theme 7 Flashcards

1
Q

Benefits of economic openness

A

Specialization and efficiency
Trade-related gains
Competition
Diversity of goods and services
International diversification
Financing of domestic investment by foreigners
Technology and capital by foreign direct investment
Opportunities for developing countries
Downward pressure on P
Access to more funding

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2
Q

Nominal exchange rate

A

Indirect quotation/the one we use:
How many CAD (domestic) for 1 US (foreign)
Increase: depreciation domestic

Direct quotation:
How many US (foreign) for 1 CAD (domestic)
Increase: appreciation domestic

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3
Q

Factors that affect e (Nominal exchange rate)

A

Money supply: an increase decrease the value of the currency
Political events
Sanctions
International trade
Tourism

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4
Q

Real exchange rate with indirect quotation

A

Basket price ratio (identical baskets) between 2 economies with different currencies
Price of foreign basket in domestic currency = eP*
Price of domestic basket in domestic currency = P

E = eP*/P

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5
Q

Real exchange rate (E) 3 possibilities

A

E > 1: foreign basket is more expensive than domestic basket
E = 1: basket costs the same everywhere
E < 1: foreign basket is cheaper than the domestic basket

E always > 0

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6
Q

Depreciation and appreciation of real E

A

Increase E; real depreciation
- Increase of the price of foreign basket (eP*)
- Decrease of the price of the domestic basket (P)

Decrease E; real appreciation
- Decrease of the price of foreign basket (eP*)
- Increase of the price of domestic basket (P)

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7
Q

Effects of changes of real exchange rate (E) on NX

A

Decrease in E (real appreciation):
- our goods more expensive for foreigners
- foreigners will demand less of canadian goods
- decrease of EX & NX
- foreign goods are cheaper for us; increase of demand in foreign goods; increase IM

real depreciation: increase NX
- domestic goods cheaper for foreigners (increase EX)
- foreign goods more expensive for us (decrease IM)

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8
Q

PPP model assumptions

A
  1. No transportation costs
  2. The basket is identical between economies
  3. No differences in taxation
  4. No trade barriers
  5. Perfect information
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9
Q

PPP

A

E = eP*/P = 1

eP* = P
e = P/P*

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10
Q

relative PPP

A

An economy with higher inflation than another economy in the LR should have a rise in e in the LR: depreciation

ge = gp - gp*

ge = domestic inflation - foreign inflation

Higher permanent LR inflation suggests higher Ms growth and thus a loss in the value of money in LR (depreciation)
Higher inflation: supposed to depreciate

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11
Q

Overvalued or undervalued according to the PPP?

A

E > 1:
If P/P* remains stable, e should decrease to decrease E (go to 1)
Currency should appreciate (decrease) in LR
Currency is undervalued (over depreciated) for now

E < 1:
e should increase to increase E (go to 1)
Currency should depreciate (increase) in the LR
Currency is overvalued (over appreciated) for now

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12
Q

Foreign exchange risk

A

If want to invest CAD in US:
1. Convert CAD to USD (e* CAD)
2. (1) * i

if e doesn’t change: return = i
if e increase: make money
if e decrease: loose money

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13
Q

Domestic return & foreign return

A

Domestic return: i
Foreign return: i* + (e**a - e)/e

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14
Q

Interest rate parity (IRP)

A

i = i*+ (e**a - e)/e
return domestic = return foreign

e and the expected return on foreign deposits go in opposite directions; the better return (R), the lower the e

return on domestic deposits: e doesn’t affect your return

IRP condition is met when the 2 curves cross each other

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15
Q

AD-AS in open economy

A

Increase of i:
decrease C & I; decrease AD
effect of exchange rate: appreciation (e decrease); NX decrease
AD is moving more in an open economy

Increase of Ms:
lower interest rate
increase C & I; AD increases
effect of exchange rate: depreciation (e increases); NX increases
AD is increasing even more

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16
Q

Balance of payments

A

An accounting framework that records the inflow and outflow of financial capital between the domestic economy and the rest of the world over a given period of time.

Receive financial capital from the rest of the world: +

Sends financial capital from the rest of the world: -

BoP = 0
BoP = CA + CFA = 0

17
Q

Current account (CA)

A

EX: +

IM: -

Net asset income (NAI) = Dividends, interest, rents, and other payments RECEIVED from the rest of the world - PAID

Net transfers: development aid, money sent to family abroad or received from his family abroad

18
Q

Capital and financial account (CFA)

A

CAHF: Canadian assets hold by foreigners
foreigners are sending financial capital to domestic economy to buy canadian assets : +
foreigners are selling their canadian assets and withdrawing their financial capital from our economy: -

FAHC: Foreign assets held by Canadians
canadians are sending financial capital to the foreign economy to purchase foreign assets : -
canadians are divesting their foreign assets and repatriating their fiancial capital to Canada: +

RES: Official foreign currency reserves
CB buys foreign currency with CAD, we are acquiring foreign assets (foreign currency): -
CB sells foreign currencies, we dispose of foreign assets and repatriates its CAD here: +

Come in: +
Come out: -

19
Q

BoP when export from Canada to US

A
  1. CA increase:
    increase EX

If American pays with CAD:
2. CAFH decrease: CFA decrease

If American pays with USD:
2. FAHC increase: CFA decrease

If Canadian change USD to CAD:
3. FAHC decrease: CFA increase
4. CAHF decrease: CFA decrease (take back CAD to Canada)
Net 0 effect when currency exchange

20
Q

S > I

A

Has a surplus of internal savings
Will buy assets abroad
NX > 0: Net exporter
Will buy more foreign assets than foreigners buy at home: net lending capacity

Accumulates foreign assets each year
CFA - : sends capital to the rest of the world
CA +:
NAI + : receives net income from assets
NX +

21
Q

S < I

A

Has a shortage of internal savings
Foreigners will buy assets in this economy
NX < 0: Net importer
Will buy less foreign assets than foreigners buy at home: net borrowing position

Accumulate domestic assets more than residents accumulate foreign assets
CFA + : acquisition of domestic assets by foreigners. receives financial capital from the rest of the worls
CA -:
NAI - : mut pay net asset income
NX: -

22
Q

Getting richer with CA > 0

A

CA > 0, CFA <0:
Economy accumulates foreign assets and receive a piece of the pie of the rest of the world’s production
Purchasing power

23
Q

Getting richer with CA < 0

A

CA < 0, CFA > 0:
Economy accumulates capital
Capital accumulation is partly financed by the rest of the world
Increase in K = increase in standard of living (Solow)
Purchasing power

24
Q

US economy

A

US BoP: CA < 0 and CFA > 0
Absorbs more funds (CFA > 0) than all other economies in the world that are also in a CFA > 0 position, combined

25
International net position
What residents of the economy hold in foreign assets - what foreigners hold in domestic assets Each year that CA < 0 and CFA > 0: foreigners accumulate more domestic assets holdings than the domestic economy accumulates in foreign assets and the net international debt increases Each year that CA > 0 and CFA < 0: domestic economy buys more foreign assets than foreigners buy in domestic assets, net international debt decreases
26
BoP crises
net international debt is growing faster than GDP Increase in net international; debt/GDP ratio If panic takes hold of the world markets all at once, a capital flight ensues: foreigners no longer want domestic assets and there is a massive sale of all the assets of the economy, including the currency Economy collapses