Theme 3 Section 13 Flashcards
What are sales figures taken then put into order called
Time series data
If time series data fluctuates too much what can you use to smooth it out
Moving averages
What are moving averages
Used to smooth out fluctuations on data to identify the underlying trends
What are 4 quarter per moving averages
Averages over the quarter of years
What can 4 quarter moving averages remove
Seasonal variations over the year
Why are scatter graphs and line of best fits not always good
E.g a strong positive correlation isn’t because one factor leads to another it could be external factors e.g change in consumer wants and needs.
What does extrapolation rely on which isn’t good?
Assumption that past trends will continue into the future. Past performance don’t guarantee what’s to occur in the future.
What factors can influence sales figures
Tech changes
Consumer trends
Price changes
Quality issues
Where is extrapolation useful?
In stable markets where the market size doesn’t change much nor does competition