Trade and Wages Flashcards
What does the Ricardian Model predict about the link between trade and income?
- Country as a whole is better off with trade
- Everyone is the same so everyone gains
What does the HO Model predict about the link between trade and income?
Country as a whole is better off, but what about individuals?
Goods prices <-> Factor prices
- changes in goods prices due to trade will lead to changes in factor prices
Consider Ireland in autarky. It makes two goods:
Pharma (r) is high-skill intensive: 1 high-skill worker for 1 low-skill.
Textiles (t) are low-skill intensive: 1 HS worker for 5 LS workers.
Open for trade with China, a low-skill abundant country.
What happens to prices in Ireland?
H.O Theorem => (Pr/Pt) IE < (Pr/Pt) CH => prices converge to get Pr w/Pt
As Pr/Pt rises in Ireland, want to specialize in pharma
- Need to move both HS and LS workers to pharma
- Price of pharma in Ireland increases
- Want to increase pharma production
- Need HS and LS workers but not at the same intensity
- Since pharma is HS intensive, at current wages, leaves some LS workers unemployed
This drives down their wages
Pr/Pt rise leads to a rise in World HS / World LS (Whs/Wls)
What is the Stolper Samuelson Theorem?
An increase in the relative price of a good increases the relative wage of the factor it uses intensively
- and reduces the relative wage of its non-intensive factor
Factor Prices -> Goods Prices -> Tech
What does the Ryb theory look at?
Output -> Tech -> Endowment
What does the H.O. model look at?
Prices -> Tech -> Endowment
What is Pareto Efficiency?
The only way to benefit someone is to make someone else worse off
Trade is a Pareto Improvement if we redistribute
- Identify who gained from trade
- Identify who lost from trade
- Get tax implemented
What are three things to look out for when doing regression analysis?
- Sign: Positive/Negative
- Statistical Significance: how sure you are that it isn’t a zero effect (the more * - stars the more sure that the data isn’t a zero effect).
- Economic Significance: how large the effect is
The New Trade Theories
- Better to work for an exporter
- Most gains among high-skill in Global North
- Selection effect shifts resources to the most productive firms
- More productive firms also tend to pay higher wages
. exporter wage premium @ 12%