Unit 3 AOS2a - Chapter 2: Macroeconomics: output, employment and income in the Australian economy Flashcards
What is another measure of economic activity?
Gross National Income (GNI) looks at total incomes which is another measure of economic activity.
Explain the level of economic activity.
The concept of the “level” of economic activity is used to describe the general pace or speed at which productive activity is occurring nationally.
How does economic activity have an impact on our material and non-material living standards?
🔹society can only satisfy its growing needs and wants for goods and services through more production or economic activity.
🔹 ⬆️ economic activity should immediately mean higher material living standards, since production creates jobs and rising incomes, allowing us to buy the things we want.
🔹there is the worrying realisation that this extra production has been extracted by using scarce non-renewable natural resources such as minerals, water, clean air, forests and oceans.
🔹 future generations will be unable to enjoy the same material and non-material benefits that we take for granted.
Over the years what does the level of economic activity form?
A wave-like or cyclical pattern (this pattern is known as the business cycle).
What is the business cycle?
This refers to the wave-like ups (recovery and boom) and downs (slowdown and recession) in a nations level of production or economic activity.
When examining economic activity, what are the models or tools used?
. The business cycle
. 5 sector flow model
. Aggregate supply and aggregate demand diagrams
What are the different levels of the business cycle?
. Boom/peak . Contraction/slowdown . Trough (perhaps a recession of depression) . Recovery/expansion . Average growth trend . Domestic economic stability
The government aims to smooth out the business cycle (they do this via budgetary and monetary policies).
What is the expansion/recovery phase?
This is where there is an expansion in economic activity or production, often slowly at first and then gaining pace. This occurred during 2009–10 to 2012–13.
Employment also begins to grow, meaning unemployment falls and inflation gradually accelerates.
What is the peak phase?
This is a period of expansion in the level of economic activity. This occurred during 2007–08 and perhaps again in 2011–12.
Unemployment usually reaches its lowest level and inflation is at a high. If this peak occurs when the economy is stretched beyond its productive capacity (that is, a situation where there is full employment of resources and a nation is actually outside its production possibility frontier), a dangerous inflationary boom may result.
What is the slowdown/contraction phase?
Slowdowns or contractions in the level of economic activity normally follow a peak or boom. The growth in GDP slows or, if severe, production may even fall. Usually after a time lag, unemployment rates rise and inflation eases.
This is seen during 2008-2009, 2012-2013 and recently 2014-2015 (where GDP was recorded below 2.0%).
What is the trough phase?
The trough represents the lowest point on the business cycle of economic activity. Sometimes this trough is simply a minor slowdown in the rate of economic growth, causing a slight rise in unemployment.
But, if the level of national output actually falls (indicated by a drop in GDP during two consecutive quarters or a six-month period), this is technically termed a recession. Longer and even more severe troughs are called depressions where inflation may even be negative (there is deflation).
What is a boom?
A boom is a period of strong spending and above-average levels of economic activity, usually associated with rapid demand inflation and very low unemployment.
What is a recession?
A recession is a period of weak spending (two or more negative quarters of GDP growth) and is associated with high levels of cyclical unemployment.
What is a depression?
A depression refers to a large economic downturn in production associated with very high cyclical unemployment, and is caused
by a significant fall in aggregate demand.
What is the best situation for an economy to experience?
Domestic economic stability.
What is domestic economic stability?
Domestic economic stability is a desirable or ideal level
of economic activity where, simultaneously, there is low inflation, a solid and sustainable rate of GDP and low unemployment.
. Here the pace of economic activity isn’t too rapid (causing an inflationary boom)
. Nor is it too slow (causing a recession where unemployment is high)
This desirable level of growth in GDP is at 2%.
In the 2013-2014 financial year the economy returned to trend growth (2.0%) and by the start of 2016 there were signs of economic rebalancing (a return to our stability point).
What is stagflation?
Stagflation is a period of slow GDP growth (stagnation) along with high unemployment and rapid inflation.
It is a combination of the words stagnation and inflation as it is a incident where both occur.
What is productive capacity?
Productive capacity is the potential level of national production of goods and services dictated by the quantity and efficiency of a nation’s resources. This determines the sustainable rate of economic growth in the long term.
A steeper trend line in the business cycle shows that the economy’s productive capacity is growing faster, enabling economic activity to rise more quickly without causing serious inflation.
What is one of the most important influences on Australian material and non-material living standards?
The level of economic activity.
What are the two types of productive activity?
Economic activity and non-market activity. (This is why measuring productive activity is difficult and inaccurate)
Explain the following the of productive activity: Economic activity
This isn’t the greatest answer.
This is usually measured by Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and includes all production in a given time period. GDP only includes “market activity”, being that activity which can be measured.
There are other measures which also give us an idea about economic activity. Eg. Gross National Income (which looks at total income). These types of measures look at “how much” is being “produced” or “earned” but does not consider how this is shared among total population.
What is GDP?
This is an estimate of the level of economic activity. It represents the total annual value of goods and services produced by a nation over a period of time. It is measured by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) either annually or on a quarterly basis.
Can be in two broad categories
Page four of booklet
Explain the following the of productive activity: Non-market activity
This consists of production that is not actually sold and occurs mostly within individual households, such as personal housework and gardening, or the black market. This means it is not included in GDP.
Volunteer workers and illegal transactions are also not included in economic activity.
What are the three main types of measures (besides GDP) of economic activity?
- Lagging indicator of economic activity
- Coincident indicators of economic activity
- Leading indicators
Explain lagging indicators of economic activity.
Lagging indicators show changes in economic activity some time after the event has occurred because they take time to respond. Therefore they only tells the readers previous levels of economic activity and do not tell us what the economy is doing right now. GDP is an example of a lagging indicator of economic activity because it typically takes 3 months for the ABS to collect, process and release quarterly statistics.
Other lagging indicators of changing levels of economic activity include unemployment rates, CPI or inflation rates and changes in average weekly earnings.
Explain coincident indicators of economic activity.
Coincident indicators move very closely with actual changes in the level of economic activity. They are regularly published in short intervals and more or less tell us what is happening right now. Here we think of monthly changes in retail sales.
For example, monthly changes in retail prices.
Explain leading indicators of economic activity.
Leading indicators predict, in advance, where the economy is heading in the near future. While not completely reliable, they often forecast a change in activity before it actually occurs.
Examples of indicators in this category include the business confidence index, new housing approvals, monthly index of consumer sentiment and changes in economic activity among our major trading partners.
What are the different patterns of economic activity?
- Long-term trend patterns
- Cyclical patterns
- Seasonal patterns
- Erratic patterns
Explain the following behaviour/pattern of economic activity: Long-term trend patterns
If over a 10-year or longer period of time, the average direction of an indicator graph of economic activity is rising (despite some erratic short-term swings), it is often possible to talk of a long-term trend in the data. For instance, such a trend is evident if we look at Australia’s overall level of economic activity in the 73 years between 1940 and 2013. (Or 76 years between 1940 and 2016?)
Explain the following behaviour/pattern of economic activity: Cyclical patterns
When statistics are plotted over a period of time and follow a fairly regular, wave-like arrangement where there are peaks and troughs, the pattern is regarded as cyclical. This is the normal behaviour of economic activity (GDP), unemployment, inflation and the current account deficit (CAD).
Explain the following behaviour/pattern of economic activity: Seasonal patterns
Some statistical indicators of economic activity move in a similar direction during the same month(s) each year. This is typical of seasonal patterns and applies to some types of unemployment.
For example, seasonal unemployment is higher in December, January and February each year due to school leavers looking for employment; sales of snow- boards and skis are up in June, surfboards in December and soft drinks in January.
Explain the following behaviour/pattern of economic activity: Erratic behaviour
Sometimes, there is no real pattern in the statistics for economic activity because they are reacting to once-off or erratic events.
These events include the sudden rise in the demand for hotel beds during Melbourne’s Commonwealth Games in 2006, the drop in air travel and tourism following the September 11 terrorist attacks in the US, the effects of the prolonged drought from 2002–10 on GDP, or the floods experienced in 2011 and 2013.
What is the circular flow model?
The circular flow model of an economy illustrates how
the Australian economy works and how its different parts are interrelated. Additionally, it identifies some of the macroeconomic variables affecting our country’s economic conditions.
The model consists of five sectors and four flows.
What are the 5 sectors in the circular flow model?
- The household sector*
- The business sector*
- The financial sector
- The government sector
- The overseas sector
If S+T+M > I+G+X then circular flow of incomes decreases.
(Savings + Taxes + Import spending > Investment spending + Government spending + Export spending)
- = 2 main parts to model
Explain the following sector of the circular flow model: The household sector
The household sector comprises all members of the population.
. Some members supply or sell their resources (natural, labour and capital resources) to business firms = flow 1
. and use the money received to demand or buy finished goods and services from businesses that help to satisfy their needs and wants = flow 3
Explain the following sector of the circular flow model: The business sector
. The business sector purchases or demands resources from households = flow 2
. which are then converted into finished goods and services = flow 3
Firms supply or sell these final goods and services to the household sector.
This means that Australian households and businesses both operate as buyers (demanders) and sellers (suppliers) of goods and services.
Explain the following sector of the circular flow model: The financial sector
This is made up of the many types of financial institutions including banks, building societies, the stock exchange, credit unions and finance companies.
. All these organisations borrow household savings (‘S’) = leakage
. and lend these savings to creditworthy customers who use the money to finance their investment spending and business expansion (‘I’) = injection
Explain the following sector of the circular flow model: The government sector
. Governments collect revenue from taxation (‘T’) and other sources = leakage
. and use this revenue to pay for government spending (‘G’) and other outlays that help to provide collective goods and services (public hospitals and schools) for use by society = injection
Explain the following sector of the circular flow model: The overseas sector
. Each year Australia buys imports from abroad to help satisfy our wants (‘M’) = leakage
. and we also sell exports to people living overseas (‘X’) = injection
What are the four flows in the circular flow model?
Connecting the main household and business sectors are four flows or streams whose value is measured in money terms ($) over a period of time such as a year. Two of these flows relate to the demand side of the economy and two relate to the supply side.
Flow no.1 - the supply of resources
Flow no.2 - total incomes or the demand for resources
Flow no.3 - total expenditure or aggregate demand
Flow no.4 - the flow of final goods and services supplied (GDP)
Explain the following flow in the circular flow model: flow no. 1 - the supply of resources
Perhaps a starting point for economic activity is when the household sector supplies, or makes avail- able, resources for use by the business sector.
Explain the following flow in the circular flow model: flow no. 2 -total incomes or the demand for resources
Here, the business sector purchases or demands resources by paying different types of incomes to the household sector. For instance:
. individuals selling labour are paid wages and salaries
. those lending money capital are rewarded with interest
. and allowing firms to use property helps owners gain income in the form of rent
Logically, the money value of all incomes paid to households (flow no. 2) will equal exactly the money value of all the resources sold (flow no. 1).
Explain the following flow in the circular flow model: flow no. 3 -total expenditure or aggregate demand
Upon receiving income, the household sector will then dispose of it in different ways. This influences the total money value of spending on Australian-made goods and services which is called aggregate demand (AD). Some income ends up as leakages that lower AD, while some income results in injections that increase total spending.