Unit 1: Theories, models and descriptive inference Flashcards

1
Q

Define “ontology”

A

The nature of the social world and its basic elements (“There’s no such thing as …”)

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2
Q

Define “epistemology”

A

What it is possible to know about the social world (“It’s impossible to know that …”)
“What can we know about social phenomena? What type or form of knowledge can we treat as legitimate knowledge about the social world?

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3
Q

What is “methodology”

A

How we obtain knowledge about the world (“You’ve used the wrong tool” or you’ve used the tool wrong”)

What are the means and methods that can provide us with legitimate knowledge of the political world?

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4
Q

“Ontology” and “Epistemology” (vs) “Methodology”

A

Ontology→ What exists?
Epistemology→ What sort of knowledge of it is possible?
Methodology→ What strategies can we use to GAIN that knowledge?

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5
Q

Define “positivism.”

A

A philosophy according to which the social world is amenable to the techniques and explanations of natural science.

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6
Q

What are the characteristic features of positivistm

A

o Naturalism
o Empiricism
o The goal of social science is to explain and predict social phenomena by means of laws: develop law-like generalizations about the world akin to laws of nature (gravity etc.)
o The pursuit of knowledge of the social world through application of the scientific methods used in the natural sciences it is possible to distinguish between facts and values, and to treat ‘facts’ as independent of the observer and the observer’s values.

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7
Q

What is naturalism

A

There’s no fundamental difference between natural and social sciences (ontology)

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8
Q

What is empiricism

A

What we know about the world originates in observation (epistemology)

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9
Q

While reading an academic article, what sorts of clues would you look for to identify the article as positivist?

A

Some clues you would look for to identify the article as positivist are: the use of theories or “covering laws” to explain the world, hypotheses or “observable implications are then derived from the covering law, hypotheses are then tested using empirical data (begin by establishing a theory to be tested, explicitly state hypotheses)

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10
Q

Define “interpretivism.”

A

Interpretivism is a philosophy according to which the social world is fundamentally different from the natural world, making the methods of natural science inapplicable to the study of social phenomena. The goal of social science is to interpret the meanings, beliefs, and ideas that give people reasons for acting.

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11
Q

What are the characteristic features of interpretivism?

A

o Human behavior is the product of the meanings and intentions that actors employ
o Social science must use interpretive methods to understand these meanings and intentions – treat everything as “text” to be interpreted

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12
Q

While reading an academic article, what sorts of clues would you look for to identify the article as interpretivist?

A

Some clues you would look for to identify the article as interpretivist are: the facts are not divorced from their context, all actions must be understood in terms of the beliefs and contexts of those who are engaging in them, an emphasis on qualitative, enthusiasm for ethnographic methods, emphasis on thick description, absence of hypothesis

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13
Q

Define “critical theory.”

A

An approach to social science in which practical, explanatory, and normative considerations are interwoven in an attempt to explain and challenge oppressive power structures.

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14
Q

What are the characteristic features of critical theory

A

o The goal of social science is not only to understand or explain society, it is to critique and ultimately change society. “Value-free” social science is nonsense.
o Emphasize a “democratic” approach to social science which focuses on the lived experiences of real people in context. Methodologically, some similarities here with interpretive theories.
o Make an explicit, conscious effort to fuse action and theory. Normative focus on bringing about change. Critical theorists align themselves normatively with the oppressed.
o Recent critical theory emphasizes multiple “ways of knowing”

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15
Q

While reading an academic article, what sorts of clues would you look for to identify the article as “critical theory”?

A

reflexivity and self-positioning, particularly in the early parts of work, explicitly normative, interpretivist and qualitative methodologies

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16
Q

What is the difference between “positivist interpretivism” and “critical interpretivism”?

A

The difference between positivist interpretivism and critical interpretivism is that in positivist interpretivism “value free” social science is possible when researching meaning whereas in critical interpretivism “value-free” social science is not possible

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17
Q

What is the relationship between different philosophies of science and political science methods? Are there particular methods (e.g. quantitative statistics, qualitative interviews) that are more common in some philosophical “schools” of thought than others?

A

Interpretivism has an emphasis on qualitative studies, ethnographic methods and descriptions (no hypotheses)
Positivists would use quantitative statistics and a more experimental approa

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18
Q

What is the difference between “normative questions” and “empirical questions”?

A

Empirical questions address events and political phenomena that we observe in the real world: questions about what is;
Normative questions address questions about what should or ought to be.

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19
Q

Do positivists believe the two (normative and empirical questions) can be separated from each other? What about interpretivists? What about critical theorists?

A

Positivists believe that we can acquire knowledge on the world only through empiricism. Legitimate knowledge is only what can be observed.
Interpretivists believe that the social world is fundamentally different from from the natural world. We cannot gain insight by employing methods used to explain the natural world (Empirical)
Critical theory questions are strictly normative

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20
Q

What is the difference between “grand theory” and “theory of the middle range”?

A

The definition of these types of theories, and the difference between them are based on their scope and level of generalizability.

Grand theory is what he characterized as ‘all-inclusive systematic efforts to develop a unified theory that will explain all the observed uniformities of social be- haviour, social organization, and social change’ (1968: 39). Merton argued that grand and abstract theories of society provided no basis for an empirical social science. He therefore called on theorists to apply themselves to the development of what he called ‘theories of the middle range’: theories that attempted to understand and explain a limited aspect of social life, a more restricted domain or set of social phenomena. These explanations could then be verified through empirical research and then perhaps systematized into theoretical systems of broader scope and content.

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21
Q

hat’s the difference between “empirical” and “normative” theory?

A

Empirical theory is concerned with questions that can be answered with empirical data (data gathered through observations of the world around us).
Normative theory is concerned with questions about what is right and wrong, desirable or undesirable, just or unjust in society

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22
Q

What are the three characteristic features of a theory?

A

Organizational
Predictive
Explanatory

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23
Q

Describe what is meant in saying that a theory is organizational, predictive, and explanatory.

A

o Theories are organizational — they provide “conceptual machinery”
o Theories are predictive — they enable expectations about what will happen
o Theories are explanatory — they implicitly or explicitly offer causal accounts of political action

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24
Q

Define “rational choice theory”

A

Pays little attention to differences across social, cultural, and historical settings. In explaining social outcomes, it assumes that, in any particular set of circumstances or strategic interactions, the rational choices of individuals will produce predictable, law-like outcomes.

Human behaviors reflect rational responses to situations.

Human behavior reflects a calculation of the expected benefits and costs of actions and an attempt to optimize utility

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25
Q

Outline the characteristic features of rational choice theory

A

The theory is organizational - conceptual machinery that includes “individuals,” social interaction as a form of “exchange”, the idea of utility

The theory is predictive - individuals respond to incentives, if we increase the utility of an option, people will take it (e.g vaccination lottery)

The theory is explanatory - explain events (revolutions, elections, peasant rebellions, even marriages and family) by decomposing and analyzing the actors and the options they have within specific situations

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26
Q

Describe the role of theory in Colin Kahl’s research, as described in the textbook and in class

A

Kahl uses the two prevailing theories to draw core hypotheses from each and the goes on to test them and propose his own hypothesis

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27
Q

What are the clues that a project begins with induction or deduction?

A

Some of the clues that a project begins with induction or deduction would be
if the project starts with an observation (induction) or a theory (deduction)

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28
Q

What is inductive reasoning?

A

Observation, Pattern, Tentative Hypothesis, Theory
Using inductive reasoning, you infer a purely correlational relationship where nothing causes the other thing to occur. Instead, one event may act as a “sign” that another event will occur or is currently occurring.

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29
Q

What is deductive reasoning

A

Theory, Hypothesis, Observation, Confirmation
Begins with an initial assumption
Then a second statement/premise is made about the first assumption
Then testing
Then conclusion

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30
Q

Describe the prisoner’s dilemma game

A

Situation: two bank robbers have been apprehended, they’re in separate interrogation rooms. Each bank robber has to choose to “rat out” their comrade or “keep quiet”. If they both keep quiet, they’ll be better off, but if they are the first to “rat out” their comrade, they’ll get a reduced sentence.

31
Q

Is the prisoner’s dilemma game a “formal model” or a “statistical model”?

A

he prisoner’s dilemma game is a “formal model”

32
Q

What lessons might we draw from the prisoner’s dilemma game?

A

The lesson is that the structure of a decision situation can produce suboptimal outcomes for the “players” even if they’re all behaving rationally!

33
Q

Define a “statistical model.”

A

A statistical model is a mathematical representation of the world that is designed to describe/ explain/predict the relationships between variables while also quantifying uncertainty about those relationships

34
Q

What are the main differences between formal models and statistical models?

A

Differs from formal models because statistical models involve data and statistical uncertainty.

35
Q

Imagine that the coefficient for gender in the statistical model was (0.55) instead of (-0.55). What would this mean?

A

If the coefficient for gender was positive this would mean that when all other factors are equal women are ideologically further right than men are.
This is because in the legend for gender: Men are coded (0) and women are coded (1).

36
Q

Imagine that the coefficient for age in the statistical model was (-0.9) instead of (0.3). What would this mean?

A

This would mean that as people get older they become ideologically further left than if they were when they were younger.

37
Q

What is the metaphor that modellers like to use to describe how to evaluate the strengths or weaknesses of a particular model?

A
38
Q

Define operationalization

A

Operationalization is when a concept is translated into an empirical measure

39
Q

Define reliability

A

Reliability refers to the consistency of a measure (whether the results can be reproduced under the same conditions). Multiple applications of the measurement produce the same measure = high levels of reliability.

40
Q

Define validity

A

Validity refers to the accuracy of a measure (whether the results really do represent what they are supposed to measure).

41
Q

Define face validity

A

Face validity means that the indicator intuitively seems like a good measure of the concept. In other words it makes sense.

42
Q

Define content validity

A

Content validity is the extent to which the indicator covers the full range of the concept, covering each of its different aspects.

43
Q

Define constuct validity

A

Construct validity is how well the measure conforms to our theoretical expectations by examining the extent to which it is associated with other theoretically relevant factors.

44
Q

What is the difference between reliability and validity?

A

While reliability and validity are both about how well a method measures something: Reliability refers to the consistency of a measure (whether the results can be reproduced under the same conditions). Validity refers to the accuracy of a measure (whether the results really do represent what they are supposed to measure).

45
Q

What are the trade-offs involved in moving up or down the “ladder” of abstraction?

A

By moving down the ladder of abstraction, things become more measurable, and thus help us address problems of reliability
By moving up the ladder of abstraction, we tend to move in the direction of validity in terms of the things we actually care about.
A good measure is aware of this trade-off and makes conscious decisions about what to prioritize

46
Q

What is the relevance of “levels of abstraction” for our understanding of measurement?

A

The things we care about can be thought about at several levels of abstraction. Only some of which are observable

47
Q

What’s the difference between quantitative and qualitative data?

A

Quantitative data is numerical, and qualitative data is not.

48
Q

Define nominal scale

A

Nominal scales define members of different classes but have no ranking ex. gender, party identification, turnout

49
Q

Define ordinal scale

A

Ordinal scales define members of different classes that can be arranged into an order, but we don’t know the true difference between levels on the scale. E.g. “strongly disagree / somewhat disagree / somewhat agree / strongly agree”. E.g. “not at all important, somewhat important, very important”

50
Q

Define interval scale

A

Interval scales have a consistent measure of distance between categories. E.g. the difference between age 40 and age 35 is the same as the difference between 25 and 20.

51
Q

Describe the trade-offs involved in moving from nominal toward interval scales, and vice versa.

A

We can do more with numeric scales (statistical analysis)
We can sometimes be more confident with categorical scales

52
Q

What is a “latent variable”?

A

A latent variable is a variable that cannot be measured directly but can be inferred from one or more indicator variables.

53
Q

Why might a latent variable be desireable?

A

This might be desirable because they can help with reliability and construct validity

54
Q

What are the main differences between “big data” and traditional data, according to the textbook? What are some good examples of “big data” that would be useful in political science research?

A
55
Q

Define inference

A

Inference is the process of using the facts we know to learn about facts we do not know

56
Q

Define descriptive inference

A

Descriptive inference is an inference we make about how the world was or is. The act of describing some aspect of the world.

57
Q

Define causal inference

A

Causal inference is an inference we make about why something happens. An account of the causes of a political phenomenon.

58
Q

Explain the differences among these concepts of inference

A

The difference between these concepts is that causal inference faces additional challenges related to identification of causal effects. Causal inference is great, but most of what we know is based on descriptive inference!

59
Q

Define an “indicator”

A

Indicators describe one feature of a population. Also known as: attribute, dimension, factor, variable, property.

Ex. COVID-19 case total in Calgary Health Region
Percentage of people who voted for the
Liberals in the 2019 election Ideological self-placement of individual in public opinion survey
Latent measure of the “urbanness” of an electoral district

60
Q

Define a “synthesis”

A

Syntheses attempt to summarize a set of indicators/attributes/ phenomena under a particular concept or phrase
Ex. Canadians are more deferential than Americans
The world is witnessing the resurgence of populist political leaders
Partisanship isn’t just about policy attitudes it’s also about social identity

61
Q

What is a typology?

A

Typologies organize cases into discrete, mutually exclusive, and exhaustive categories.

62
Q

What is the difference between a temporal typology, a matrix typology, and a taxonomy?

A

A temporal typology is a periodization or can be sequences where the order matters
Ex. Democratization can be divided into three waves
A matrix typology is a tool allowing the comparison of different open and citizen science cases based on common list of typological items.
A taxonomy is a conceptual “family tree”

63
Q

What is a trend

A

A trend is an association between a phenomenon and time

64
Q

What is a correlation

A

A correlation is an association between two phenomena

65
Q

What is a positive correlation

A

A positive relationship or correlation is when more of one thing is associated with more of the other thing

66
Q

What is a negative correlation

A

A negative relationship or correlation is when more of one thing is associated with less of the other thing

67
Q

What is a null relationship or correlation

A

A null relationship or correlation is more or less of one thing has no association with more or less of the other thing

68
Q

Describe how a regression model can be used descriptively as a tool for structured comparisons.

A

A valuable tool for carrying out structured comparisons within the data. (“Comparing two individuals who are similar with respect to the other variables in the model…”)

69
Q

What does each dot in Figure 1 represent? What do the coloured shaded areas represent?

A

Each point in the figure represents a single election; points above the dotted horizontal line indicate a positive relationship between district urbanity and vote share (“urban advantage”), and points below the dotted horizontal line indi- cate a negative relationship (“rural advantage”). Shaded areas represent 95 percent confidence regions.

70
Q

What is the major inference goal in this article?

A
71
Q

How would you summarize the results in Figure 1 in the article?

A
72
Q

Why do Armstrong et al. prefer a latent measure of district urbanity? What are the alternative measures that they consider?

A

As urbanity is a multidimensional construct, a measure of district urbanity that incorporates multiple indicators is likely to generate a more theoretically satisfying and empirically valid summary of electoral districts.
Five core features: population size, institutionalization, density, economic base and social heterogeneity

The alternative measures that were considered were:
“Threshold” measures, defines a population threshold above which a community is considered urban.
“Metropolitan” family of approaches defines urban and rural districts in relation to metropolitan areas as defined by statistics agencies.
“Indicator” measures choose a particular indicator of a district’s urban or rural character, the most common of which is population density

73
Q

What is the major measurement goal in this article?

A
74
Q

What are the research questions in this article?

A

(1) when the urban-rural divide has existed in Canada, identifying three main periods—the 1920s, the 1960s and 1993–present—in which the urban-rural cleavage has been especially important in federal elections;
(2)** where the urban-rural divide has existed**, finding that in the postwar period the urban-rural cleavage is a pan-Canadian phenomenon
(3) how well urbanity predicts district-level election outcomes.