Topic 7 Analysing Strategic Position Flashcards
What is SWOT analysis?
strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats
Value of SWOT
- inform if business has competitive advantage or disadvantage
- useful for developing strategy
Formula for payback
(outlay outstanding/ cash inflow in year of payback) x 12
Steps to ARR
- average rate of return
1. total profit
2. average annual profit
3. ( average annual return/ investment) x 100
Steps to NPV
- net present value
1. net cash flow column x discount factor column = NPV column
2. add NPV column
Purpose of payback
- tells you how quickly investment cost is covered
Pros of payback
- easy to calculate and understand
- higher accuracy because it is short term BUT long term because inaccurate
- good for cash flow problems
Cons of payback
- assumes no change in future and external factors
- no insight into profitability and relevance to profit/ cost
Other than quantitative factors
- company objectives
- company finances
- confidence in data: bias
- social responsibilities: ethical considerations eg. job losses when moving abroad
Purpose of ARR
- compares two or more projects to find out which has the best return in relation to investment
- compares whether an investment return is better than bank return
Purpose of NPV
- shows the value of money in the future (the value of money decreases over time) by taking into account interest rates
Pros of NPV
- creates opportunity cost of investing elsewhere eg. bank
- repeat calculations for different interest rates: optimistic VS pessimistic
Cons of NPV
- difficult to choose a discount rate
What do businesses think about when investing?
- interest rate
- profit level
- alternative investments
2 Main risks and uncertainties of investment decisions
- costs higher than expected
2. sales lower than expected
The issues with forecasting future sales
- timescales: future is uncertain
- new markets: less past information/ data
- competitors
Solving the issue of costs being higher than forecast
- negotiate prices with suppliers: fixed or variable
- create what-if scenarios
- ensuring sufficient financial assets are available
APPLICATION TO EXAM
- think about the type of manager:
1. inexperienced = too-optimistic
2. experienced = pessimistic - think about the industry:
1. fast growth, subject to rapid change = risky, volatile
2. highly predictable, stable = safe, secure, reliable
What is Sensitivity Analysis?
comparing pessimistic, expected, and optimistic figures and seeing the difference between pessimistic and optimistic: larger the difference, larger the risk
What does a balance sheet show?
- current assets and liabilities
- non-current assets and liabilities
- equity/ capital
What does an income statement show?
- revenues
- cost of goods
- gross profit
- overhead costs
- operating profit
- taxes
- profit for the year
What time period does a balance sheet show?
one day
What time period does an income statement show?
one year
Who looks at income statements?
- shareholders: to assess the profitability
- government: corporation tax and investment
- suppliers: reliability, stability
Uses of income statements
- measure success compared to previous years
- assess actual performance against expectations
- help obtain loans or other credit
- enables owners to plan future investment
What happens to profit after taxation?
- dividends
- retained
What is the liquidity ratio and its formula?
current ratio
= current assets/ current liabilities : 1
How to get working capital?
current assets - current liabilities
What does the current ratio show?
- short-term health
- ability to survive day-to-day without running out of cash
Current ratio interpretations
- less than 1: inability to pay debts
- more than 1: the ability to pay debts BUT opportunity cost - not making most efficient use of resources
To improve the current ratio
- sell under-used fixed assets
- raise more share capital
- increase long-term borrowing
Issues with current ratio
ratio suggests you receive all receivables and sell all stock