topic 3 economic performance Flashcards
when does an output gap occur
when there is a difference between the actual level of output and the potential level of output
a negative output gap occurs when
the actual level of output is less than the potential level of output
-this puts a downward pressure on inflation
-it usually means there is the unemployment of resources in an economy and spare capacity
a positive output gap occurs when
the actual level of output is less than the potential level of output
-could be due to resources being used beyond normal capacity
-it puts upward pressure on inflation
what do classical economics happen in the long run
the market clears
the business cycle refers to
the stage of economic growth the economy is in
characteristics of a boom
-high rates of economic growth
-near full capacity or positive output gaps
-(near) full employment
-demand pull inflation
-consumers and firms have a lot of confidence which leads to high rates of investment
-government budgets improve due to higher tax revenue and less spending on welfare payments
characteristics of a recession
-negative economic growth
-lots of spare capacity and negative output gaps
-demand deficient unemployment
-low inflation rates
-government budgets worsen due to more spending on welfare payments and lower tax revenues
-less confidence amongst consumers and firms which leads to less spending and investment
costs to consumers of economic growth
-does not affect everyone equally . those w lower and fixed incomes might feel worse off w high inflation and inequality may increase
-likely to be higher demand pull inflation due to higher level of consumer spending
-could face more shoe leather costs which means spending more time and effort finding the best deal while prices are rising
-benefits of consumption may not last after the first few units due to the law of diminishing returns
benefits to consumers of economic growth
-average consumer income increases as more people are employed and wags increase
-consumers feel confident in the economy which increases consumption and higher living standard
costs to firms of economic growth
-firms could face more menu costs due to higher inflation as firms need to keep changing their prices to meet inflation
benefits to firms of economic growth
-might increase profits which might in turn increase investment. this is also driven by high levels of business confidence
-higher levels of investment could develop new technologies to improve productivity and lower average costs in the long run
-as firms grow they can take advantage of the benefits of the economies of scale
-if there is economic growth in export markets firms might face more competition making them more productive and efficent but may also give more sales opportunites
costs to government of economic growth
may need to increase spending on healthcare if consumption of demerit goods is higher
benefit to government of economic growth
-gov budget might improve since fewer people require welfare payments and more people will be paying tax
costs to current and future living standards of economic growth
-higher levels of growthh could lead to damage to the environment in the long run from negative externalities from the consumption and production of some goods and services
benefits to current and future living standards of economic growth
-as consumer incomes increase people may show more concern for the environment
-higher average wages mean consumers can enjoy more goods and services of higher quality
-public services improve since gov have higher tax revenues this could increase life expectancy levels and education levels
causes of cyclical instability
-the sustainability of economic growth
-excessive growth in credit and levels of debt
-asset price bubbles
-destabilising speculation and animal spirits
-herding
the sustainability of economic growth causing cyclical instability
-growth is sustainable when the rate of economic growth can be maintained in the long run so future generations can enjoy the same rate of growth
-fast economic growth may mean that natural resources might deplete
-unsustainable growth occurs around booms and bust sections of the business cycle
-if growth is excessive there could be inflation in the average price level, wages and assets. there could be excessive credit which is unsustainable in the long run and the savings rate might be falling
excessive growth in credit and levels of debt causing cyclical instability
-growth financed by public debt might not be sustainable and may be difficult to pay it back.
-if sustainable the economys productivity capacity will increase so there is more room to grow
asset price bubbles causing cyclical instability
- a market bubble occurs when the price of an asset is predicted to rise significantly. this causes it to be traded more and demand exceeds supply so the price rises beyond the intrinsic value. the bubble then bursts when the price steeply and suddenly falls to its ordianry level. this causes investors to try and sell their assets. it results in a loss of confidence and can lead to economic decline
destablishing speculation and animal spirits causing cyclical instability
-destablishing speculation ;eads to changes in the price level due to speculation. this can affect the actual price of assets in an economy.
-animal spirits describe instincts and emotions of human behaviour which drives the level of confidence in an economy.
-if firms expect a high return and so invest more (vise versa). expectations about society and politics can affect investment
herding causing cyclical instability
-herding is the act of reacting to behaviour of other economic agents rather than the market.this might be beacuse some investors think other economic agents are better informed about the market so they follow their actions. this can cause instability in the market
two main measures of unemployment in the uk
-the claimant court
-the international labour organisation (ILO) and the uk force survey (LFS)
voluntary employment
occurs when someone chooses not to work at the current wage rate
-this can be encouraged from welfare payments or high income tax
involuntary unemployment
when someone is willing and able to work at the current wage rate but they cannot find work