Trends and Bos Flashcards
What are trends? Why do they work?
They are a pattern that tell us exactly where the market is headed.
They works because markets move off of momentum therefore once a market starts trending in one way it is most likely going to continue in that direction. When the market structure shifts, its most likely going to start trending in a different way.
Describe what we can see in an uptrend.
Describe what we can see in a downtrend.
Describe what we see when there’s no trend.
We can see higher highs and higher lows in an uptrend
We see lower highs and lower lows in a downtrend
When there’s no trend, we see consolidation. There are no higher highs or higher lows.
How does identifying a trend help us trade?
It helps us trade by telling us in which direction to place our trade in. If momentum is pushing price up and creating an uptrend, you wouldnt take a short would you.
Follow the trend. Follow momentum.
Why is it best to avoid “catching a retracement?”
This is because you dont know how far or how deep that retracement will go. We can get bigh retracements and small retracements.
Why is it important to identify overarching trends?
Because trends of a higher time frame hold more power. If the 4hour trend is bearish but the 15m trend just broke structure, that could just be a retracement on a 4hour. The overarching trend is still bearish and that is the more important one.
A lower time frame may show a Bos, but make sure to always check how the price and graph looks on the higher time frame in order to see how the market may be moving as a whole.
How do we use smaller time frame trends in conjunction with overarching trends?
We want the trends in both time frames to be the same and then we can scale down to the shorter time frames to get an optimised entry. We want to catch the large time frame moves ON the smaller time frame.
Lower time frames should be used in confluence with the higher time frames. identify what the higher time frame wants to do then optimise an entry to ride the next wave that comes. These are high risk reward, high probability trades.
We have to trade off of momentum. Off of strong trends. Trading against the trend is never a good idea.
What makes up a high?
What makes up a low?
A move up then a move down.
A move down then a move up.
When we are looking for highs and lows, we use the wicks.
When we are looking for Bos, we are looking for the candle closing above / below this wick.
The high doesn’t have to strictly be off the up candle. The high can be off the wick of the down candle.
ITS ONLY A BREAK OF STRUCTURE IF A CANDLE CLOSES ABOVE A HIGH OR BELOW A LOW!
A break of structure to the upside is when we have identified a current downtrend (lower highs and lower lows), then an up candle closes above the highest point of the most recent high (move up move down)
A break of structure to the downside is when we have an uptrend and then we see the most recent low get taken out.
Why is patience important when looking for a Bos.
We have to WAIT for the candle to CLOSE above / below the high / low. We need to lower our risk by allowing the candle to close thus giving us confirmation of Bos
What is a lower low / higher high
A lower low is a low (move down then move up) that is lower than the last low that had formed. Vice versa for a higher high. These allow us to identify a ttrend.