Topic 7 - A Global Perspective Flashcards

1
Q

What is globalisation ?

A

Globalisation is defined in terms of the free movement of goods and services, factors of production (capital, labour), financial flows (FDI, hot money) and economies becoming increasingly interdependent

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2
Q

What are the variables that measure globalisation ?

A

Difference between GNP and GDP of a country.
Remittances as a % of GDP.
Number of multinational corporations (MNCs) in foreign countries.
Technology advancements (e.g. number of Internet users).
Level of protectionism (e.g. tariffs / quotas).
Membership of free trade agreements (e.g. WTO) / trading blocs (e.g. NAFTA).
Level of FDI flows as a % of GDP.
Amount of X+M (exports + imports) as a % of GDP.
Migration/immigration flows.
Tourism as a % of GDP.
Foreign aid a % of GDP.

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3
Q

What are causes of globalisation?

A

Technological improvements
Growth in WTO membership
Containerisation
Growth of sovereign wealth funds
Deregulation
Growth of BRICS
Growth of free trade blocs

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4
Q

How do technological advancements cause globalisation?

A

Mobile phones and the Internet have promoted globalisation.
The Internet has removed physical barriers to trade.

This has had two different effects:

It has allowed firms in a country to access a much larger market - leading to economies of scale advantages, price falls and consumer surplus rises.

It has also allowed consumers to have more choice. Now, consumers can buy from more firms in more countries. So there is more competition and prices have fallen.
Travel between countries is also now easier thanks to technological advancements.

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5
Q

How does growth in the world trade organisation cause globalisation?

A

The role of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) is to liberalise free trade, to provide a forum to resolve trade disputes, and to lower tariff barriers.
The GATT (General Agreement for Tariffs and Trade) was formed in 1948.
As a result of the Uruguay Round in 1995, the WTO was formed.
The Most Favoured Nation Principle (MFN) says that any tariff reduction offered to one country must be offered to all (against trade discrimination).
The WTO began with 23 members, and now has 163 members.

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6
Q

How does containerisation cause globalisation?

A

Containerisation and huge tanker ships has seen firms exploit volume economies of scale.
This has promoted the international trade of goods by making shipping cheaper.

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7
Q

How does growth of sovereign wealth funds cause globalisation?

A

A sovereign wealth fund (SWF) is a state-owned investment fund composed of financial assets such as stocks, bonds and other such property which invest huge sums globally.
SWFs are typically created when governments have budgetary surpluses.
SWFs are driven (though not exclusively) by commodity-rich countries such as Qatar, which ‘owns’ Canary Wharf, The Shard and Harrods!

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8
Q

How does deregulation cause globalisation?

A

Financial markets de-regulated in the 1980s/90s.
Former communist economies liberalised in late 1980s/90s.
Deregulation allows huge flows of hot money and foreign direct investment (FDI) internationally.
Growth of cross-border FDI (vertical, horizontal, conglomerate integrations/mergers).

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9
Q

How does the growth of BRICs cause globalisation?

A

The ‘BRICs’ economies are Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa.
These emerging economies have, for the most part, become increasingly integrated into the world economy.
China, in particular, has opened up to trade.

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10
Q

How does the growth of free trade blocs cause globalisation ?

A

Free trade blocs are typically groups of countries that do not have any trade restrictions (e.g. tariffs, quotas) between them.
The European Union is a Customs Union – this means it has a Common External Tariff (CET). There are no tariffs between countries, but a CET for countries outside the union.

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11
Q

What are the benefits of globalisation for LEDCs ?

A

Foreign direct investment (FDI)
More export markets
Access to finance
Technology transfers

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12
Q

How is Foreign direct investment (FDI) an example of a benefit of globalisation for a LEDC ?

A

Globalisation leads to higher FDI flows; which increases aggregate demand (AD) and this leads to higher real GDP (positive multiplier, creates employment, income, tax receipts).
The flow FDI and multinational corporation (MNC) operations can also lead to the transfer of skills and technology, shifting the LRAS curve and PPF for that country outwards.
The impact of obtaining cheap technology that has been built from other countries, rather than using scarce resources domestically, could be significant for LDCs.

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13
Q

What’s an example of how Foreign direct investment (FDI) is a benefit of globalisation for LEDC ?

A

In 2017, China became the largest FDI investor in Africa.
China has purchased mineral mines in Congo, Ethiopia has received investment in its dams and roads.
In 2017, Kenya launched its own $3.8 billion China-funded train line linking Nairobi to Mombasa. The Chinese built a dam in Zambia.
This kind of FDI is vital for LDCs to boost their infrastructure, improve geographic mobility (in the case of trains) and efficiency.

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14
Q

How is more export markets an example of a benefit of globalisation for LEDC ?

A

Globalisation has allowed for countries with a small domestic market to export their products abroad and so benefit from foreign demand.
Globalisation allows for export-led growth and an export-led positive multiplier.

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15
Q

How is access to finance an example of a benefit of globalisation for LEDC ?

A

According to the Harrod-Domar model, one of the main constraints on economic growth and development is a lack of investment.
A key reason for a lack of investment is a lack of access to finance.
Globalisation has allowed financial markets to become more global which now means LEDCs have access to a much wider choice of finance from investors from abroad.
E.g. LEDC firms and governments can issue international bonds to raise money.
Kenya’s $3.8bn train line was funded largely by Chinese funds.

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16
Q

How is technology transfers an example of a benefit of globalisation for LEDC ?

A

LDCs benefit particularly from technology transfers (and goods such as medical drugs) because these can be bought from abroad much more cheaply than they can be produced domestically.

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17
Q

What are the negative effects of globalisation for LEDCs ?

A

Dumping
Brain drain
Poor conditions for workers
Environmental concerns

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18
Q

How is dumping a negative effect of globalisation for LEDCs ?

A

Some LDCs may fall victim to dumping. This is where developed countries sell products at below cost onto LDC markets.
Over half of the anti-dumping cases brought to World Trade Organisation (WTO) are from LDCs complaining about more-developed countries (MDCs).

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19
Q

How is brain drain a negative effect of globalisation for LEDCs ?

A

Brain drain describes the phenomenon of skilled workers moving abroad in search of higher wages - it is a particular problem for LDCs.
Brain drain in the short term could be costly to LDCs who may be losing their key workers in healthcare or education, which could have disastrous consequences for future long term economic growth; although, in the long-term remittances could add to GDP.

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20
Q

How are poor conditions for workers a negative effect of globalisation for LEDCs ?

A

In a bid to attract the big MNCs, who will create jobs in their economy, governments may compete.
Having lower health and safety standards for workers, lower corporate tax rates, easier labour laws can bring jobs to a country, but increase hazards for workers in the workplace.
E.g. Primark paid over $10m to victims of a factory collapse in Bangladesh; over 100 people died.
However, MNCs may create jobs for workers who would earn less or be unemployed otherwise.

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21
Q

How are environmental concerns a negative effect of globalisation for LEDCs ?

A

MNCs often extract natural resources in less developed nations.
These countries may have less regulations or lower environmental standards.
This can result in environmental degradation and negative externalities in the country.

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22
Q

What are the benefits of globalisation for more-developed countries (MDCs) ?

A

Better supply of labour
Increased competition and choice
Export-led growth

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23
Q

How is a better supply of labour a benefit of globalisation for more-developed countries (MDCs) ?

A

Free flows of labour mean that labour shortages can be filled and wage inflation can be suppressed by creating a greater pool of labour for firms to choose from.
MDCs are usually the beneficiaries of ‘brain drain’ from LDCs.

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24
Q

How is increased competition and choice a benefit of globalisation for more-developed countries (MDCs) ?

A

More contestability (lowering barriers to entry and exit) such as deregulation allows for:
More access to foreign goods and services.
More competition.
Lowering price further.
Globalisation means increased choice for consumers (e.g. plasma TV from Japan and BMW from Germany).

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25
Q

How is export-led growth a benefit of globalisation for more-developed countries (MDCs) ?

A

Globalisation allows countries to develop further through export-led growth and an export-led positive multiplier.
For example, South Korea developed over many years via an export-led growth model.

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26
Q

What are the negatives of Globalisation for More Developed Countries(MDCs) ?

A

Vulnerability to shocks
Structural/regional unemployment
Exchange rate volatility

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27
Q

How are vulnerabilities to shocks a negatives of Globalisation for More Developed Countries(MDCs) ?

A

By becoming more interdependent, the risk of contagion (an external event somewhere else in the world coming back to affect you) rises.
Contagion makes a country more vulnerable to economic problems elsewhere.
E.g. economic problems spreading through the Eurozone countries after the events of the financial crisis in 2008.

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28
Q

How are structural/regional unemployment a negative of Globalisation for More Developed Countries(MDCs) ?

A

Domestic firms could be out-competed by competitors in LDCs with lower costs and close down. Because labour is a derived demand, this could lead to regional unemployment.
E.g. the ‘Rust Belt’ in the USA suffered from losing its main industry of car manufacturing.

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29
Q

How are is exchange rate volatility a negative of Globalisation for More Developed Countries(MDCs) ?

A

Volatile speculative flows of hot money are a feature of globalisation. Changes in interest rates can cause investors to take their money out of a currency in seconds.
Frequent changes in exchange rates are hard to manage as an importer and an exporter.
In 2011, the Swiss Franc changed in value vs the Euro by 30% in one day.
Between 2014 and 2016, the Brazilian Real fell 50% vs Sterling.
Exchange rate volatility can make it difficult for MNCs to plan.

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30
Q

Why do specialised economies need trade ?

A

Specialisation means countries often stop making products they need, to focus on producing the products they are better at.
As a result, trade must happen with other countries, and an efficient exchange system is needed.
Money is often used as this medium of exchange because everyone values money.

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31
Q

What is comparative advantage?

A

Free trade can allow countries to specialise in the goods they are most efficient at producing. Trade means that they can buy some goods from other countries, rather than producing them themselves.

E.g. Finland with paper and Germany with cars

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32
Q

What is opportunity cost of production?

A

If a country produces sugar, it has an opportunity cost of production.
The labour and capital used to make sugar cannot be used to make wheat at the same time.
E.g. if Brazil can produce a lot of sugar cane per acre but not much wheat, and the US can produce a lot of wheat but not sugar cane, then the US has a lower opportunity cost of producing wheat than Brazil.
This can be shown using production possibility frontiers (PPFs).

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33
Q

How do the US use comparative advantage and how do Brazil use comparative advantage?

A

The US has a comparative advantage in producing wheat.
Brazil has a comparative advantage in producing sugar cane.
If both countries could specialise in producing the goods they had a comparative advantage in, then:
The total world output of goods will rise.
Brazil and the US can trade wheat for sugar cane, and they both benefit.
Think of comparative advantage as what a country is least bad at - they all have to produce something!

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34
Q

What is absolute advantage ?

A

A country has an absolute advantage in producing a good over another country if it uses fewer resources to produce that good.
E.g. if Saudi Arabia can produce corn and oil more efficiently than the US, but can only produce 100 barrels of oil or 25 bushels of corn, the opportunity cost for Saudi of producing one barrel of oil is the loss of 0.25 bushels of corn.
If the US lost a bushel of corn by producing one barrel of oil, then the US has a comparative, but not absolute advantage in corn.

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35
Q

What are the costs of international trade ?

A

Negative externalities such as pollution from freight.
Risk of structural/regional unemployment because employers relocate.
While international trade may benefit skilled workers, it can be bad for low-skilled workers.
Low-skilled workers in developed countries compete against extremely low wage workers worldwide, which is unsustainable.

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36
Q

What is free trade ?

A

the free movement of goods and services cross-border between countries with no attempt from government to unfairly restrict imports from, or exports to, other countries

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37
Q

What are the benefits of international trade ?

A

Improved allocative efficiency
Higher global output
Greater competition and choice
Economies of scale

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38
Q

How is improved allocative efficiency a benefit of international trade ?

A

Free trade improves the efficiency of resource allocation because countries produce in sectors they are better suited to, rather than all goods and services.
The more efficient use of resources leads to higher productivity and increasing total domestic output of goods and services.

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39
Q

How is higher global output a benefit of international trade ?

A

Comparative advantage theory states that, if countries specialise in goods and services, have a lower opportunity cost of producing than other countries, and engage in free trade, they have the possibility of achieving an allocation of resources outside their initial PPF.

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40
Q

How is greater competition and choice a benefit of international trade ?

A

Free trade causes increased competition, which will lead to cheaper prices and higher consumer surplus.
The reduction in prices increases real incomes, increases purchasing power and allows more goods and services to be bought. So this increases standard of living.
Free trade brings down cost-push inflationary pressure.
Free trade increases choice. Free trade allows countries to consume bananas even if they don’t have the climate for it.

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41
Q

How is economies of scale a benefit of international trade ?

A

Firms and countries can specialise in the production of a small range of good and services, and trade them with other countries.
Because firms can focus on producing a few goods and services, there is scope for more economies of scale, lower LRAC, lower prices, higher consumer surplus and increased demand for goods.

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42
Q

What were the uk exports values at in 2016 ?

A

In 2016, UK exports were valued at around £300bn.
The main exports in the UK were financial services, cars, wholesale medicines, gas turbines, petroleum and gold.
The leading recipients of UK exports are the USA, Germany, the Netherlands and France.

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43
Q

What were the uk imports values at in 2016m?

A

In 2016, UK imports were valued at around £500bn.
The main imports were cars, vehicle parts, aircraft, gold, petroleum and wholesale medicines.
The leading suppliers of imports to the UK are Germany, China, the USA and the Netherlands.

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44
Q

How did the UKs exports change in the 2000s ?

A

Since 2000 the UK has decreased its share of exports to the EU from 55% to 45%, taking advantage of the rapid economic growth of countries such as Brazil, China, Russia and India.
As London grew as a financial hub from 2000-2008, there was an increase in financial services exported to the rest of the world. This slowed after the global financial crisis of 2008, but is still a major contributor to UK exports.

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45
Q

How have the UKs imports changed since the 2000s ?

A

Since 2000, over 50% of UK imports have come from the EU.
The rapid growth of China as an exporter has meant that lots of UK imports now come from China.
The decline of the UK manufacturing industry has meant that we import lots more manufactured goods, including computers.

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46
Q

Between 1986 and 1998 what was the Uks current account like ?
And then how did it change in 2002 ?

A

Between 1986 and 1998, the UK averaged a small trade deficit of around £5bn.
This then grew until 2002 where it reached £30bn and has stayed roughly stable ever since

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47
Q

What factors affect the pattern of trade and trade flows ?

A

Emerging economies
Changes in relative exchange rates
Comparative advantage
The growth of trade blocs

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48
Q

How do emerging economies affect the pattern of trade and trade flows ?

A

Emerging economies like China started producing lots of manufactured goods.
They had far lower labour costs than developed markets like the UK and USA.
This led to deindustrialisation in the developed world because jobs relocated from developed countries to developing countries.
Emerging economies like China export a lot of manufactured goods to countries all over the world.

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49
Q

How do changes in exchange rates affect the pattern of trade and trade flows ?

A

Changes in relative exchange rates can adjust trading patterns.

Nations like Greece, who joined the Euro, saw their relative exchange rate appreciate because they were part of a larger, more successful economy and currency. This would have discouraged the purchase of Greek exports internationally.

When Brazil had a political crisis in 2015, its nominal and real exchange rate declined by over 30%. Holidays to Brazil became more affordable and popular because the Brazilian Real became so cheap

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50
Q

How does comparative advantage affect the pattern of trade and trade flows ?

A

David Ricardo’s theory of comparative advantage explains why nations specialise in producing different products.
Many developing nations have comparative advantage (and specialise in) producing primary products (commodities) like Brazil.
They export these primary products to nations that have specialised in manufacturing products (the secondary sector) like China.
These exports are bought internationally. Nations like the USA have specialised in tertiary services, however, these are consumed more in the USA. This is one reason for the USA and UK’s current account deficits.

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51
Q

How trading blocs affect the pattern of trade and trade flows ?

A

Trading blocs and bilateral trading agreements like the EU (or European Economic Area) and NAFTA reduce tariffs and barriers to trade within trade blocs.
The EU encourages tariff-free trade between members but imposes a common external tariff on goods from outside the EU. This encourages the consumption of EU goods and discourages trade with nations outside of these agreements because they are at a relative pricing disadvantage.

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52
Q

Who theorised comparative advantage?

A

David ricardo

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53
Q

What country is a leading recipient of UK exports?

A

Netherlands

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54
Q

What is a country that is a major importer to the UK?

A

Germany

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55
Q

What happened to the exchange rate of nations like Greece when they joined the Euro?

A

Appreciated

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56
Q

What do terms of trade describe ?

A

the price of a nation’s exports relative to the price of a nation’s imports

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57
Q

What is the equation for a nations terms of trade ?

A

A nation’s Terms of Trade = (Average export price index ÷ Average import price) X 100

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58
Q

How do you know if a nations terms of trade have improved ?

A

A nation’s terms of trade have improved if they can buy more imports for a given amount of exports.

Brazil exports oil. When the oil price is very high, Brazil can buy more consumer goods and machinery (capital goods) with a given amount of oil exported because the value of their export index rises.

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59
Q

How do you know of a nations terms of trade has worsened ?

A

If an increase in import prices is larger than an increase in export prices, then a nation’s terms of trade have worsened.

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60
Q

How factors affect terms of trade ?

A

Anything affecting exports and imports will affect terms of trade.

A technological advance in the nation will allow it to export either higher quality goods (worth more money) or export higher volumes of goods.

A tariff imposed by another nation will automatically worsen a nation’s terms of trade.

A commodity price boom could improve a commodity exporter’s terms of trade and worsen a commodity importer’s terms of trade.

High inflation without a change in exchange rate will likely improve a nation’s terms of trade. But often, a country’s exchange rate worsens if there is high inflation.
An increase in the value of a nation’s currency will lower the price of imports in the country, improving terms of trade.

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61
Q

What is the impact of a worsening terms of trade ?

A

Worsening terms of trade will mean that a nation can afford to import a lower value of goods from abroad.
If the nation continues to import as they did before, their current account deficit will get worse.
A nation’s domestic industry may become more price competitive relative to imported goods and this may increase tax revenues for the government.
Worsening terms of trade may cause cost-push inflation as either more expensive domestic goods have to be purchased or more expensive imports still have to be bought.

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62
Q

What happens to a nation’s terms of trade if an increase in import prices is larger than an increase in export prices?

A

Worsens

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63
Q

What are regional trade blocs ?

A

Regional trade blocs are intergovernmental groups that reduce the barriers to trade in their region

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64
Q

What is COMESA (as a regional trade bloc) ?

A

COMESA is a grouping of 19 countries in east and southern Africa.
Its members include Kenya, Libya, Egypt, Madagascar, Mauritius and Zambia.

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65
Q

What is NAFTA (as a regional trade bloc) ?

A

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) is a trade bloc made up of the USA, Canada and Mexico.
NAFTA supports free trade between its three members. Removing internal quotas and tariffs is the aim of the organisation.
NAFTA does not have common external tariffs on nations outside the ‘customs union’ or ‘trade bloc’.

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66
Q

What is Mercosur (as a regional trade bloc) ?

A

Mercosur is an economic grouping of Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay.
It was established by the Treaty of Asuncion in 1991.
Mercosur does have an external tariff on goods from outside the trade bloc.

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67
Q

What is the European Union (as a regional trade bloc) ?

A

The European Union is a trade bloc made up of 28 European nations (as of 2018).
The European Union is the most tightly integrated trade bloc, because it combines common external tariffs, with the free movement of labour and for many nations, a common currency in the Euro.

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68
Q

What is ASEAN (as a regional trade bloc) ?

A

The Association of Southeast Asian Nations is a trade bloc of 10 Asian countries, including Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, the Philippines, Thailand, Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam.

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69
Q

What are some regional trade blocs ?

A

European Union (EU)
The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)
COMESA (19 countries in east and southern Africa)
Mercosur (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay)

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70
Q

What is a customs union ?

A

A customs union is a group of countries who agree to remove barriers to trade between the union and enforce common trade barriers to those outside of the union.

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71
Q

What’s the difference between a customs union and a free trade area ?

A

A customs union is a step up on a free trade area, the key difference being that in a free trade area there are no common external tariffs.

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72
Q

What do customs unions do ?

A

There are usually no tariffs or quotas between members of a custom union.
There is usually a common tariff on goods coming from countries outside of the customs union.

Quality regulations are usually standardised within a customs union and people outside the union have to meet these regulations

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73
Q

What is the most famous modern customs union ?

A

a modern customs union
Southern African Customs Union (which includes Namibia, Botswana and South Africa).

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74
Q

What is the European single market ?

A

A customs union where all internal borders and between country restrictions have been removed.

75
Q

What are features of the European Single Market ?

A

The European Single Market has all the features of a customs union in addition to a number of other features:

Free movement in goods and services. In almost every case, goods sold in one country are available to all other countries.

Free movement of people. People are able to live and work in different countries in the single market.

Free movement of money between member countries.

Agreed standards and regulations for all goods and services produced in the single market.

Members agree not to set rules or make laws that favour their own domestic firms, products or workers over other countries in the market.

76
Q

What are the consequences of the European Single Market ?

A

European Union membership implies membership of the European Single Market and so all the features the market entails. In particular the freedom of movement of goods, services, people and money.
Members also agree to the rules of the customs union including the common external tariffs.
Members must accept laws and rulings from EU institutions including the European Court and Parliament

77
Q

What are the issues of Brexit ?

A

Firstly, the free movement of people – which many believed had led to increased immigration into the UK, higher unemployment and higher costs for the government in supporting immigrants through benefits and government run services including schools.

Secondly, autonomy over laws – a number of Brits argued in favour of Brexit as it would mean that the UK would no longer have to accept the laws and rulings of the EU parliament and court.

But lots of NHS workers come from the EU and lots of the goods (like BMW cars) that we purchase are bought tariff-free from EU countries

78
Q

What do the world trade organisation (WTO) meet to try to do ?

A

To try and negotiate a reduction in trade barriers
Lower trade barriers can help to encourage specialisation and increase global output

79
Q

What did the world trade organisation do in 1947 ?

A

Many countries came together to form the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) in 1947.

Since 1947, the negotiations have happened in rounds.
Countries will negotiate one agreement, then come back some time later and negotiate another agreement.

80
Q

What do the WTO do now ?

A

The role of the WTO is still to encourage free trade, to provide a forum to resolve trade disputes, to lower tariff barriers.
The Most Favoured Nation Principle (MFN) says that any tariff reduction offered to one country must be offered to all (against trade discrimination).
The WTO Began with 23 members, and now has 163 members.
But the WTO is under threat from, in particular, the US’ more protectionist stance.

81
Q

Why might globalisation be harmful to developing economies?

A

Dumping
Some LDCs may fall victim to dumping. This is where more developed countries sell products below cost onto LDC markets. Over half of the anti-dumping cases brought to World Trade Organisation (WTO) are from LDCs complaining about more-developed countries (MDCs).

Brain drain
Brain drain describes the phenomenon of skilled workers moving abroad to earn higher wages. It is a particular problem for LDCs. Higher wage countries can employ talent from LDC labour markets. This could harm the prospects for economic growth in the LDC.

Working conditions
Multinational corporations have been criticised for the reported mistreatment of workers in LDCs. Different LDCs may compete for MNC’s investment and for having lower health and safety standards for workers, or lower corporate tax rates. For example, Primark paid over $10m to victims of a factory collapse in Bangladesh, which killed over 100 people.

82
Q

What does Stephen Kinzer believe US factories did in 1900 ?

A

The rise of the USA
Stephen Kinzer claims that in 1900, US factories were producing more goods than the whole of the USA could consume. Europe had to protect its economy using high tariffs to respond to this. So in 1900, the USA was overproducing and ‘dumping’ goods on other markets at a very low cost. This is very similar to what the USA has accused China of since 2010.

83
Q

What is a merged currency ?

A

a common currency shared with one or more nations

84
Q

What is the feature of a merged currency ?

A

They have a fixed exchange rate

85
Q

What are the benefits of a merged currency ?

A

A merged currency provides exchange rate certainty.
There is no foreign exchange risk between the countries in the merged currency and this certainty can help to encourage trade

86
Q

What are the disadvantages of a merged currency?

A

Can’t use monetary policies
A disadvantage of a merged currency is that each nation loses the ability to use monetary policy to change their economic outlook.
E.g France cannot lower interest rates to increase aggregate demand (AD) and stimulate demand in expansionary monetary policy because the European Central Bank controls the Euro interest rate

Each country needs different interest rates
European Central Bank (ECB) determines monetary policy for the euro and has representatives from all nations.
But the ECB’s decision on rates will not always line up with what is best for the economy of an individual country within it.
Greece may have high inflation and need higher interest rates and France may have low inflation and need lower interest rates, but the ECB cannot do both.

Political risk
Fixing a currency at a ‘low’ rate to make sure that exports are competitive could cause conflict with trade partners who find themselves to be uncompetitive.
The US is currently trying to address it’s perceived trade imbalance with China, caused in part by the Yuan being kept weak by China buying US dollars.
Although the US and China aren’t in a merged currency, this could happen between countries in Europe.

87
Q

What’s a currency union ?

A

A currency union involves two or more countries sharing the same currency. A prominent example of this is the Eurozone (within the EU)

88
Q

What are the advantages of a currency union ?

A

Increased investment in other nations
Lower transaction costs
Encourages fiscal responsibility
Trade stability

89
Q

How is increased investment in other nations an advantage of a currency union ?

A

Nations can be more certain about investing in other countries in the currency union because their investments will not be exposed to FX risk.

90
Q

How are lower transaction costs an advantage of a currency union ?

A

Transaction costs can often reduce welfare.
In a currency union, transaction costs for imports and exports are likely to be lower as there is no need to change currency.
Although businesses like TransferWise and Revolut have reduced international transaction costs in some markets.

91
Q

How is an encouragement of fiscal responsibility an advantage of a currency union ?

A

To join the Eurozone currency union, governments must meet criteria with their fiscal policy.
Countries like Greece did not maintain discipline and had very large fiscal deficits after adopting the Euro.

92
Q

How is trade stability an advantage of a currency union ?

A

There will be an improvement in the stability of trade between member countries of the union.
This is because prices won’t be affected by changes (or fluctuations) in the exchange rate.

93
Q

What are the disadvantages of a currency union ?

A

Different economic make-up
Lose monetary policy as a tool
Entry costs

94
Q

How are different economic make-ups between countries a disadvantages of a currency union ?

A

If the countries’ economies are too different, then the appropriate value of their currency may be different from that of the union as a whole. This could slow down that country’s growth and harm other objectives.
If the Euro is valued too highly, nations like Greece and Portugal may find that their exports are uncompetitive.

95
Q

How lose monetary policies as a tool a disadvantages of a currency union ?

A

The currency union takes control of the monetary policy for the union as a whole. So individual countries lose autonomy.
The central bank will choose policies which should benefit the union as a whole but that could reduce a country’s ability to respond to shocks in their own economy.
If unemployment is 30% in Greece, but 2% in France and Germany, the European Central Bank is unlikely to cut interest rates (use expansionary monetary policy) to reduce unemployment in Greece because it may lead to excess inflation in France and Germany.

96
Q

How are entry costs a disadvantages of a currency union ?

A

There can be initial costs in joining a currency union to prepare firms and households for the change.
This may be through tighter monetary or fiscal policy in the build-up to joining.

97
Q

Are a merged currency and a currency union part of the same idea ?

A

Yes

98
Q

What is protectionism ?

A

Protectionism involves protecting a country’s domestic industries, companies and jobs from foreign competition.
Protectionism could take the form of tariffs, quotas or other barriers to trade

99
Q

What are methods of protectionism ?

A

Tariffs
Import quotas
Non-tariff barriers
Subsidies to domestic producers

100
Q

What are tariffs (as a form of protectionism)?

A

Tariffs are a tax imposed on a product when it is imported into a country, which increases the price of imports to reduce the competitiveness of the goods (promoting domestic goods and services in the process).
Tariffs raise tax revenue for the importing country. These funds could even be used to subsidise domestic firms.
Tariffs will probably increase the price of goods faced by domestic consumers.

101
Q

What are import quotas (as a form of protectionism)?

A

Quotas restrict the actual quantity of good imported.
They can be a ‘cap’ on the number of goods which can be imported, reducing foreign supply.
Quotas allow governments to have exact control over the quantity of goods imported but don’t raise any tax revenue.
Quotas will probably increase the price of goods faced by domestic consumers.

102
Q

What are non-tariffs barriers (as a form of protectionism)?

A

Non-tariff barriers to trade can include import bans, rules of origin (e.g. having to prove a product did not come from a conflict zone), quality conditions imposed by the importing country on the exporting countries etc.

Exchange rate manipulation: A government / central bank may intervene in the foreign exchange market to lower the value of its currency by selling its currency in the foreign exchange market. This will give its exports a price advantage abroad.

103
Q

What are subsidies to domestic producers (as a form of protectionism) ?

A

Governments can give subsidies to domestic producers to help them to compete against other providers internationally.
The EU limits the subsidies that nations are allowed to implement under ‘EU State Aid’ rules.
A subsidy would reduce a firms’ costs and make them more price competitive internationally.

104
Q

What are the arguments for protectionism ?

A

Anti-dumping laws
Protect domestic jobs
Environmental concerns
Protect infant industries
Raises tax revenue
Reduces trade deficit
Reduced dependence on imports

105
Q

Why are anti-dumping laws an argument for protectionism ?

A

Anti-dumping laws block imports that are sold below the cost of production by imposing tariffs that increase the price of these imports to reflect their cost of production.
Dumping can be used to drive firms out the market.

106
Q

Why is protecting domestic jobs an argument for protectionism ?

A

Protectionism can protect jobs, particularly those in jobs with low wages.
Protectionism may help domestic companies to make higher profits, which could be passed on to workers with positive multiplier effects.

107
Q

Why are environmental concerns an argument for protectionism ?

A

The consequences of globalisation for the environment are not good.
Economic activity more generally can pose environmental dangers.
Large multinational corporations often shift their production to lower income countries to take advantage of lower environmental protection standards.

108
Q

Why is the protection of infant industries an argument for protectionism?

A

Infant industries are new industries that are developing.
Blocking imports for a limited time has historically helped countries’ own industries to develop. It has helped them in the long-run by allowing them to first achieve economies of scale and become competitive.

109
Q

Why the tax revenue raised an argument for protectionism ?

A

Protectionism raises government revenue from tariffs. This is especially relevant for LDCs who may have a weak tax base otherwise.

110
Q

Why the reduction of a trade deficit an argument for protectionism ?

A

Because protectionism will involve lowering imports (M), it will lower a trade deficit, which boosts aggregate demand (AD).
This is assuming there is no retaliation.

111
Q

Why is reduced dependency on imports an argument for protectionism ?

A

Protectionism could help to rebalance an economy from imports to domestic consumption – which will increase domestic employment.

112
Q

What are the arguments against protectionism ?

A

X-inefficiency
Risk of retaliation
Higher input costs
Higher prices and less choice

113
Q

Why is x-inefficiency an argument against protectionism ?

A

Protectionism could lead to long term dependency on protection. This is because protectionism breeds inefficiencies because firms are protected from foreign competition.

E.g. 60% of EU budget is spent on subsidising agriculture through the Common Agricultural Policy, although agriculture is worth less than 15% of EU GDP.

114
Q

Why is risk of retaliation an argument against protectionism ?

A

Countries often retaliate against tariffs and this can reduce a country’s exports.
Exports are a component of aggregate demand (AD), so AD could fall.

115
Q

Why are higher input costs an argument against protectionism ?

A

If the protected product is an input, it will raise the costs of production of the industry that uses the input. This makes domestic firms less competitive if they are hoping to export.
This could also give rise to cost-push inflation.

116
Q

Why are higher prices and less choice an argument against protectionism ?

A

Domestic consumers may have to pay more for goods in the protected industry. They have less to spend in other industries, which could lead to job losses.
So these low-wage workers pay higher prices for basic necessities and, as such, their money can buy fewer goods.
In the US, textile and apparel protectionism adds to the costs of imports. So consumers end up paying billions of dollars more for clothing each year.
Consumers also have less choice over what to consume.

117
Q

What are the ‘banana wars’ as an example of protectionism ?

A

A well-known example of protectionism was the ‘banana wars’ of the early 2000s.
The EU had a trade deal with the Caribbean which set a quota of how many bananas each country could sell to Europe. The idea was that this would help these countries to develop without needing aid.
But this was an act of protectionism because it stopped the free trade of bananas and made bananas from outside of the Caribbean look more expensive.
The US complained to the World Trade Organisation that this was limiting global trade and stopping their bananas from selling in Europe.

118
Q

How did some infant industries use protectionism ?

A

Infant industries are industries that are in the early stages of development in the domestic country.
Adding tariffs to foreign goods can help infant industries create domestic jobs and let an industry develop.
The USA did this with lots of iron and steel industries in the late 1800s.

119
Q

How did china retaliate to Donald Trump tariffs ?

A

Countries often retaliate against tariffs and this can reduce a country’s own exports. In 2018, China proposed a 25% tariff on US liquefied natural gas in response to Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs

120
Q

What is the balance of payments ?

A

The balance of payments shows a record of all transactions that a country does with the rest of the world.

121
Q

What three accounts in the balance of payments made up of ?

A

current account
capital account
financial account

122
Q

What is the current account comprised of ?

A

Trade in goods and services (X-M).
Net primary income - net factor income from abroad (e.g. remittances, profits, interest on dividends).
Net secondary income - net unilateral transfers (e.g. foreign aid).

123
Q

What is the capital account comprised of ?

A

Sale/transfer of patents, copyrights, franchises, leases and other transferable contracts, and goodwill.
Transfers of ownership of fixed assets.

124
Q

What is the financial account comprised of ?

A

Net foreign ownership of domestic assets.
Hot money flows.

125
Q

How does the balance of payments work ?

A

The balance of payments has to add up to 0.
But in reality, there are errors and omissions in calculating what comes in and what goes out of an economy.
So we add a “balancing item” or “net errors and omissions” to make it balance.

126
Q

What is the calculation for the current account?

A

Value of exports - value of imports

127
Q

The current account in the balance of payments is made up of several different categories of money flows, what are they ?

A

Services trade balance
Merchandise trade balance
Income receipts and payments
Unilateral transfers

128
Q

The current account in the balance of payments is made up of several different categories of money flows, what is the services trade balance ?

A

This is made up of the exports and imports of services.
Barclays selling financial services (e.g investment bank consultancy fees) to a company based in Saudi Arabia would count as the export of services.

129
Q

The current account in the balance of payments is made up of several different categories of money flows, what is the merchandise trade balance ?

A

The merchandise trade balance is made up of the exports and imports of goods.
The sale of Aston Martins made in the UK would count as an export of goods in this section of the balance of payments.

130
Q

The current account in the balance of payments is made up of several different categories of money flows, what are income receipts and payments ?

A

Income receipts and payments includes money received from foreign investments.
Investment income can come from investments abroad.
When someone invests in the US and makes a return, this is then transferred to the person in the UK who owns the asset.

131
Q

The current account in the balance of payments is made up of several different categories of money flows, what are unilateral transfers ?

A

Unilateral transfers are payments by governments or individuals in which money is sent abroad without any direct good or service being received.
The UK sending humanitarian aid to African countries, India or North Korea would count as a unilateral transfer.

132
Q

What are the reasons for a current account deficit?

A

Low productivity, meaning the final price of the goods are likely to be higher.

Inflation being higher domestically than abroad, reducing the international competitiveness of domestic goods.

A strong exchange rate, reducing the price of imports and increasing the price of exports.

Non-price factors, such as poor quality of goods and services.

Supply-side constraints, which could cause a lot of goods being imported from abroad.

133
Q

Is a current account deficit a concern ?

A

If a deficit is because of capital goods imports, then it is likely to be good for future productivity and future growth.
If a deficit is because of the purchase of current goods, it will be good for the short-term standard of living.
If it because of a lot of FDI in the past, profits are being repatriated today. This means the investments were profitable.
If the deficit is a high % of GDP and is getting worse, this may be worrying.
If nobody wants to buy a country’s exports, then this may be concerning.

134
Q

What are the effects of a current account deficit?

A

A current account deficit needs to be financed by a financial account surplus - so it will become a problem if foreign investors stop wanting to purchase assets in that country.
If a country has a free floating currency, the currency will depreciate. This may partially offset the uncompetitiveness of exports.
This will also cause the price of imports to rise though, leading to higher prices for consumers and potentially cost-push inflation.

135
Q

What is is a potential effect of a current account deficit to a country’s exchange rate ?

A

Depreciation

136
Q

What are two types of policies to solve a current account deficit ?

A

expenditure-switching
expenditure-reducing

137
Q

How do expenditure-switching policies attempt to solve a current account deficit ?

A

Expenditure switching policies aim to influence the relative prices of exports and imports - to switch expenditure away from imports and towards domestic consumption / exports.
Expenditure-switching policies could include tariffs, supply side policies and exchange rate manipulation.
Supply side policies could be used boost international competitiveness of exports and so improve the current account deficit - either by improving the quality or the price of exports.

138
Q

How do expenditure-reducing policies attempt to solve a current account deficit ?

A

Expenditure reducing policies aim to control aggregate demand (AD) and limit spending on imports.
Expenditure reducing policies would be contractionary monetary and fiscal policies, which would serve to reduce AD, and so real GDP and incomes.
This means the marginal propensity to import and current account deficit will fall.

The consequences for the wider economy are that the economy’s real GDP will fall. Fiscal policy, like increasing income taxes, would reduce disposable income and cause unemployment.

139
Q

To balance a current account deficit, we need a financial account surplus. How is this primarily achieved ?

A

By attracting FDI

140
Q

What are the benefits of FDI ?

A

Shifting the LRAS of an economy outwards.
Creates employment.
A rise in the stock of capital.
Contributes to aggregate demand (AD) and so real GDP (multiplier effects).
Regional economic impact, especially in areas of lower employment.
Positive effects on productivity.
Funds to contribute to growth (especially if domestic credit is lacking).
Competition for domestic businesses.
Inward investment by foreign manufacturing firms can cause a rise in exports.

141
Q

What are the negatives of FDI ?

A

Research and development (high-value added) activities remaining in the “home” country.
Long-term repatriation of profits.
Strategic assets owned by foreign companies.
The economy becoming increasingly dependent on external firms.
Race to the bottom by governments to attract FDI (e.g. tax and regulations compromised).

142
Q

What is meant by an exchange rate ?

A

The exchange rate refers to how much of a foreign currency one unit of domestic currency will buy you.
£1=$1.40 means that £1 of sterling will buy $1.40 of US dollars

143
Q

What is a floating exchange rate ?

A

With floating exchange rates, the government or central bank let the foreign exchange markets set exchange rates.
The value of a floating exchange rate is affected by the supply and demand of the currency in public markets.

144
Q

What is the effect of low interest rates on floating exchange rates ?

A

Expansionary monetary policy usually lowers interest rates to increase demand in the economy. This affects foreign exchange markets because:
The lower interest rates will reduce demand for the currency because returns in that country are lower, leading to a depreciation in the domestic currency.

A central bank can also influence FX markets directly. It can increase the supply of its own currency (£) and buy other foreign currencies, again depreciating the domestic currency.

145
Q

What did supporters of floating exchange rates argue ?

A

that if government policies were more predictable and stable, then inflation rates and interest rates would be more predictable and stable.

But floating exchange rates have been more volatile than economists expected them to be in the 1970s.

146
Q

What is meant by SPICED (as a way to remember the impact of an exchange rate movement) ?

A

Strong.
Pound.
Imports.
Cheaper.
Exports.
Dearer.

147
Q

The exchange rate is £1 = $1.40.
How many pounds are needed to buy something for $70?

A

70/1.40 = 50
£50

148
Q

What are the advantages of a floating exchange rate system ?

A

Less need to hold reserves
Freedom to use monetary policy for other aims
Stabilise balance of trade

149
Q

How is having less of a need to hold reserves of a currency an advantage of a floating exchange rate ?

A

With floating rates, there is no obvious need for a central bank to hold foreign exchange reserves. This is because a key reason to hold them is to intervene in the currency market.
With a fixed exchange rate, the Central Bank needs to hold reserves and is vulnerable to speculation.

150
Q

How is having freedom of monetary policy an advantage of a floating exchange rate ?

A

It is not possible for a country to have fixed exchange rates, perfect capital mobility and independent monetary policy. This is called the monetary trilemma.
Sacrificing control over exchange rates allows capital (funds) to flow freely into a country, which encourages investment, and also for the central bank to have control over the interest rate, allowing them to better manage inflation.

151
Q

How is being able to stabilise the balance of trade an advantage of a floating exchange rate ?

A

A free floating currency allows for an automatic adjustment mechanism.
E.g. if there is a current account deficit, this will lead to outflow of currency, causing a depreciation of the currency.
This depreciation will lead to a greater competitiveness of exports. This will help to improve the current account and partially correct the problem.
When demand for exports rise, the value of the currency will rise making exports more expensive and when demand for exports falls, the value of the currency will fall making exports cheaper.

152
Q

What are the disadvantages of a floating exchange rate ?

A

Potential speculation
Cost-push inflation from depreciation
Increased uncertainty

153
Q

How is potential speculation a disadvantage of a floating exchange rate ?

A

A freely traded currency can still be vulnerable to speculation as investors try to make investment returns by trading FX.
Higher levels of speculation could in turn increase volatility.

154
Q

How is cost push inflation from depreciation a disadvantage of a floating exchange rate ?

A

If a currency depreciates, the price of imports rises. This could lead to imported raw material costs rising, leading to cost-push inflation.
Less macroeconomic discipline is needed by a government - if the domestic inflation is higher than foreign inflation rates, the currency will depreciate. This will reduce the difference the impact the inflation is having.

155
Q

How is increased uncertainty a disadvantage of a floating exchange rate ?

A

Increased uncertainty over the exchange rate could mean that long term international investment is discouraged because potential investors will be of unsure of future prices.
This hampers business confidence, which in turn deters investment and could give rise to a negative multiplier.

156
Q

How does cost push inflation occur from depreciation?

A

Currency depreciates
Import price of goods and services increases
Firms who import materials and components face increased costs
Costs of production increase
SRAS is decreased (shifts left)
Price level rises

157
Q

What is a fixed exchange rate system ?

A

In a fixed exchange rate system, the government or central bank chooses a value that it wants the currency to be stable at

158
Q

What are the ways fixed exchange rate systems work ?

A

In a fixed exchange rate system, the government or central bank chooses a value that it wants the currency to be stable at. There are two ways to do this:
A soft peg
A hard peg

159
Q

What is a soft peg ?

A

A soft peg is where the government usually allows the exchange rate to be set by the market, but in in some cases, the central bank will intervene with the market.
The central bank could increase the supply of the domestic currency (£) or buy other currencies.
The Chinese yuan is softly pegged to the US dollar.
The Swiss franc was softly pegged to the Euro until 2015, when it abandoned the peg.

160
Q

What is a hard peg ?

A

With a hard peg policy, the central bank sets a fixed and unchanging value for the exchange rate.
The central bank will have to buy and sell currency using its currency reserves to keep the fixed exchange rate at the value of the hard peg.
Hong Kong uses a currency board to keep a hard peg to the US dollar. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority fixes its exchange rate to the USD at HKD7.8.

161
Q

What are the advantages of fixed exchange rates ?

A

Brings stability for firms and households
Encourage government responsibility

162
Q

How does a fixed exchange rate bring stability to firms and households?

A

Stability in the exchange rate can encourage firms to invest and households to spend because of the confidence/certainty it builds.
Transactions that involve world trade will rise in particular.

163
Q

How does a fixed exchange rate encourage government responsibility?

A

There is no correction of current account deficits, and so a fixed rate forces a government to act more responsibly.
Governments will be forced to use supply-side and fiscal policy to control the factors that lead to pressure on the exchange rate (e.g high inflation). This may be positive or negative if controlling inflation leads to high unemployment.

164
Q

What would the expected effect be on world trade if all countries adopted a fixed exchange rate?

A

An increase in world trade

165
Q

What are the disadvantages of a fixed exchange rate ?

A

Lose power over monetary policy
Speculative pressure
Unstable current account

166
Q

How do fixed exchange rates mean that power of monetary policies is lost ?

A

If a central bank uses monetary policy (interest rates) to alter the exchange rate, then it cannot use monetary policy to address issues of inflation or recession at the same time.

For example, a government may want to depreciate the currency to make exports more competitive by reducing the interest rate, but this would have the side-effect of potentially increasing inflation through increased consumer spending (C) and investment (I), as well as higher import prices.

167
Q

How does a fixed exchange rate cause speculative pressure ?

A

Holding large reserves of a currency and intervening in the foreign exchange market has a severe opportunity cost.
A hard peg policy will not allow fluctuations. But speculators may try to force a country to leave its peg if they sense an incorrect value.
This happened on ‘Black Wednesday’ in 1992 when the UK was forced to abandon its peg to the currency of Germany. This cost the UK government billions of pounds in the process of artificially boosting the Pound by spending foreign reserves.

168
Q

How does a fixed exchange rate cause an unstable current account ?

A

Unlike with floating exchange rates, the current account balance isn’t corrected by the natural mechanism of changing the relative price of imports and exports.
If there are lots of imports or exports, the ‘price’ of the currency does not change. This means fixed exchange rates fail to adjust for changes in competitiveness over time.

169
Q

Hard pegs can be costly for central banks. Why is this?

A

Large opportunity costs of holding foreign currency reserves

170
Q

What happened to the uk in September 1992 ?

A

To try to keep the pound above £1=2.7 marks (and appreciate the currency), the Bank of England raised interest rates.

Speculators short sterling
People like George Soros thought that high interest rates would damage economic growth and thought that the Bank of England could not buy enough sterling to keep to the exchange rate peg

The Bank of England was losing billions trying to support the exchange rate.
Instead, they stopped trying to keep the peg.

Currency pegs can be attacked. In September 1992 (on Black Wednesday), the UK had to leave the European Exchange Rate Mechanism. Britain tried to keep its exchange rate above £1=2.7 German marks

171
Q

What is the difference between a depreciation of a current and a devaluation of a currency ?

A

A depreciation is when a currency’s value falls in a floating exchange rate regime.
A devaluation is when a currency’s value falls in a fixed exchange rate regime.

172
Q

What is a competitive devaluation ?

A

A competitive devaluation would see a government or central bank reduce the value of their currency by adjusting the currency peg.
A common hope is that by reducing the value of the currency, that nation’s exports will become more price competitive and attractive to consumers in other nations.
Because exports are a component of GDP, a rise in exports could increase economic (or GDP) growth.
The nations leaving the Gold Standard in the 1930s after the Great Depression benefited from ‘beggar thy neighbour’ devaluations, as they reduced the value of their currency relative to those on the Gold Standard, benefiting from a rise in exports.

173
Q

What is competitive depreciation ?

A

A competitive depreciation would be a similar move to a competitive devaluation, but this happens in the free FX market.
It could be argued that Britain’s exit from the EU, which saw sterling fall by 15% versus other currencies between June 2016-18 was a competitive depreciation. However, this was more accidental.

174
Q

What is the impact of a competitive depreciation or devaluation on the current account ?

A

After a competitive depreciation or devaluation, the value of a currency falls.
Imports become more expensive and exports become more price competitive overseas. However, in the instant of the change, nations cannot change their consumption patterns (because of things like 30-day or 90-day contracts).
In the short term the current account deficit will reduce as exports become cheaper and imports become more expensive.

175
Q

What does the Marshall-Lerner condition state ?

A

The Marshall-Lerner condition states that a nation’s balance of payments current account balance will only improve after a depreciation or devaluation if PEDexports + PEDimports >1. This improvement will come in the long run, but the J curve shows that in the short term, the situation will still get worse.

Even if PEDexports + PEDimports >1, the current account will still get worse in the short run.
Demand tomorrow is more inelastic than demand in 1 year because people cannot switch to substitute goods because of things like contracts.
The J-curve shows things getting worse before they get better.

176
Q

What does the J-curve represent?

A

Even if PEDexports + PEDimports >1, the current account will still get worse in the short run.
Demand tomorrow is more inelastic than demand in 1 year because people cannot switch to substitute goods because of things like contracts.
The J-curve shows things getting worse before they get better.

177
Q

What is international competitiveness a way of measuring ?

A

productivity and the relative cost of goods and services produced in a nation

178
Q

What are the measures of competitiveness?

A

Relative unit labour cost is the average cost of labour per unit of output in one country divided by the average cost of labour per unit of output in another country.

Relative export prices is the prices of exports from one nation relative to the prices of exports of another nation. This is usually calculated in an index.

179
Q

What are the factors effecting competitiveness ?

A

Wage costs affect competitiveness. The higher wages are, the less competitive a nation is ceteris paribus.

High inflation will reduce competitiveness because prices are rising.

Higher labour productivity increases competitiveness because workers are producing more using the same inputs or in the same amount of time.

Real exchange rates (nominal exchange rate X (price level in UK/price level abroad) help to determine relative export prices. The real exchange rate takes price/inflation into account.

Any other costs incurred by firms, such as legal or admin costs can decrease competitiveness.

R&D and Technology can increase productivity and competitiveness, so government policies encouraging or subsidising this may be good.

180
Q

What is the importance of being internationally competitive ?

A

Being internationally competitive can lead to a current account surplus in the balance of payments.
A current account surplus shows that (X-M), which is part of GDP is positive. A growing current account surplus can drive economic growth.
Increasing economic growth and exports can create employment in a nation.
Being internationally competitive can allow a firm to export internationally and benefit from economies of scale by increasing output to a higher level.

181
Q

What is the issue with being internationally uncompetitive?

A

If a nation becomes more uncompetitive, imports become more expensive domestically. If a nation relies on imports then it can lead to increased cost-push inflation.
If the (X-M) component of GDP decreases then GDP shrinks. Slower or declining GDP growth can lead to unemployment in a nation.
Being uncompetitive may mean that businesses can only sell to their domestic market. This may stop them from benefiting from economies of scale.
Businesses that are internationally competitive and have economies of scale can be big national employers e.g. Nokia in Finland.

182
Q

What ways to improve international competitiveness?

A

Policies that lower firms’ wage costs, other costs or increase productivity can all boost competitiveness.
Removing a minimum wage may lower labour costs, but it may cause a rise in inequality and poverty.
Reducing legal and admin costs to businesses (and removing red tape) could make businesses more competitive, but it could reduce workers’ health and safety. etc.

A devaluation could make a nation’s exports more attractive as the real (and nominal) exchange rate would fall.

Subsidies for R&D could lead to technological advances that raise labour productivity.

Subsidising production could lower businesses’ costs but many subsidies are banned by organisations like the EU.

Creating a flexible labour market, with easy hiring and firing could reduce employment costs for businesses.

183
Q

How do you work out a countries real exchange rate ?

A

Real exchange rates = (nominal exchange rate X (price level in UK/price level abroad)
They help to determine relative export prices.
The real exchange rate takes price/inflation into account.

184
Q

Why might the US pursue protectionist measures?

A

Explain protectionism
Protectionism involves protecting a country’s domestic industries, companies and jobs from foreign competition. Protectionism could take the form of tariffs, which are taxes on imports, quotas or other barriers to trade. The US since 2016 has pulled out from many multilateral trade deals and imposed new tariffs.

Arguments for protectionism
Protectionism can protect domestic jobs from international competition. The ‘rust-belt’ states of the US suffered from structural unemployment issues due to the decline of the domestic industry. The infant industry argument can also be made: trade barriers are necessary for a country to build up its own industries and enable them to achieve economies of scale before opening them up to global competition.

Further arguments for protectionism
Trump has cited US trade deficits with China and Germany as issues of national concern. Protectionism can help lower imports and correct these imbalances. There is an argument that trade barriers are necessary when foreign countries deliberately manipulate their exchange rates to undercut others. Trump has made this case against China in particular.