Unit 15 Flashcards
Give a brief description of FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
is the study of industries and companies to IDENTIFY the BEST PLACES TO INVEST.
What is an alternate name for fundamental analysis?
top-down analysis
What are CYCLICAL INDUSTRIES?
HIGHLY SENSITIVE to BUSINESS CYCLES and INFLATION trends.
What are the four classes of industries?
cyclical, noncyclical, countercyclical, and growth.
What is typically PRODUCED by CYCLICAL industries?
produce DURABLE GOODS, such as heavy machinery, and raw materials, such as steel and automobiles.
Explain deeply fundamental analysis
The process of EXAMINING THE ECONOMY to IDENTIFY THE INDUSTRIES that will DO WELL in the NEAR FUTURE and then the COMPANIES within those industries that are FINANCIALLY STRONG
What is the impact of a RECESSION on CYCLICAL INDUSTRIES?
the DEMAND for such products DECLINES as MANUFACTURERS postpone investments in new capital goods and CONSUMERS postpone purchases of these goods, such as automobiles.
What is a good way to identify if a company is a part of the CYCLICAL industry?
If the company PRODUCES INDUSTRIAL METALS such as steel or aluminum or MAKES STUFF from STEEL OR ALUMINUM, it is probably cyclical.
What is NONCYCLICAL (defensive) industries?
Companies in defensive industries generally produce NONDURABLE CONSUMER GOODS (sometimes called CONSUMABLES), such as food, pharmaceuticals, and tobacco.
Give some examples of CYCLICAL industry products
■ Steel
■ Autos
■ Heavy equipment
■ Capital goods (washers and dryers, etc.)
“least affected by normal business cycles”
What industry does this describe?
Noncyclical (defensive) industries
Why is top-down analysis an alternate name for fundamental analysis?
because you start at the top (the economy) and work your way down to the company.
What is a good way to identify if a company is noncyclical (defensive) industries?
If the company makes a product that is used once and consumed in the process, it is probably defensive.
What is a Countercyclical industry?
tend to turn down as the economy heats up and to rise when the economy turns down. They are producers of a product that people buy when they are scared and looking for safety.
What happens to STOCKS in
DEFENSIVE INDUSTRIES during a RECESSION and BEAR market
versus
during an EXPANSION and BULL market?
stocks in defensive industries generally DECLINE LESS than STOCKS IN OTHER INDUSTIES
but during EXPANSIONS and BULL markets, defensive stocks may ADVANCE LESS.
What are some examples of NONCYCLICAL (defensive) industries ?
■ Food
■ Utilities—highest dividend payout ratio
■ Clothing
■ Drugs
■ Tobacco
■ Liquor
What are some examples of COUNTERCYCLICAL industries?
gold mining and refinement, though any precious metal will do
Explain the tendency of persons in the GOLD MARKET
People tend to flock to gold when the economy is WEAK and move away from gold as the economy IMPROVES and investors move into investments with better return potential (and more risk).
Describe a growth industry
is one that seems to be disconnected from the business cycle, doing well regardless of the economy. This may apply to an individual stock, as well as to a specific industry.
Investments in this industry tend to involve less risk and, consequently, lower investment returns. What industry is this?
a. defensive industries
b. cyclical
c. growth
d. countercyclical
a. defensive industries
What is a special situation?
is normally applied to a specific company, but it could apply to an industry as a whole. A special situation might be anything from a hostile takeover to a cultural shift that moves the consumer away from the product.
What is the difference between growth and special situation?
Unlike growth, special situation may be a positive or a negative condition
Based on the scenario below is this a growth or special situation?
At the same time, companies that had historically done well producing public telephone equipment (phone booths) saw that business decrease dramatically. Also, makers of street maps are not enjoying the information revolution much either.
A special situation, and not a good one.
______________ tend to do well in expansions and poorly in contractions
Cyclical Industries
What is corporate financial reports?
A corporation’s financial reports provide fundamental analysts the data they need to understand the financial strengths and weaknesses of a company.
What can corporate financial reports be used for ?
From the information on these statements, we can calculate ratios that allow us to compare a company’s financials with those of a competitor.
What are the two primary financial reports?
balance sheet and the income statement
______________ tend to be less impacted by the business cycle, maintaining sales throughout the cycle.
Defensive Industries
How often are financial reports published?
are released on quarterly and annual basis
What is the balance sheet?
provides a snapshot of a company’s financial position at a specific time. It identifies the value of the company’s assets (what it owns) and its liabilities (what it owes).
True or False
The value of its assets must equal (balance with) the value of its liabilities and equity.
True
What is the difference between assets and liabilities called?
difference between these two figures is the corporation’s equity, or net worth