Unit 1 - Definitions and Equations Flashcards
Attack Rate
Incidence Proportion
Proportion of the population that develops illness during an outbreak
= # of new cases / # of people at risk of illness (or in pop)
Case Definitions
Set of criteria that a case must meet in order to be definitively diagnosed with a disease
Need to be determined before we can define the “who” of Descriptive EPI
Based off of this, we split cases into confirmed vs probable
Confirmed vs Probable Cases
C: person who meets all of the specified criteria and can be diagnosed
P: person who meets the majority but not all of the criteria in order to be definitively diagnosed. Even if health care provider is super sure that they qualify for they diagnosis, they cannot be confirmed until meet all criteria
Case Fatality Rate
Proportion of persons with a disease who die from it
Cannot die from a disease if you don’t have it
= # of cause specific deaths / # cases of disease
Cause- Specific Morbidity Rate
The morbidity rate from a specified cause for a population
= # of persons with cause- specific disease / # of people in population
Cause- Specific Mortality Rate
Mortality rate from a specified cause for a population
= # of cause- specific deaths / # of people in population
Cause- Specific Survival Rate
of cause- specific cases alive / # of cases of disease
Cluster
Outbreak of disease
Crude Morbidity Rate
= # of persons with any and all disease / # of persons in population
Crude Mortality Rate
= # of deaths / # of persons in population
Cumulative Incidence
Incidence calculated from the incidences of non-dynamic populations at different points in time.
Combining all of the incidences from a given time period from a non-dynamic population
Disease Registry
Running list gathered by the CDC based on input from health care providers about what disease they are seeing in private practice/ the public.
Part of passive surveillance requires health care providers to report diseases to the CDC so they can update / track registries/ diseases
Endemic
When a population has a higher than normal presence of a disease as their baseline compared to other populations
Epidemic
When a population experiences a higher than normal presence of disease compared to baseline presence
Occurs on a larger scale than outbreaks
Community and period is clearly defined
Fertility Rate
= # of live births / 1,000 women of childbearing age (15-44)
Fixed vs Dynamic Populations
F: non-dynamic
- little movement, stable
- used to calculate cumulative incidence
D: movement, less stability
- where we need standardization of some sort bec we can be less certain about size of population or lengths of time
- at risk group estimated by: population at start, middle, or end of year or average population over entire year
- used to calculate incidence density
National Notifiable Disease Surveillance System (NNDSS)
Gather information about diseases from the community
Requires that physicians and other health care providers report certain diseases to them and the CDC in order to keep tracking, update information
Allows them to notify others/ make resources available should an outbreak/ epidemic occur
Incidence
Also known as risk or attack rate
The occurrence of new cases of disease or injury in a population over a specified period of time (usually 1 year)
Can mean number of new cases in community or number of new cases per unit population
Used for people who develop a condition during a period of time
Measure of how fast (risk)
= # of new cases of disease / # people at risk
Incidence Density
Combination of the incidences over time from a dynamic population
Incidence Rate
Person - time rate
Measure of incidence that incorporates time directly into denominator
Describes how quickly a disease occurs in a population
= # of new cases / person-time each person was observed
Incubation Period
Time between exposure and onset of disease
Induction Period
Synonymous with incubation period
Time between exposure and onset of disease
Infant Mortality Rate
Most common measure for comparing health status among nations
Ratio not a proportion
= # of deaths among children < 1 year old / 1000 live births
Infectivity
Ability to invade a patient (host)
Incidence
= # infected / # at risk
Latency Period
Time between onset of disease and disease diagnosis
Live Birth Rate (Natality)
= # live births / 1,000 population
Maternal Mortality Rate
= # deaths of women while pregnant or within 42 days of termination of pregnancy / 100,000 live births
Morbidity
Any departure, subjective or objective, from a state of physiological or psychological wellbeing
- disease, injury, disability
Measures characterize the number of persons in a population who become ill (incidence) or are ill at a given time (prevalence)
Mortality
Death of an individual from any cause
Neonatal Mortality Rate
Neonatal period = birth - 28 days old
= # deaths of children under 28 days old / 1,000 births
Outbreak
Higher than normal frequency of disease in a localized population compared to baseline values
Occurs on small scale than epidemic
Interchangeable with cluster
Pandemic
When an epidemic spreads to cross geographic borders
Multi-national, Multi- continent
Determined by intensity of spread, multi-continent, and lethality
Pathogenicity
Ability to cause clinical disease
= # with clinical disease/ # infected
Period Prevalence
Prevalence measures over specific time period (usually mid year)
Person- Time
Generally calculated from a long-term cohort study
Assumes probability of disease during study period is constant
Allows us to standardize population when we don’t know the population size or the time period
Postnatal Mortality Rate
Postnatal period = 28 days - 1 year
= # deaths of children aged 28 days - 1 year / 1,000 live births
Prevalence
Proportion of people in a population who have a particular disease or attribute at a specified point in time or over a specified period of time
Includes all cases - new and preexisting
See for people who have a condition during a period of time
Used for measuring chronic disease
Measure of how much - burden of disease
Prevalence Rate
Proportion of the population that has a health condition at a point in time
Point Prevalence
Proportion of people with a particular disease or attribute on a particular date
Prevalence measured at a particular point in time
Proportion
Comparison of 2 related things
Represents a part of a whole
Have to factor numerator into denominator
Proportional Mortality Rate
Proportion of deaths in a specified population over a period of time attributable to different causes
= # of cause- specific deaths / total # deaths in population
Rate
Comparison of 2 things over time or a specified time period
Like a proportion but it must include time
Part over whole over time period
Ratio
Comparing 2 non-related things
Numerator and denominator are separate
Risk
Another term for incidence or attack rate
Secondary Attack Rate
Looks at the difference between community transmission of illness vs transmission of illness in a household/ other closed populations
= # of cases among contacts of primary cases / total number of contacts
Sentinel / Index Case
Case that epidemiologist’s retrospectively label as the first incidence of disease
- look at max incubation period and min incubation period
Where we link start/ spread of disease to
Cannot always be defined as 1 person - sometimes it is a range or nonexistent
Depends on illness and nature of contact with others
Active Surveillance
Going out into the community and asking questions and looking for new disease/ cases
More involved - need a lot of time, people, and resources
Need to ask questions, conduct research, observe people you are looking at
Ex: John Snow and Broad Street Pump
Passive Surveillance
Health care providers have to alert the CDC/ NNDSS when they see a certain disease
Passive bec they wait for updates from health care providers and then enter information into database - no boots on ground
Let’s us track disease frequency and occurrence over time and within populations
Syndromic Surveillance
Another form of passive surveillance
Used when person presents a certain set of symptoms but a definitive diagnosis cannot be given at moment.
Use already defined similar diagnosis to guide decisions and protocol until something more definitive can be done
Almost- could be phenomenon
Virulence
Ability to cause death (case fatality rate)
= # deaths / # with infectious disease
John Snow
Father of Epidemiology
Recognized a lot of people in a London neighborhood were sick. He conducted descriptive EPI by going into community and asking questions and keeping track of his information on a map.
He traced the bad water which was leading people to develop/ spread cholera to the Broad Street Pump