Topic 2 Flashcards

Without Trade for Task 2

1
Q

Whats the balance of payments

A

A balance of payments is a record of all the trade and financial transactions between Australia and the rest of the world, based on the double-entry accounting system of debits and credits

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2
Q

What are the two accounts that make up the BOP and whats the main differentiator

A

The current account(CAD) and the Capital and Financial Account(KAFA) are the two account and are differentiated because the CA consists of irreversible transactions while the KAFA is reversible

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3
Q

What are the components of the CA

A

Balance of Goods and Services(BOGS)
Net Primary Income(NPY)
Net Secondary Income(NSY)

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4
Q

What is BOGS

A

The BOGS refers to the sum of goods and services such as tourism, education and transport exported by Australia minus the goods and services imported

NET EXPORTS

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5
Q

What is NPY

A

which are the earning on factors of production(income, rent, profit, interest)

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6
Q

What is NSY

A

which are returns NOT from the factors of production (payouts on insurance claims, workers remittances and gifts)

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7
Q

What is in the KA

A

The KA is made up of non-financial assets like conditional foreign aid for development projects and intellectual property like patents, copyrights, trademarks and franchises.

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8
Q

What are the components of the FA

A

Direct Investment
Portfolio Investment
Financial derivatives

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9
Q

What is Direct investment

A

a large investment that bestows ownership rights to a company, 10% or more

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10
Q

What is Portfolio Investment

A

purchase of shares, land or securities that don’t grant ownership rights <10%

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11
Q

Main differentiator between direct and portfolio

A

<10%=portfolio
>10%=direct

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12
Q

Whats a financial derivative

A

a financial instrument that ‘derives’ its values from somewhere

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13
Q

Links between the categories

A

Current account and KAFA and net emissions should add up to 0
The deficit(debit) on one is equal to the surplus(credit) on the other

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14
Q

Trends in CAD

A

Australia usually has a deficit in the current account. the size of the CAD is influenced by the value of the BOGS and the size of the NPY deficit

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15
Q

Trends in BOGS

A

The BOGS is usually in deficit(2010/11, 2016/17 and 2017/18 surpluses were achieved due to strong mining exports)

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16
Q

Trends in NPY

A

The NPY deficit accounted for the majority of the current account deficit between 2009/10 and 2017/18 and represents the servicing costs of Aus net foreign liabilities

17
Q

Trends in KAFA

A

The financial account balance is always in a surplus mainly due to debt and equity borrowings to financial domestic investment and CAD

The capital account is usually in deficit- 09/10 and 17/18

18
Q

Reasons for CAD

A

Aus low household saving rate(structural)
Aus Trade deficit(cyclical if appreciation/depreciation)(structural due to narrow export base)

19
Q

Whats international competitiveness

A

Degree of price and quality competitiveness of a nation’s export and import substitutions in relation to foreign-produced goods and services

20
Q

Measure of Aus international competitiveness

A

Two statistical measures of Australia’s competitiveness are:
The value of the AUD concerning the TWI
Real unit labour costs

21
Q

Whats terms of trade and formula

A

The relative prices a country receives for its exports and pays for its imports. Movements in export and import prices are measured using index numbers

export price/import price

22
Q

whats an exchange rate

A

The price of one economy’s currency in terms of another economy’s country. In an Australian context, the exchange rate is simply the price of Australian currency in terms of another countries currency

23
Q

Whats bilateral rates

A

Bilateral rates is the value of a unit of domestic currency relative to another currency, usually that of a major trading partner

24
Q

Define TWI

A

the measurement of a domestic currency relative to a basket of currencies of Australian trading partners, weighted depend

25
Q

Factor affecting the demand for AUD

A

financial flows(money in and out of AUS)
level of Aus interest rates relative to other countries(foreign investment)
investment opportunities(foreign investment)
speculation(think there’s gonna be an appreciation then demand increases)
demand for AUS exports
change in commodity prices and ToT
international competitiveness
global economic conditions

26
Q

factors affecting the supply of the AUD

A

the opposite lol

financial flows
level of interest rates relative to others
investment opportunities
speculation
domestic demand for imports
level of domestic income
inflation

27
Q

Resons for an an appreciation in the AUD

A

Increase in interest rates
Improved investment opportunities
A rise in commodity prices and improvement in Aus ToT
An improvement in Aus international competitiveness
Lower inflation in Aus
Increased demand for Aus exports
Expectations of a currency appreciation

28
Q

reasons for depreciation of AUD

A

decrease in interest rates
more investment overseas/less here
fall in commodity prices
aus International competitiveness falling
high inflation
increased demand for imports
expectations of depreciations

29
Q

positive effects of appreciations

A

Positive effects
Australians enjoy increased purchasing power- they can purchase more goods with the same quantity of goods
Decreases interest servicing cost of foreign debt, meaning we can buy more foreign currency in AUD(we pay less in AUD for debts)
Valuation effect- same as above but for the nation(j curve theory)
Goes down due to intl competitiveness then increases due to valuation effect
Inflationary pressures decrease as imports become cheaper

30
Q

neg. effects of appreciation

A

The increasing value of AUD leads to the increased price of exports
Imports are less expensive worsening CAD
High import spending reducing eco growth rate
Less financial investment internationally

31
Q

Whats a fixed exchange rate

A

The exchange rate is fixed by the central bank to another currency, usually USD due to its confidence and its a reserve currency(generally overvalued)

Note instead of saying appreciate and depreciate, for fixed it is revaluation and devaluation.

32
Q

limitations of fixed echange rate

A

Central bank has to maintain the value through purchasing and selling the currency, and if they do not have enough foreign currency reserves, trades will collapse. To counteract this exchange controls will be introduced to reduce exports, creating a shortage for production
Slow economic growth if overvalued, with a high interest rate used to attract foreign investors
Impacts confidence, as speculators may purchase domestic currency if they believe it will revalue or selling if they believe it is going to be revalued.

33
Q

whats floating exchange rate

A

A system wherein the exchange rate is determined by the free movement of market forces and non-government intervention

34
Q

managed exchange rate

A

Similar to fixed exchange rates, but are allowed to stay within a daily target band
allows for more frequent intervention from the central bank

35
Q

pos. effects of depreciation

A

In the long run it enhances the competitiveness of exporting and import competing industries by making Australian goods and services relatively cheaper thereby improving the current account balance
Higher levels of capital inflows and foreign investment into Australia as domestic assets become cheaper to purchase, allowing Australia to pursue long term growth
Structural change and greater competitiveness of industries in the long term as exporting firms grow

36
Q

neg. effects of depreciation

A

In the short run, depreciations reduces the ToT and reduces export revenue whilst increasing import costs, worsening the trade balance
Higher domestic inflation caused by higher import prices, passed onto consumers
Increasing value of foreign debt repayments if they are repaid in foreign currency, leading to a larget net primary income deficit, but move debts are hedged in AUD
Valuation effect
Could force the RBA to intervene by increasing interest rates to attract foreign capital inflow to appreciate the currency, but in doing so limiting the domestic economic growth

37
Q

jcurve theory

A

Trade surplus is when exports are larger than imports, while a trade deficit is when imports are more than exports
The idea that a country with a CAD would benefit in the long run from a currency depreciation