The Business Cycle Flashcards
What is the business cycle (draw the cycle)
the model economists refer to when describing short term fluctuation in economic activity
What is the boom
a period when the rate of economic growth and the general level of economic activity is above average
what are 4 characteristics of the boom (CCLI)
- CONSUMPTION EXP - levels high on luxuries/durables
- CONFIDENCE - throughout economy
- LOW UNEMPLOYMENT
- INFLATIONARY PRESSURE - more likely as excess demand for economic resources causes price to bid upwards
Explain the contraction (events that cause and what happens)
After the boom, the rates of output and expenditure tend to level off after increasing. Profits may be squeezed by rising costs - the effect being a slow of agg output and the spread of income levels through economy = rate of growth falls
Before boom, firms invest in capital but when sales start to level off, investment return falls = risky.
Lower investment = lower ouput and income -> sales flatten as demand levels off
explain what the contractionary economic policy is supposed to do and how it is inputted
to reduce the level of activity due to booms associated with rising prices, speculation and bottlenecks in supply. This means higher interest rates, taxes and reduced spending
(contraction) What is recession, what are its effects
2 succesive quarters of falling real GDP/neg econ growth (unemployment)
effects: falling stock prices, banking crisis, falling asset value
What is the trough
agg spending (income, consumption, ivnestment) is below that necessary to sustain average levels of econ growth
what are 3 characteristics of the trough
- slower growth rates in retail spending (esspecially durables)
- lower levels of consumer and business confidence
- lower company profits
(trough) explain the expansionary policy and what it entails
if the economy is in a trough this policy seeks to increases the level of activity using a combo of:
lower taxes, higher gov spending, lower interest rates
(upswing) Describe the 3 factors that bring the economy out of troughs
- Capital used by firms wears out and requires replacement therefore income is cycled through economy
- trough forces firms to be more competitive through innovation and lower costs
- gov will input expansionary policies to stimulate production