Topic 2 - Life Assurance and Annuity Functions Flashcards

1
Q

Topic 2 –Life and Annuity Functions
Topic overview

  • Define simple assurance and annuity functions
  • Determine mean and variance functions
    • For assurance functions
    • For annuity functions
  • Derive relationship between assurance and
    annuity functions
A

Topic overview

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2
Q

What is a life insurance contract?

A
  • Agreement between Life co and policyholder
  • Policyholder agrees to make payment(s)
  • Life co agrees to pay lump sum or series of
    payments on occurrence of insured event
    (Insured event normally on survival or on
    death)
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3
Q

What are the different types of life assurance contract?

A

Whole life (WL)
Term assurance (TA)
Pure endowment (PE)
Endowment assurance (EA)

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4
Q

What is a whole life contract?

A

Payout on death

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5
Q

What is a term assurance contract?

A

Payout on death during specific term

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6
Q

What is a pure endowment contract?

A

Payout on survival beyond a specific term

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7
Q

What is an endowment assurance contract?

A

• Payout on survival beyond a term or death if earlier
• So combination of a TA and PE

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8
Q

In most contracts, what is the payout referred to as?

A

Sum Assured

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9
Q

Determine mean & variance functions

What does the standard notation Tx refer to?

A
  • Complete future lifetime of a life aged x
  • How much longer we expect a life aged x to live
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10
Q

State the formula for calculating the complete expectation of life for an individual aged x

A

E[Tx] = ∫0,∞ 𝑡𝑝𝑥 dt = 𝑜ex

Note: in all cases where 𝑜ex is stated, the 𝑜 symbol should be placed above the e

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11
Q

Determine mean & variance functions

What does the standard notation Kx refer to?

A
  • Curtate random future lifetime of a life aged x
  • Integer of Tx
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12
Q

State the formula for calculating the curtate expectation of life

A

E[Kx] = Σ𝑘=1,∞ 𝑘𝑝𝑥 = ex

ex ≈ 𝑜ex - 0.5

  • Assume that benefits are paid at the END of year of death
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13
Q

Give the present value of a £1 sum assured payout on a policyholder’s death from a whole life assurance contract. Assume benefits are paid at the end of year of death

A

Whole Life Assurance
- Pays sum assured on policyholder’s death

PV of a sum assured of £1 payable at end of YOD
PV = 𝑣^(𝐾𝑥 + 1)

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14
Q

Determine mean & variance functions

State the standard notation for the complete future lifetime of a life aged x (ie how much longer we expect a life aged x to live)

A

Tx

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15
Q

What does the standard notation E[Tx] refer to?

A

The complete expectation of life for an individual aged x

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16
Q

Determine mean & variance functions

Give the standard notation for the curtate random future lifetime of a life aged x (integer of Tx)

A

Kx

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17
Q

Give the expected present value of a £1 sum assured payout on a policyholder’s death from a whole life assurance contract. Assume benefits are paid at the end of year of death

A

Whole Life Assurance
- Pays sum assured on policyholder’s death

EPV of a sum assured of £1 payable at end of YOD
EPV = E[𝑣^(𝐾𝑥 + 1)] = Σ𝑘=0,∞ 𝑣^(𝐾𝑥 + 1) 𝑘𝑝𝑥 𝑞,𝑥+𝑘
EPV = A,x

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18
Q

Give the expected present value of a £1 sum assured payout on a policyholder’s death from a whole life assurance contract. Assume benefits are paid at the end of year of death

Whole Life Assurance
- Pays sum assured on policyholder’s death

EPV of a sum assured of £1 payable at end of YOD
EPV = E[𝑣^(𝐾𝑥 + 1)] = Σ𝑘=1,∞ 𝑣^(𝐾𝑥 + 1) 𝑘𝑝𝑥 𝑞,𝑥+𝑘
EPV = A,x

Find A35 – basis AM92 Ultimate@ 4% pa

A

A35 = 0.19219 (pg 96)

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19
Q

Give the variance of the present value of a £1 sum assured payout on a policyholder’s death from a whole life assurance contract. Assume benefits are paid at the end of year of death

A
  • Whole Life Assurance
  • Variance
  • Use Var[X] = E[X^2] – [E(X)]^2

var[𝑣^(𝐾𝑥 + 1)] = E[𝑣^(𝐾𝑥 + 1)(2)] - E[𝑣^(𝐾𝑥 + 1)]^2
= Σ𝑘=0,∞ [𝑣^(𝐾𝑥 + 1)]^2 𝑘𝑝𝑥 𝑞,𝑥+𝑘 - (Ax)^2
= Σ𝑘=0,∞ [𝑣^2]^(𝐾𝑥 + 1) 𝑘𝑝𝑥 𝑞,𝑥+𝑘 - (Ax)^2
= 2^Ax - (Ax)^2

2^Ax based on v^2 i.e. (1/1+i)^2 and is tabulated

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20
Q

Determine mean & variance functions

Whole Life Assurance

So far our expectations and variances of sum assured are only based on sum assured (S) of £1, what if S>1?

A
  • E(S𝑣^[𝐾𝑥+1]) = SE(𝑣^[𝐾𝑥+1])
  • Var[S𝑣^(𝐾𝑥+1)] = S^(2)Var[𝑣^(𝐾𝑥+1)]
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21
Q

Determine mean & variance functions

Example
• Calculate the EPV and Variance of a whole life assurance with a sum assured of £100,000 for a life currently aged 40. Payable at the EOYD.
• Basis AM92 Ultimate @ 6% pa

A

• 100000A40@6% = 100000x0.12313 = £12,313
• Var = 1000002[(2^A40) – (A40)^2]
• 100000^(2)[0.02707 – 0.12313^(2)] = £119,090,031

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22
Q

Determine mean & variance functions

Question
• Calculate the EPV and standard deviation of a whole life assurance with a sum assured of £20,000 for a life currently aged 65. Payable at the EOYD.
• Basis AM92 Ultimate @ 4% pa

A

• 20000A65@4% = 20000x0.52786 = £10,557
• SD = (20000^2[(2^A65) – (A65)^2])^0.5
• (20000^2[0.30855 – 0.52786^2])^0.5 = £3,459

23
Q

What is term assurance?

A

Pays sum assured on policyholder’s death during a specific period

24
Q

Give the formula for the present value of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder’s death during a specific period payable at the end of YOD

A

PV = F = { 𝑣^(𝐾𝑥 + 1) 𝑖𝑓 𝐾𝑥 < ⴖ
={ 0 𝑖𝑓 𝐾𝑥 ≥ ⴖ

25
Give the formula for the expected present value of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder's death during a specific period payable at the end of YOD
EPV = E(F) = Σ𝑘=0,ⴖ-1 𝑣^(𝐾𝑥+1) 𝑘𝑝𝑥 𝑞,𝑥+𝑘 + 0.𝑛𝑝𝑥 EPV = E(F) = Σ𝑘=0,ⴖ-1 𝑣^(𝐾𝑥+1) 𝑘𝑝𝑥 𝑞,𝑥+𝑘 = 𝐴1^𝑥:𝑛¬
26
What is a pure endowment?
Pays sum assured on policyholder’s survival beyond a specific period
27
Give the formula for the present value of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder's survival beyond a specific period
PV = G = { 0 𝑖𝑓 𝐾𝑥 < ⴖ = { v^ⴖ 𝑖𝑓 𝐾𝑥 ≥ ⴖ
28
Pure Endowment Give the formula for the expected present value of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder's survival beyond a specific period payable at the end of the period
EPV = E(G) = v^(n) npx + 0.nqx EPV = E(G) = v^(n) npx = 𝐴𝑥:n^1¬
29
Give the formula for the variance of a term assurance
Var(F) = 2^𝐴1^𝑥:𝑛¬ - (𝐴1^𝑥:𝑛¬)2 based on v^2 i.e. (1/1+i)^2
30
Give the formula for the variance of a pure endowment
Var(G) = 2^𝐴𝑥:𝑛^1¬ - (𝐴𝑥:𝑛^1¬)2 based on v^2 i.e. (1/1+i)^2
31
Determine mean & variance functions Example • Calculate the EPV of a 20 year pure endowment with a sum assured of £100,000 payable on survival to age 65, for a life currently aged 45. • Basis AM92 Ultimate @ 4% pa
• 100,000𝐴45:20^1¬@4% • 100,000v^(20)20p45 • 100,000 (1.04^-20) x 8821.2612/9801.3123 • =100,000 (1.04^-20)x0.9 = £41,075
32
Determine mean & variance functions Question • Calculate the SD of a 20 year pure endowment with a sum assured of £100,000 payable on survival to age 65, for a life currently aged 45. • Basis AM92 Ultimate @ 4% pa • Hint use fact 2^𝐴𝑥:𝑛^1¬ based on v^2 i.e. (1/1+i)^2
• [100,000^2(2^𝐴45:20^1¬ - (𝐴45:20^1¬)2)]^0.5 • [100,000^2(v^[2(20)]20p45 – (v^(20)20p45)^2)]^0.5 • [100,000^2(1.04^[-2(20)] x 0.9 – (1.04^-20 x 0.9)^2)]^0.5 • [100,000^2(0.18746 – (0.41075)^2)]^0.5 • £13,691
33
What is endowment assurance?
Pays sum assured on policyholder’s survival beyond a specific period or death if earlier
34
Give the formula for the present value of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder's survival beyond a specific period, or death if earlier, payable at the end of the period
PV = H = { v^(𝐾𝑥 +1) 𝑖𝑓 𝐾𝑥 < ⴖ = 𝑣^min(𝐾𝑥 + 1, 𝑛) = { v^ⴖ 𝑖𝑓 𝐾𝑥 ≥ ⴖ
35
Give the formula for the expected present value of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder's survival beyond a specific period, or death if earlier, payable at the end of the period
EPV = E(H) = E(F) + E(G) EPV = E(H) = 𝐴𝑥:𝑛¬ = 𝐴1^𝑥:𝑛¬ + 𝐴𝑥:𝑛^1¬
36
Give the formula for the variance of an endowment assurance
Var(H) = 2^𝐴𝑥:𝑛¬ - (𝐴𝑥:𝑛¬)^2 • based on v^2 i.e. (1/1+i)^2 • Note - Var(H) ≠ Var(F) + Var(G)
37
Determine mean & variance functions Example • Calculate the EPV of a 25 year endowment assurance with a sum assured of £50,000 payable on survival to age 65 or at the end of the year of earlier death, for a life currently aged 40. • Basis AM92 Ultimate @ 6% pa
• 50,000𝐴40:25¬ @6% = 50,000x0.24787 = £12,394 • NB 𝐴𝑥:𝑛¬ tabulated for x+n = 60 & 65
38
Determine mean & variance functions Question • Calculate the EPV of a 15 year endowment assurance with a sum assured of £75,000 payable on survival to age 60 or at the end of the year of earlier death, for a life currently aged 45. • Basis AM92 Ultimate @ 6% pa
75,000𝐴45:15¬ @6% = 75,000x0.42556 = £31,917
39
Question • Calculate the EPV of 10 year term assurance with a sum assured of £90,000 payable at the end of the year of death, for a life currently aged 55. • Basis AM92 Ultimate @ 4% pa • Use EA = TA + PE
• 90,000𝐴1^55:10¬ = 90000(𝐴55:10¬ - 𝐴55:10^1¬) • 90,000(0.68388–8821.2612/9557.8179x1.04^-10) • £5,434
40
What is a deferred assurance contract?
WL (whole life) assurance pays sum assured on policyholder’s death deferred for n years
41
Deferred assurance contract Give the formula for the present value of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder's death deferred for a period of n years payable at the end of year of death
PV = J = { 0 𝑖𝑓 𝐾𝑥 < 𝑛 { 𝑣^(𝐾𝑥 + 1) 𝑖𝑓 𝐾𝑥 ≥ 𝑛
42
Deferred assurance contract Give the formula for the expected present value of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder's death deferred for a period of n years payable at the end of year of death
• EPV = n|Ax • n|Ax = Ax - 𝐴𝑥:𝑛^1¬ = v^n npx Ax+n
43
Determine mean & variance functions Example • Calculate the EPV of 10 year term assurance with a sum assured of £80,000 payable at the end of the year of death, for a life currently aged 45. • Basis AM92 Ultimate @ 4% pa
• 80,000𝐴1^45:10¬= 80000(A45 – v^10 10p45 A55) • 80,000(0.27605–0.3895x9557.8179/9801.3123x1.04^-10) • 80,000x0.019455 = £1,556
44
Determine mean & variance functions Question • Calculate the EPV of 10 year endowment assurance with a sum assured of £80,000 payable at the end of the year of death, for a life currently aged 45. • Basis AM92 Ultimate @ 4% pa
• 80,000𝐴45:10¬ = 𝐴1^45:10¬ + 𝐴45:10^1¬ • 80,000(0.019455 + 9557.8179/9801.3123x1.04^-10) • £54,259
45
Give the present value of a £1 sum assured payout on a policyholder's death from a whole life assurance contract. Assume benefits are paid immediately on death.
• So far only discussed death benefits payable at the end of year of death i.e. Kx+1 • Can evaluate benefits payable immediately on death • Replace Kx + 1 with Tx (a continuous function) • Whole Life Assurance • PV = 𝑣^(𝑇x)
46
Give the formula for the expected present value of a £1 sum assured payout on a policyholder's death from a whole life assurance contract. Assume benefits are paid immediately on death.
EPV = E[𝑣^(𝑇x)] = ʃ 0,∞ 𝑣^(𝑡) 𝑡𝑝𝑥 μ,𝑥+𝑡 dt = Ǡx
47
Give the formula for the variance of a £1 sum assured payout on a policyholder's death from a whole life assurance contract. Assume benefits are paid immediately on death.
Var[𝑣^(𝑇x)] = 2^Ǡx - (Ǡx)^2
48
Give the formula for the present value of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder's death during a specific period payable immediately at death
• Term Assurance • Pays sum assured on policyholder’s death during a specific period PV = Ꞙ = { 𝑣^(Tx) 𝑖𝑓 T𝑥 < ⴖ ={ 0 𝑖𝑓 T𝑥 ≥ ⴖ Note: Ꞙ represents the letter F with a bar on top
49
Give the formula for the expected present value of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder's death during a specific period payable immediately at death
EPV = E(Ꞙ) = Ǡ1^𝑥:ⴖ¬ Note: Ꞙ represents the letter F with a bar on top
50
Give the formula for the variance of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder's death during a specific period payable immediately at death
Var(Ꞙ) = 2^Ǡ1^𝑥:ⴖ¬ - [Ǡ1^𝑥:ⴖ¬]^2 Note: Ꞙ represents the letter F with a bar on top
51
Give the formula for the present value of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder's survival beyond a specific period or death if earlier, payable immediately at death
• Endowment Assurance • Pays sum assured on policyholder’s survival beyond a specific period or death if earlier PV = Ĥ = { 𝑣^(Tx) 𝑖𝑓 T𝑥 < ⴖ = { 𝑣^(ⴖ) 𝑖𝑓 T𝑥 ≥ ⴖ Note: Ĥ represents the letter H with a bar on top
52
Give the formula for the expected present value of a sum assured of £1 on policyholder's survival beyond a specific period or death if earlier, payable immediately at death
EPV = E(Ĥ) = E(Ꞙ) + E(G) EPV = E(Ĥ) = Ǡ𝑥:ⴖ¬ = Ǡ1^𝑥:ⴖ¬ + Ǡ𝑥:ⴖ^1¬ Note: Ĥ represents the letter H with a bar on top Note: Ꞙ represents the letter F with a bar on top
53
State some of the common relationships between benefits paid immediately and at EOY of death
• Ǡ𝑥 ≈ (1+i)^0.5 A𝑥 ≈ i/δ A𝑥 • Ǡ1^𝑥:𝑛¬ ≈ (1+i)^0.5 𝐴1^𝑥:𝑛¬ ≈ i/δ 𝐴1^𝑥:𝑛¬ • Ǡ𝑥:𝑛¬ ≈ (1+i)^0.5 𝐴1^𝑥:𝑛¬ + 𝐴𝑥:𝑛^1¬
54
Summary •Introduced to assurance functions - Whole life - Term assurance - Pure endowment - Endowment assurance •Derived EPV and variance for functions •Looked at benefits paid at EOY of death & immediately •Looked at relationships between both
Summary