipment (e.g., bicycles), and recreational vehicle costs.
Education and Communication
Tuition fees, books, school supplies, phone services, internet, and postal services.
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco
Alcohol (beer, wine, spirits) and tobacco products.
Furnishings and Household Equipment
Furniture, household appliances, cleaning products, and home decoration.
These items are weighted based on how much the average household spends in each category, which helps reflect the impact of price changes on overall consumer spending.
what’s the ‘business cycle’?
The business cycle refers to the natural rise and fall of economic activity over time, which includes periods of expansion (growth) and contraction (recession) in the economy.
what’s monetary policy?
Monetary policy involves central banks managing interest rates and money supply to influence inflation and economic growth. This is typically done by the Bank of Canada in Canada to stabilize the economy.
What is the primary goal of fiscal policy?
The primary goal of fiscal policy is to adjust government spending and taxation to influence economic activity. This helps manage the overall health of the economy by stabilizing growth and controlling inflation.
Which economic indicator is used to measure the cost of borrowing money in an economy?
prime rate:
The prime rate is the interest rate that commercial banks charge their most creditworthy customers and is often used as a benchmark for the cost of borrowing money in the economy.
An increase in unemployment rates typically signals which of the following?
a) Economic expansion
b) Economic contraction or recession
c) Rising inflation
d) A stable economy
An increase in unemployment rates typically signals economic contraction or recession, as it often reflects a slowdown in business activity and a reduction in demand for workers.
Which of the following is an example of an economic indicator used to measure the health of the economy?
a) Unemployment Rate
b) Interest Rate
c) Bank Profit Margins
d) Stock Market Index
The unemployment rate is a key economic indicator used to measure the health of the economy. It provides insight into the number of people actively seeking work and can reflect overall economic conditions.
When the economy is in a recession, which of the following is most likely to happen?
a) Rising inflation
b) Falling GDP
c) Decreasing unemployment
d) Increased consumer spending
During a recession, falling GDP is typical, as economic activity slows down, leading to reduced production, income, and spending.
What is the primary purpose of government fiscal policy?
The primary purpose of government fiscal policy is to regulate business cycles through government spending and taxation. This helps manage economic activity, such as stimulating the economy during a downturn or slowing it down during periods of excessive growth.
Which of the following actions would be considered a contractionary monetary policy?
a) Lowering interest rates to encourage borrowing
b) Increasing government spending to stimulate the economy
c) Raising interest rates to reduce inflation
d) Reducing taxes to increase consumer spending
c) Raising interest rates to reduce inflation.
Contractionary monetary policy involves increasing interest rates or reducing the money supply to slow down economic activity and reduce inflation. Lowering interest rates, as you mentioned in option a, would be considered expansionary monetary policy, which is used to stimulate the economy.
Increasing interest rates is part of contractionary monetary policy. explain how it works to slow down the economy
- Higher borrowing costs: When interest rates rise, it becomes more expensive to borrow money. People and businesses are less likely to take out loans for things like buying homes, cars, or funding expansion projects. This reduces spending and investment in the economy.
- Reduced consumer spending: Higher interest rates make it more expensive to carry debt. For consumers, this means higher monthly payments on things like credit cards, mortgages, or car loans. As a result, consumers may cut back on spending to manage their debt, leading to a slowdown in demand for goods and services.
- Lower investment by businesses: When borrowing costs rise, businesses are less likely to invest in new projects or expansion. They may delay hiring, reduce capital expenditures, or scale back growth plans because it’s more expensive to finance these activities.
- Stronger currency: Higher interest rates can attract foreign investment, leading to an increase in demand for the country’s currency. A stronger currency can reduce the cost of imports but make exports more expensive, which could lead to reduced demand for goods produced in the country
If the central bank raises interest rates, what is the most likely immediate effect on borrowing in the economy?
if the banks increase interest rates, borrowing becomes more expensive, so people would buy less, and they would borrow less, but maybe also GICs will give you higher returns, so you’d want to get GICs, so you wouldn’t be spending that money. so for both of those, more of your money would be tied up at the bank, hence less overall spending. that slows down the economy
Borrowing becomes more expensive, leading to a decrease in borrowing: is the correct answer.
When the central bank raises interest rates, borrowing costs increase, which tends to reduce consumer and business borrowing. This leads to lower spending and investment, which can slow down the economy. Additionally, higher interest rates make savings vehicles like GICs more attractive, encouraging people to save rather than spend.
Which of the following is most likely to happen when interest rates are lowered by the central bank?
a) Consumer spending and business investment increase.
b) The value of the currency strengthens.
c) Inflation decreases significantly.
d) Unemployment rates rise.
a) Consumer spending and business investment increase is the right answer.
When the central bank lowers interest rates, borrowing becomes cheaper. This encourages consumers and businesses to borrow more money, leading to increased spending and investment. As a result, economic activity tends to pick up, stimulating the economy.
Regarding inflation and unemployment, lowering interest rates can sometimes lead to higher inflation due to increased demand, and it may lower unemployment as businesses expand and hire more workers.
How does a rise in interest rates typically affect bond prices?
Bond prices fall because higher rates make new bonds more attractive.
When interest rates rise, newly issued bonds offer higher coupon rates, which makes existing bonds with lower rates less attractive. As a result, the prices of existing bonds tend to fall in the market to adjust for the higher yields offered by new bonds.
how does increasing interest rates affect inflation?
When the central bank raises interest rates, borrowing becomes more expensive, which leads to reduced consumer and business spending. This reduction in demand helps lower inflation, as there is less pressure on prices to rise.
what does expansionary and contractionary refer to?
both are methods for fiscal and monetary policies, for stimulating or slowing the economy, respectively (expansionary for stimulating, contractionary for slowing)
how does the government expand economy?
- lower taxes
- increase government spending
how does the government slow economy?
contracting the economy controls inflation
Actions: Raise taxes, cut government spending.
how do banks expand the economy?
Expansionary = “Easy money” (this reminds you that when the central bank is trying to boost the economy, it makes borrowing easier).
Actions: Lower interest rates, increase money supply.
how do the banks slow down economy?
Contractionary = “Curb the cash” (this reminds you that contractionary policies reduce borrowing and spending to control inflation).
Actions: Raise interest rates, reduce money supply
also: encourage saving by increasing returns on savings accounts
whats the calculation for inflation?
(current cpi - previous cpi) / previous cpi x100%
what is inflation a measure of?
purchasing power (inversely proportional : if inflation goes up, purchasing power goes down)
can cpi or inflation be negative?
yeah its called deflation, but it’s super rare, only during extended recessions, where your dollar can buy more stuff at the end, but its bad for the economy and overall mood, and less spending and more blah. so the government tries to keep inflation at a steady increase around 2% so that no one is caught off guard as much as possible, and the economy grows steadily, and people can plan for it with budget increases and wage increases.
what are the distributive effects of inflation?
Distributive Effects of Inflation:
- Lenders lose out because the money they receive has less real value.
- Borrowers benefit because they repay loans with “cheaper” dollars.
The term “distributive effects” refers to how something, like inflation, affects different groups of people differently. In this case, it explains how unanticipated inflation changes the real income (or purchasing power) between two groups: lenders and borrowers.
are unemployed people included in the “labour force”?
yes, the ones who are looking for work anyway
how do you measure unemployment rate?
unemployed / # labour force x 100%
whats the relationship between GDP and unemployment?
inverse
aka when people have jobs, they buy more stuff
whats a business cycle?
Alternating periods of economic expansion and contraction
how do you define a recession?
Recession: At least 6 months of economic contraction.
what happens to GDP during a recession?
During a recession, the economy contracts, meaning businesses may make fewer sales and profits, leading them to reduce hiring, cut wages, or even lay off workers to cope with the economic slowdown. This typically results in higher unemployment.
if people have less jobs, they will not buy as much stuff, so GDP falls.
what is unemployment rate?
% of ppl without work looking for work
what happens to stock prices during an economic expansion?
they go up usually
stock prices tend to rise as businesses grow and profits increase, which usually boosts investor confidence.
are retired people included in labour force? aka people who used to work and are now retired
no, children either :), but unemployed people are included! (if they are actively looking for work)
how does the government know how many people are actively looking for work?
The government tracks how many people are actively looking for work through surveys conducted by organizations like Statistics Canada. They use a survey called the Labour Force Survey (LFS), which is done monthly.
In this survey, individuals are asked if they are employed, looking for work, or if they are not in the labor force (for reasons like retirement, schooling, or not wanting a job). Specifically, they define someone as “actively looking for work” if they:
Have made specific efforts to find a job within the last four weeks, such as applying for jobs, attending interviews, or networking.
Are available to work.
This helps the government get a snapshot of the unemployment rate and understand the health of the labor market.
whats the full employment rate in canada and what does that mean?
The full employment rate refers to the lowest level of unemployment that is considered healthy for an economy. It’s not zero unemployment, but rather a level where:
- Most people who want to work can find jobs.
- The unemployment rate includes people who are between jobs (frictional unemployment) or transitioning to new roles, but doesn’t include large numbers of people who are unable to find work because of economic downturns or structural issues.
In Canada, full employment is typically considered to be an unemployment rate below 6%.
This means the economy is performing well, and nearly everyone who wants a job has one, with only a small percentage in transition between jobs or retraining.
how is economic contraction measured?
its when the GDP declines
whats unexpected inflation and how does it affect lenders and borrowers?
its when the inflation rate is higher than expected
when inflation is higher, the value of your dollars decreases
so a borrower benefits (BB) because the money they pay back is worth less
and the lender loses (LL) because the money they get back is worth less
what is “real” value of money
it’s the nominal (dollar bills received) minus the inflation rate…
so if you borrow 100$, and the inflation is 5%, then when you pay it back your 100$ (nominal)’s “REAL” value is 95$ (after a year)
what kind of things affecting businesses could cause inflation?
inflation means the costs of things go up.
when costs of things go up, it’s usually because it costs more for the raw materials, or it costs more to pay your employees.
business try to keep their profit margins the same, so it wouldn’t be because of an decrease in profit margin (if that happened, it would just be temporary)
whats the Labor force participation rate
Measures the percentage of the working-age population that is either employed or actively looking for work
economic expansion is greated when government takes on more debt and the inflation goes up, but can there be too much debt or too high inflation?
yes and yes. too much of debt or inflation can be destabilizing and there might not be equilibrium with other economic factors. there might be unstability, uncertainty. “ovrheating” economy