Theme 3: 3.1, 3.2, 3.3 Flashcards
What is a Business Objective?
Targets which a business adopts in order to achieve its overall corporate aims. (SMART targets)
What are some examples of common business objectives?
- customer satisfaction
- sales/profit maximisation
- market share
- survival
- employee welfare
- social objectives
- cost efficiency
3 different types of objectives and the differences between them?
- Corporate: relate to the business as a whole (e.g. market share of 12%)
- Functional: related to specific functions of the business e.g. HR, Marketing, Operations, Finance
- Unit: individual aims (e.g. shop sales of £500,000)
What are some factors that may influence business objectives?
- age of business
- political factors
- size and legal status
- views of owners and managers
- competition
- corporate culture
What is a Mission Statement?
A qualitative statement that sets out the over riding goal, the reason for a business’ existence and vision for the future.
Purpose of a mission statement?
- clearer sense of business purpose and values
- motivates, inspires, guides the staff and investors
- differentiates a business from competitors
- relevant to all stakeholders, not just managers and employees but customers also
- track progress of business, head in intended direction
- informs public about business purpose so good for PR
Some criticisms of mission statements?
- not always supported by business actions
- often vague, general, lack detail
- can be cynically regarded by staff
- or viewed as a PR stunt
- not wholehearted supported by senior management
What is Quantitative Sales Forecasting?
Forecasting using data and numbers rather than judgement
What areas of planning can quantitative sales forecasting be used for?
> HR plans: workforce for production
Production/capacity plans
Cash flow forecasts
Profit forecasts and budgets
What is a Moving Average?
a technique that looks at several periods at a time and averages out data by smoothing out peaks and troughs (fluctuations) which gives a better insight into whether sales have risen or fallen over time.
What is Extrapolation?
A method used to predict future levels such as sales by analysing trends in past data
To create a 3 month moving average, what is the main calculation?
Add all 3 months, divide by 3
How do you calculate the variation in sales from a moving average?
Sales in a specific period - the moving average sales
Either positive or negative
Positives of extrapolation?
- simple method
- not much data required
- cheap and quick
Drawbacks of extrapolation?
- unreliable if there are significant fluctuations in historical data
- assumes past trends will carry on into the future (very RETROSPECTIVE, in a competitive business environment this is unlikely)
- ignores qualitative factors
What makes Quantitative techniques more effective in forecasting sales?
If the BUSINESS is mature = meaning lots of past data available to identify trends
If the INDUSTRY is mature = rapid change is less likely
Stable external environment = e.g. economy, politics, legislation less likely to change
What is Investment Appraisal?
A series of techniques designed to help businesses in judging the desirability of investing in projects
What is the payback method and how is it calculated?
judges length of time it takes for investment to be paid back from the net returns provided
Number of full years + (what you need/what you get) x12
Advantages of Payback?
- easy to calculate
- takes into account cost of investment
- focuses on short term cash flow as priority
Disadvantages of Payback?
- ignores time value of money
- ignores overall return of project
- encourages short-termist approach
What is the Average Rate of Return (ARR) and how is it calculated?
Measures return per year as a percentage of initial spending
- Add up returns
- Subtract initial spending
- Divide answer by no. of years
Then Calculate ARR: (average profit/inital cost) x 100
Advantages of ARR?
- measures profitability
- easy to compare a percentage
Disadvantages of ARR?
- ignores timing of cash flows as finds the average only
- ignores time value of money
- ignores the risk that projections of future sales may be more inaccurate the further in the future they are
Is shorter payback vs. higher ARR better?
we need more info:
- how long does the investment continue to pay for?
- Volatility of dynamic market (if more volatile, short payback is good)
- Attitudes or objectives of the shareholders (may have short termist attitudes)
- Cash flow (if negative = need a quick payback, cash rich will be more patient)
What is Net present value (NPV) and how is it calculated?
Measures the present value of future income from an investment, minus the cost
- Uses a discount factor: could be opportunity cost, inflation, interest rates
- Net cash flow x discount factor
- Add up all the present values
- Subtract the initial spending
Advantages of NPV?
- has a decision making mechanism so can reject projects with a negative NPV
- use of discounting factor reduces the impact of long term, less likely cash flows = TIME VALUE OF MONEY
Disadvantages of NPV?
- more complex to calculate
- cannot automatically compare projects with different initial costs
- rate of discount is critical: if its too high then affects success of project
What are Decision Trees?
= a mathematical model that sets out all the options available for managers when making a decision, plus the possible outcomes
What is the expected value? How is it calculated?
= the financial value of an outcome
Success probability x potential outcome) + (Fail probability x potential outcome
What is the net gain? How is it calculated?
= how much profit is made by launching the project, taking into account the likelihoods
It is always the average as it may vary in reality
Expected value - initial spending