Theme 4 - A Global Perspective Flashcards
What is the balance of payments (simple definition)?
A record of all inflows (positive) and all outflows (negative) of money/currency
UK’s top 5 trade partners:
- US - 22.1%
- Germany - 7.0%
- Ireland - 6.6%
- Netherlands - 6.2%
- France - 5.2%
The top 6 items the UK imports:
- mineral fuels
- mechanical appliances
- electronic equipment
- precious metals
- motor vehicles
- pharmaceutical products
The top 6 items the UK exports:
- cars
- mechanical power generators
- medicinal and pharmaceutical products
- crude oil
- aircraft
- refined oil
What are the 3 accounts in the BOP?
- current
- capital
- financial
What is the current account?
The balance of trades in goods (imports and exports) and services.
Also looks at net primary income (and net secondary income).
What is net primary income?
The net flow of profits, interest and dividends from investments in other countries and net remittance flows from migrant workers
What is net secondary income?
The annual contributions to the EU, military aid and overseas aid
What is the capital account?
The sale/transfer of patents, copyrights, franchises, leases and other transferable contracts, and goodwill.
Transfers of ownership of fixed assets.
What is the financial account?
Includes transactions that result in a change of ownership of financial assets and liabilities between UK residents and non-residents.
Takes into account - balancing item, changes to the value reserved of gold and foreign currency, overall BOP = 0
What is the balance of trade?
The difference between the value of exports of goods/services and the value spent on imported goods/services
What are some ways to decrease the amount imported and increase the amount exported? (3)
- depreciate/weaken the value of the £ which lowers interest rates
- decrease AD by tight fiscal policy (decrease G, increase tax)
- decrease supply-side policies (privatisation, red-tape and other barriers)
Which account has a surplus?
The financial account
Which account has a deficit?
The current account
What are 2 tools the financial account uses to ensure a surplus?
- interest rates
- selling bonds
Reasons for surpluses + deficits (8)
- uneven distribution of natural resources
- differential competitiveness
- exchange rates
- inflation
- investment + long term economic growth
- domestic and government spending
- recession
- volatile global prices
What are structural and cyclical changes to the economy?
A structural change in the economy is one that is permanent or very long-lived, while a cyclical disturbance tends to return to its previous level over a few years
What are the significances of having a deficit on the economy? (5)
- net outflow of AD from circular flow
- loss of jobs in sectors affected by an increase in imports
- fall in foreign exchange reserves (smaller, developing nations are especially effected)
- can lead to exchange rate weakness (higher yield on government debt)
- a deficit cannot really be financed by hot money + portfolio investments
Consequences of a deficit in the economy?
- lower AD
- debt burdens
- lowered exchange rates
What is meant by a “default on payments”?
The failure to make required interest or principal repayments on a debt, whether that debt is a loan or a security
What the Marshall-Lerner condition?
States that a devaluation will improve the balance of trade if the sum of the price elasticities of demand for exports and imports (in absolute value) is greater than 1.
Examples, specific to the UK, of causes of a deficit in the BOP (6)
- elasticity of demand for imports
- decline of manufacturing
- growth of emerging markets
- net importer of food & fuel
- lack of competitiveness
Does a deficit in the current account matter? (4)
- partial auto-correction (exchange rates mean the value of the £ fluctuates)
- investment and supply side policies
- capital flows
- the financial account
What may the deficit in the current account lead to? (5)
- structural weakness
- an unbalanced economy
- loss of output & employment
- money flowing out and problems financing the debt
- downward exchange rate pressure