theme 7 Flashcards

1
Q

Benefits of economic openness

A

Specialization and efficiency
Trade-related gains
Competition
Diversity of goods and services
International diversification
Financing of domestic investment by foreigners
Technology and capital by foreign direct investment
Opportunities for developing countries
Downward pressure on P
Access to more funding

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2
Q

Nominal exchange rate

A

Indirect quotation/the one we use:
How many CAD (domestic) for 1 US (foreign)
Increase: depreciation domestic

Direct quotation:
How many US (foreign) for 1 CAD (domestic)
Increase: appreciation domestic

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3
Q

Factors that affect e (Nominal exchange rate)

A

Money supply: an increase decrease the value of the currency
Political events
Sanctions
International trade
Tourism

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4
Q

Real exchange rate with indirect quotation

A

Basket price ratio (identical baskets) between 2 economies with different currencies
Price of foreign basket in domestic currency = eP*
Price of domestic basket in domestic currency = P

E = eP*/P

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5
Q

Real exchange rate (E) 3 possibilities

A

E > 1: foreign basket is more expensive than domestic basket
E = 1: basket costs the same everywhere
E < 1: foreign basket is cheaper than the domestic basket

E always > 0

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6
Q

Depreciation and appreciation of real E

A

Increase E; real depreciation
- Increase of the price of foreign basket (eP*)
- Decrease of the price of the domestic basket (P)

Decrease E; real appreciation
- Decrease of the price of foreign basket (eP*)
- Increase of the price of domestic basket (P)

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7
Q

Effects of changes of real exchange rate (E) on NX

A

Decrease in E (real appreciation):
- our goods more expensive for foreigners
- foreigners will demand less of canadian goods
- decrease of EX & NX
- foreign goods are cheaper for us; increase of demand in foreign goods; increase IM

real depreciation: increase NX
- domestic goods cheaper for foreigners (increase EX)
- foreign goods more expensive for us (decrease IM)

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8
Q

PPP model assumptions

A
  1. No transportation costs
  2. The basket is identical between economies
  3. No differences in taxation
  4. No trade barriers
  5. Perfect information
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9
Q

PPP

A

E = eP*/P = 1

eP* = P
e = P/P*

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10
Q

relative PPP

A

An economy with higher inflation than another economy in the LR should have a rise in e in the LR: depreciation

ge = gp - gp*

ge = domestic inflation - foreign inflation

Higher permanent LR inflation suggests higher Ms growth and thus a loss in the value of money in LR (depreciation)
Higher inflation: supposed to depreciate

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11
Q

Overvalued or undervalued according to the PPP?

A

E > 1:
If P/P* remains stable, e should decrease to decrease E (go to 1)
Currency should appreciate (decrease) in LR
Currency is undervalued (over depreciated) for now

E < 1:
e should increase to increase E (go to 1)
Currency should depreciate (increase) in the LR
Currency is overvalued (over appreciated) for now

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12
Q

Foreign exchange risk

A

If want to invest CAD in US:
1. Convert CAD to USD (e* CAD)
2. (1) * i

if e doesn’t change: return = i
if e increase: make money
if e decrease: loose money

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13
Q

Domestic return & foreign return

A

Domestic return: i
Foreign return: i* + (e**a - e)/e

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14
Q

Interest rate parity (IRP)

A

i = i*+ (e**a - e)/e
return domestic = return foreign

e and the expected return on foreign deposits go in opposite directions; the better return (R), the lower the e

return on domestic deposits: e doesn’t affect your return

IRP condition is met when the 2 curves cross each other

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15
Q

AD-AS in open economy

A

Increase of i:
decrease C & I; decrease AD
effect of exchange rate: appreciation (e decrease); NX decrease
AD is moving more in an open economy

Increase of Ms:
lower interest rate
increase C & I; AD increases
effect of exchange rate: depreciation (e increases); NX increases
AD is increasing even more

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16
Q

Balance of payments

A

An accounting framework that records the inflow and outflow of financial capital between the domestic economy and the rest of the world over a given period of time.

Receive financial capital from the rest of the world: +

Sends financial capital from the rest of the world: -

BoP = 0
BoP = CA + CFA = 0

17
Q

Current account (CA)

A

EX: +

IM: -

Net asset income (NAI) = Dividends, interest, rents, and other payments RECEIVED from the rest of the world - PAID

Net transfers: development aid, money sent to family abroad or received from his family abroad

18
Q

Capital and financial account (CFA)

A

CAHF: Canadian assets hold by foreigners
foreigners are sending financial capital to domestic economy to buy canadian assets : +
foreigners are selling their canadian assets and withdrawing their financial capital from our economy: -

FAHC: Foreign assets held by Canadians
canadians are sending financial capital to the foreign economy to purchase foreign assets : -
canadians are divesting their foreign assets and repatriating their fiancial capital to Canada: +

RES: Official foreign currency reserves
CB buys foreign currency with CAD, we are acquiring foreign assets (foreign currency): -
CB sells foreign currencies, we dispose of foreign assets and repatriates its CAD here: +

Come in: +
Come out: -

19
Q

BoP when export from Canada to US

A
  1. CA increase:
    increase EX

If American pays with CAD:
2. CAFH decrease: CFA decrease

If American pays with USD:
2. FAHC increase: CFA decrease

If Canadian change USD to CAD:
3. FAHC decrease: CFA increase
4. CAHF decrease: CFA decrease (take back CAD to Canada)
Net 0 effect when currency exchange

20
Q

S > I

A

Has a surplus of internal savings
Will buy assets abroad
NX > 0: Net exporter
Will buy more foreign assets than foreigners buy at home: net lending capacity

Accumulates foreign assets each year
CFA - : sends capital to the rest of the world
CA +:
NAI + : receives net income from assets
NX +

21
Q

S < I

A

Has a shortage of internal savings
Foreigners will buy assets in this economy
NX < 0: Net importer
Will buy less foreign assets than foreigners buy at home: net borrowing position

Accumulate domestic assets more than residents accumulate foreign assets
CFA + : acquisition of domestic assets by foreigners. receives financial capital from the rest of the worls
CA -:
NAI - : mut pay net asset income
NX: -

22
Q

Getting richer with CA > 0

A

CA > 0, CFA <0:
Economy accumulates foreign assets and receive a piece of the pie of the rest of the world’s production
Purchasing power

23
Q

Getting richer with CA < 0

A

CA < 0, CFA > 0:
Economy accumulates capital
Capital accumulation is partly financed by the rest of the world
Increase in K = increase in standard of living (Solow)
Purchasing power

24
Q

US economy

A

US BoP: CA < 0 and CFA > 0
Absorbs more funds (CFA > 0) than all other economies in the world that are also in a CFA > 0 position, combined

25
Q

International net position

A

What residents of the economy hold in foreign assets - what foreigners hold in domestic assets

Each year that CA < 0 and CFA > 0: foreigners accumulate more domestic assets holdings than the domestic economy accumulates in foreign assets and the net international debt increases

Each year that CA > 0 and CFA < 0: domestic economy buys more foreign assets than foreigners buy in domestic assets, net international debt decreases

26
Q

BoP crises

A

net international debt is growing faster than GDP
Increase in net international; debt/GDP ratio
If panic takes hold of the world markets all at once, a capital flight ensues:
foreigners no longer want domestic assets and there is a massive sale of all the assets of the economy, including the currency
Economy collapses