Turnout paradox Flashcards
What is the turnout paradox
In large elections, the chance of being pivotal is close to 0, so why vote?
Give 5 reasons why someone might vote
1) A taste for voting, Downs (1957) (benefit from voting itself)
2) Minimax-regret strategy
3) Social preferences: If i’m pivotal, I not only influence my payoff, but also that of the whole population
4) Cat and mouse -> If we all think like this, nobody votes, my vote is pivotal with probability 1
5) Ethical reasons (people fought for my right)
What is the expected turnout rate in Myatt (2015)?
t ¬ u/c/NDelta
What is the underdog effect?
More popular party suffers more from abstention, bringing electoral result closer together.
What happens to Hotelling-Downs median voter theorem, when more voters and dimensions are added?
The theory breaks down meaning there is no equilibrium pure strategies when more parties and more dimensions are added.