Topic 1 - Review Flashcards
Beta formula
= Covariance / Mkt Vol^2
or = covariance * sd of risk free return / sd of market return
Expected return formula
= (Beta)(expected mkt return – RFR) + RFR
Sharpe ratio formula
= (Expected return – RFR) / StD
= risk premium of asset / asset volatility
- how much expected return combo gives for given level of risk
- slope of line denoting the combo of risk-less rate and risky security
Modern Portfolio theory
for risky assets, maximize return for a given level of risk, OR minimize risk for a given level of return
- does NOT say that with risk, you can expect return
- creates efficient frontier/mean-variance frontier (frontier of risky assets)
- gives specific way of putting assets into portfolios that theoretically minimizes risk/maximizes reward
why is Beta, expected return, and sharpe ratio important for impact investing?
bc we consider all investments would be part of a diversified portfolio
distribution of returns
characterize shape of distribution of returns with:
- expected value (central tendency, mean/ave)
- SD or variance (dispersion)
- skewness (asymmetry)
- kurtosis (how heavy tails are relative to center)
standard deviation
dispersion; how spread-out the distribution is shows volatility, deviation square root of variance higher SD = higher expected return higher volatility impacts downside more
compound annual rate of return????
downside negative returns strongly impact what you end up holding; its a fxn of volatility drag
volatility = higher volatility impacts downside more
Ex. start $100, lose 50%, gain 50% =
arithmetic ave is 0 and you’re holding 75 cents on the dollar
Ex. start $100, lose 10%, gain 10%=
arithmetic ave is still 0 and you’re holding 99 cents on the dollar
average annual return
simple arithmetic average
helps us estimate expectations
MVP
minimum variance portfolio
on frontier of risky assets (furthest most to the left portfolio, before frontier goes convex)
capital allocation lines
- risky asset + riskless T bill
- we like higher slopes of CAL (indicates higher Sharpe ratio; maximizing sharpe ratio makes it tangent to the efficient frontier)
- Capital market line = most optimal CAL; optimal location for investments
riskless asset
no asset is truly risk free, but use ST T bill
(90 day T-Bill; Fed funds overnight rate)
return you can get with theoretically no risk
beta
- market/systematic exposure and a measure of market risk of an investment, related to corr to market
- expected mvmt in an investment vs market
- most investors pay too much for beta that’s too high
- how much variation in the market contributes to variation in an asset’s return
alpha
- value-added accounting for market/systematic risk (holding risk constant, how much do you outperform market)
- for PM, a measure of investment skill
- pure alpha has v high Sharpe ratio
- most long only managers have negative alphas (destroying value) bc of fees
active mgmt seeks…
passive mgmt seeks…
alpha (bc ascribed to skill of manager)
beta of some portfolio like S&P500