The Business Cycle Flashcards
What is economic growth?
Increase in the quantity of output produced over a period of time
How is economic growth represented?
Percentage change in real GDP/GNI
What is the business cycle?
Short-term fluctuations in the growth of real output (i.e. GDP/GNI) over time
What are the four phases of the business cycle?
- Peak
- Contraction
- Trough
- Expansion
What is potential output?
The level of GDP produced when the economy is on its long-term growth trend.
It is the level of output produced when there is full employment
What is expansion?
- Economy is growing at a rate beyond its long-run growth trend
- Increase in real GDP => increases employment => increases general price level of economy
What is peak?
Represents the cycle’s maximum real GDP and marks the end of the expansion phase
What is contraction?
- Economy begins to experience negative growth
- Unemployment increases and price levels fall
* if the contraction lasts two or more quarters, it is known as a recession
What is trough?
Represents the cycle’s minimum real GDP and marks the end of contraction
What is an output gap?
Actual GDP - Potential GDP
What is the relation between actual GDP, potential GDP, and unemployment?
When Actual GDP < Potential GDP, unemployment is greater than the natural rate
What are the 3 causes of the business cycle?
- Major innovations may trigger new investment and/or consumer spending
- Changes in labour productivity and size of work force
- Negative Supply/Demand Shocks
- Supply side shock: wars, natural disasters
- Demand side shock: increase in interest rate, decrease in government spending
What are the 4 objectives of Macroeconomic policy and the business cycle?
- Full employment
- Price-stability
- Economic growth
- Improved equality in the distribution of income
What is the significance of the business cycle in relation to the 4 Macroeconomic Objectives?
An economy meeting its macroeconomic objectives will achieve growth that is closer to the long-run trend line; there will be less volatility and uncertainty in the economy