Two Flashcards
A 2-step binomial tree is used to value an American put option with strike 104, given that
the underlying price is currently 100. At each step the underlying price can move up by
20% or down by 20% and the risk-neutral probability of an up move is 0.55. There are no
dividends paid on the underlying and the discretely compounded risk free interest rate over
each time step is 2%. What is the value of the option in this model?
A. 11.82
B. 12.33
C. 12.49
D. 12.78
C. 12.49
A linear regression gives the following output:
Figures in square brackets are estimated standard errors of the coefficient estimates.
What is the value of the test statistic for the hypothesis that the coefficient of is less than 1?
A. 0.32
B. 0.64
C. 0.96
D. 1.92
B. 0.64
A 2-year bond has a yield of 5% and an annual coupon of 5%. What is the Macaulay
Duration of the bond?
A. 2
B. 1.95
C. 1.86
D. 1.75
B. 1.95
Simple linear regression involves one dependent variable, one independent variable and
one error variable. In contrast, multiple linear regression uses
A. One dependent variable, many independent variables, one error variable
B. Many dependent variables, one independent variable, one error variable
C. One dependent variable, one independent variable, many error variables
D. Many dependent variables, many independent variables, many error variables
A. One dependent variable, many independent variables, one error variable
Suppose that f(x) and g(x,y) are functions. What is the partial derivative of f(g(x,y)) with
respect to y?
A. f’(g(x,y))
B. f(dg/dy)
C. f(g(x,y)) dg/dy
D. f’(g(x,y)) dg/dy
D. f’(g(x,y)) dg/dy
If the annual volatility of returns is 25% what is the variance of the quarterly returns?
A. 0.1250
B. 0.0156
C. 0.0625
D. None of the above
B. 0.0156
Which of the provided answers solves this system of equations?
2y 3x = 3y +x
y2 + x2 = 68
A. x = 1; y = square root of 67
B. x = 2; y = 8
C. x = 2; y = -8
D. x = -2; y = -8
C. x = 2; y = -8
When the errors in a linear regression show signs of positive autocorrelation, which of the
statements below is true?
A. The regression coefficient will be too high and the standard error of the regression coefficient will be understated
B. The regression coefficient will be too low and the standard error of the regression coefficient will be overstated
C. The regression coefficient will be unbiased, but the standard error of the regression coefficient will be understated
D. The regression coefficient will be unbiased, but the standard error of the regression coefficient will be overstated
D. The regression coefficient will be unbiased, but the standard error of the regression coefficient will be overstated
What is the maximum value of the function F(x, y)=x2+y2 in the domain defined by
inequalities x 1, y -2, y-x 3 ?
A. 29
B. -25
C. 1
D. 17
A. 29
A 95% confidence interval for a parameter estimate can be interpreted as follows:
A. The probability that the real value of the parameter is within this interval is 95%.
B. The probability that the real value of the parameter is outside this interval is 95%.
C. The probability that the estimated value of the parameter is within this interval is 95%.
D. The probability that the estimated value of the parameter is outside this interval is 95%.
A. The probability that the real value of the parameter is within this interval is 95%.
Consider two securities X and Y with the following 5 annual returns:
X: +10%, +3%, -2%, +3%, +5%
Y: +7%, -2%, +3%, -5%, +10%
In this case the sample covariance between the two time series can be calculated as:
A. 0.40729
B. 0.00109
C. 0.00087
D. 0.32583
B. 0.00109
Which of the following is not a sequence?
A. , , , … , , …
B. , , , , …
C. , , , , , , …
D. 30
D. 30
Which of the following can be used to evaluate a regression model?
(i) Magnitude of R2
(ii) Magnitude of TSS (total sum of squares)
(iii) Tests for statistical significance
(iv) Sign and magnitude of each regression parameter
A. (i) and (iv)
B. (i), (ii), and (iii)
C. (i), (iii), and (iv)
D. (i), (ii), (iii), and (iv)
C. (i), (iii), and (iv)
Every covariance matrix must be positive semi-definite. If it were not then:
A. Some portfolios could have a negative variance
B. One or more of its eigenvalues would be negative
C. There would be no Cholesky decomposition matrix
D. All the above statements are true
D. All the above statements are true
A simple linear regression is based on 100 data points. The total sum of squares is 1.5 and
the correlation between the dependent and explanatory variables is 0.5. What is the
explained sum of squares?
A. 0.75
B. 1.125
C. 0.3333
D. 0.375
D. 0.375
Which statement regarding the matrix below is true?
A. It is not positive definite
B. It is positive semi-definite
C. It is positive definite
D. It is negative definite
A. It is not positive definite
A linear regression gives the following output:
Figures in square brackets are estimated standard errors of the coefficient estimates.
Which of the following is an approximate 95% confidence interval for the true value of the
coefficient of ?
A. [0, 1.5]
B. [1, 2]
C. [0, 3]
D. None of the above
C. [0, 3]
Let N(.) denote the cumulative distribution function and suppose that X and Y are standard
normally distributed and uncorrelated. Using the fact that N(1.96)=0.975, the probability
that X 0 and Y 1.96 is approximately
A. 0.25%
B. 0.488%
C. 0.49%
D. 0.495%
B. 0.488%
Let N(.) denote the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal probability distribution, and N' its derivative. Which of the following is false?
A. N(0) = 0.5
B. N’(0) 0
C. N(x) 0 as x
D. N’(x) 0 as x
C. N(x) 0 as x
Suppose I trade an option and I wish to hedge that option for delta and vega. Another
option is available to trade. To complete the hedge I would
A. trade the underlying in such a way as to make the portfolio delta and vega neutral.
B. trade the other option in such a way as to make the portfolio delta and vega neutral.
C. trade the other option in such a way as to make the portfolio vega neutral, and then trade the underlying in such a way as to make the portfolio delta neutral.
D. trade the underlying in such a way as to make the portfolio delta neutral, and then trade the other option in such a way as to make the portfolio vega neutral.
C. trade the other option in such a way as to make the portfolio vega neutral, and then trade the underlying in such a way as to make the portfolio delta neutral.
In a 2-step binomial tree, at each step the underlying price can move up by a factor of u =
1.1 or down by a factor of d = 1/u. The continuously compounded risk free interest rate
over each time step is 1% and there are no dividends paid on the underlying. Use the Cox,
Ross, Rubinstein parameterization to find the risk neutral probability and hence find the
value of a European put option with strike 102, given that the underlying price is currently
100.
A. 5.19
B. 5.66
C. 6.31
D. 4.18
C. 6.31
What is the total derivative of the function f(x,y) = ln(x+y), where ln() denotes the natural
logarithmic function?
A. 1 / (x+y)
B. (x + y) / (x+y)
C. -x/(x+y) - y/(x+y)
D. ln(x+y) x + ln(x+y) y
B. (x + y) / (x+y)
The correlation between two asset returns is 0.5. What is the largest eigenvalue of their
correlation matrix?
A. 0.5
B. 1
C. 1.5
D. None of the above
C. 1.5
A 2-step binomial tree is used to value an American put option with strike 105, given that
the underlying price is currently 100. At each step the underlying price can move up by 10
or down by 10 and the risk-neutral probability of an up move is 0.6. There are no dividends
paid on the underlying and the continuously compounded risk free interest rate over each
time step is 1%. What is the value of the option in this model?
A. 7.12
B. 6.59
C. 7.44
D. 7.29
A. 7.12
Stress testing portfolios requires changing the asset volatilities and correlations to extreme
values. Which of the following would lead to a non positive definite covariance matrix?
A. Changing the volatilities to be greater than 100%
B. Changing all the correlations to be unity
C. Changing all the correlations to be zero
D. All of the above
B. Changing all the correlations to be unity
In a multiple linear regression, the significance of R2 can be tested using which
distribution?
A. Normal distribution
B. Student’s t distribution
C. F-distribution
D. Binomial distribution
C. F-distribution
The Lagrangian of a constrained optimisation problem is given by L(x,y,) = 16x+8x2+4y-
(4x+y-20), where is the Lagrange multiplier. What is the solution for x and y?
A. x = -1, y = 0
B. x = 0, y = 20
C. x = 5, y = 0
D. None of the above
B. x = 0, y = 20
Let X be a random variable distributed normally with mean 0 and standard deviation 1.
What is the expected value of exp(X)?
A. E(exp(X)) = 1.6487
B. E(exp(X)) = 1
C. E(exp(X)) = 2.7183
D. E(exp(X)) = 0.6065
A. E(exp(X)) = 1.6487
In a portfolio there are 7 bonds: 2 AAA Corporate bonds, 2 AAA Agency bonds, 1 AA
Corporate and 2 AA Agency bonds. By an unexplained characteristic the probability of any
specific AAA bond outperforming the others is twice the probability of any specific AA bond
outperforming the others. What is the probability that an AA bond or a Corporate bond
outperforms all of the others?
A. 5/7
B. 8/11
C. 6/11
D. None of these
D. None of these
Exploring a regression model for values of the independent variable that have not been
observed is most accurately described as
A. Estimation
B. Regression
C. Hypothesis testing
D. Prediction
D. Prediction
I have a portfolio of two stocks. The weights are equal. The one volatility is 30% while the
other is 40%. The minimum and maximum possible values of the volatility of my portfolio
are:
A. 30% and 40%
B. 5% and 35%
C. 10% and 40%
D. 10% and 70%
B. 5% and 35%
An operational risk analyst models the occurrence of computer failures as a Poisson
process with an arrival rate of 2 events per year. According to this model, what is the
probability of zero failures in one year?
A. 0.02
B. 0.14
C. 0.25
D. 0.50
B. 0.14
What is the 40th term in the following series: 4, 14, 30, 52, …?
A. 240
B. 4598
C. 4840
D. 4960
C. 4840
Which of the following statements about skewness of an empirical probability distribution
are correct?
1. When sampling returns from a time series of asset prices, discretely compounded
returns exhibit higher skewness than continuously compounded returns
2. When the mean is significantly less than the median, this is an indication of negative
skewness
3. Skewness is a sign of asymmetry in the dispersion of the data
A. All three statements are correct
B. Statements 1 and 2 are correct
C. Statements 1 and 3 are correct
D. Statements 2 and 3 are correct
A. All three statements are correct
You are given the following regressions of the first difference of the log of a commodity
price on the lagged price and of the first difference of the log return on the lagged log
return. Each regression is based on 100 data points and figures in square brackets denote
the estimated standard errors of the coefficient estimates:
Which of the following hypotheses can be accepted based on these regressions at the 5%
confidence level (corresponding to a critical value of the Dickey Fuller test statistic of
2.89)?
A. The commodity prices are stationary
B. The commodity returns are stationary
C. The commodity returns are integrated of order 1
D. None of the above
D. None of the above
What is the angle between the following two three dimensional vectors: a=(1,2,3), b=(-
4,2,0)?
A. 90 degrees
B. 180 degrees
C. 57 degrees
D. 45 degrees
A. 90 degrees
You invest $100 000 for 3 years at a continuously compounded rate of 3%. At the end of 3
years, you redeem the investment. Taxes of 22% are applied at the time of redemption.
What is your approximate after-tax profit from the investment, rounded to $10?
A. $9420
B. $7350
C. $7230
D. $7100
B. $7350
Which of the following statements is true?
A. Discrete and continuous compounding produce the same results if the discount rate is positive.
B. Continuous compounding is the better method because it results in higher present values compared to discrete compounding.
C. Continuous compounding can be thought as making the compounding period infinitesimally small.
D. The constant plays an important role in the mathematical description of continuous compounding.
C. Continuous compounding can be thought as making the compounding period infinitesimally small.
Evaluate the derivative of exp(x2 + 2x + 1) at the point x = -1
A. 0.5
B. 0
C. 1
D. 2
B. 0
Which of the following is not a direct cause of autocorrelation or heteroskedasticity in the
residuals of a regression model?
A. A structural break in the dependent variable
B. A high positive correlation between two explanatory variables
C. The omission of a relevant explanatory variable
D. Using an inappropriate functional form in the model
B. A high positive correlation between two explanatory variables
What is the sum of the first 20 terms of this sequence: 3, 5, 9, 17, 33, 65,…?
A. 1 048 574
B. 1 048 595
C. 2 097 170
D. 2 097 172
C. 2 097 170
What is the indefinite integral of the function f(x) = ln(x), where ln(x) denotes the natural
logarithmic function?
A. x ln(x) - x
B. ln(x) - x
C. 1/x
D. exp(x)
A. x ln(x) - x
You are to perform a simple linear regression using the dependent variable Y and the
independent variable X (Y = a + bX). Suppose that cov(X,Y)=10, var(X)= 5, and that the
mean of X is 1 and the mean of Y is 2. What are the values for the regression parameters a
and b?
A. b=0.5, a=2.5
B. b=0.5, a=1.5
C. b=2, a=4
D. b=2, a=0
D. b=2, a=0
The fundamental theorem of analysis establishes a relation between
A. First and second derivative of a function
B. The derivative of a function and the slope of its graph
C. Integration and differentiation of functions
D. The derivative of a function and the derivative of its inverse function
C. Integration and differentiation of functions
The quarterly compounded rate of return is 6% per annum. What is the corresponding
effective annual return?
A. 1.50%
B. 6%
C. 6.14%
D. None of the above
C. 6.14%
Kurtosis(X) is defined as the fourth centred moment of X, divided by the square of the
variance of X. Assuming X is a normally distributed variable, what is Kurtosis(X)?
A. 0
B. 3
C. 2
D. 1
B. 3
You are investigating the relationship between weather and stock market performance. To
do this, you pick 100 stock market locations all over the world. For each location, you
collect yesterday’s mean temperature and humidity and yesterday’s local index return.
Performing a regression analysis on this data is an example of
A. Simple time-series regression
B. Multiple time-series regression
C. Simple cross-section regression
D. Multiple cross-section regression
D. Multiple cross-section regression
What is the maximum value for f(x)= 8-(x+3)(x-3)?
A. 8
B. -1
C. 17
D. None of these
C. 17
Bond convexity is closely related to …
A. The derivative of the bond’s present value with respect to yield
B. The second derivative of the bond’s present value with respect to yield
C. The integral of the bond’s present value with respect to yield
D. The sensitivity of the bond’s present value with respect to yield
B. The second derivative of the bond’s present value with respect to yield
The Newton-Raphson method
A. is based on finding a middle point between left and right end of the search interval
B. is based on Taylor series and uses the first derivative
C. can be used for continuous but not differentiable functions
D. does provide an error bound along with every iteration
B. is based on Taylor series and uses the first derivative
The natural logarithm of x is:
A. the inverse function of exp(x)
B. log(e)
C. always greater than x, for x>0
D. 46
A. the inverse function of exp(x)
Which of the following statements is not correct?
A. Every linear function is also a quadratic function.
B. A function is defined by its domain together with its action.
C. For finite and small domains, the action of a function may be specified by a list.
D. A function is a rule that assigns to every value x at least one value of y.
D. A function is a rule that assigns to every value x at least one value of y.