Theme 4 Flashcards
What is the exchange rate?
Price of one currency in another currency
Why do foreign countries demand the British currency?
- if there’s an increase in interest rates as higher rate of return- foreigners invest more money in £s
- Speculators may anticipate a rise in the £ so value increases
- Increase in FDI which uses £ to pay for things so demand increases
- rises in incomes abroad, importing UK goods more
What does the increase in demand for the £ do?
It leads to appreciation
Why does supply for £ go up or demand fall?
- fall in interest rates so foreigners move money away from UK as lower rate of return
- speculators anticipate a fall in the £
- firms move away for Britain (less FDI)
- increase in income domestically as demand for imports rise so buy another currency and sell the £ for another currency)
What does a fall in supply of £ lead to?
Depreciation
What is a managed exchange rate?
exchange rate determined purely by the forces of demand and supply for that currency (no government intervention)
What is a fixed exchange rate?
government or central bank holds a large amount of domestic currency and foreign currency reserves to sell and buy when exchange rate needs adjusting
If the £ is strong, what will government do?
Government will sell £ to increase foreign supply of good to depreciate the £
What does the government do when £ is weak?
Government uses foreign currency to buy £, increasing demand for it, shifting demand from D1 to D2, increasing price, causing it to appreciate
Explain the chain of analysis in an appreciation in the exchange rate
Exports becoming more expensive and imports are becoming cheaper increasing demand for imports and since net exports are 2-6% of AD, AD decreases
What does an appreciation in the exchange rate mean for firms producing using imports?
Cost of production decreases as imports become cheaper which shifts SRAS to the right, reducing cost push inflation
What does appreciation in the exchange rate mean for exporting industries in the UK?
Since exports are more expensive relative to other countries, demand for the, decreases, reducing revenue made from them which means there may be unemployment in exporting industries
Evaluate the effect the appreciation of the exchange rate has.
Inflation decreases due to lower AD and more AS, imports are cheaper which improves living standards, PED of exports(if inelastic people will still demand them regardless of price).
Give the chain of analysis on depreciation of the exchange rate
Imports become more expensive so demand for them falls, exports are cheaper, more revenue. Increase in net export led growth
What does a depreciation of the exchange rate mean for workers who get their supply from abroad?
Costs of production increases as imports become more expensive, shifting SRAS to the left, causing cost-push inflation
Evaluate the points made on the depreciation of the exchange rate
Marshall Lerner condition, J-curve, higher inflation, depends on how much exchange rate has risen by, protectionism may limit exports
What is the Marshall Lerner condition?
A currency depreciation only corrects the current account deficit if the PED of exports plus the OED of imports is greater than 1
Why may the Marshall-Lerner condition not hold? (J curve)
As in the SR, consumers take time to adapt to the new rate and foreigners realise UK exports are cheaper after some time. This means net export demand is inelastic in the SR and business contracts and trade deals may still be in place. J curve shows that CA deficit worsens before it gets better,